Basketball · Brazil NBB · 05/11, 23:30

Prediction: Bauru vs Minas

Team pages: Bauru · Minas

Prediction summary

Estimated points

166.1Total

Bauru81.8

Minas84.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

43% 57%

Bauru Minas

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Bauru 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWWLLL

Minas 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Bauru 1–5 Minas (6 last)

Bauru105-90Minas
Minas94-88Bauru
Minas70-65Bauru
Minas73-69Bauru
Bauru59-74Minas
Minas83-73Bauru

Model analysis

Estimated points166.1Bauru 81.8 · Minas 84.3

Match keys

H2H favours Minas: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Bauru	Minas
Points F\|A (Last 10)	74.7 / 80.4	90.7 / 81.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	75 / 77.8	87.8 / 67.8
Est. result	82	84

Est. total166.1

Line O/U163.5

Diff.2.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 163.51.87

Under 163.51.87

Diff.: 0.3 · Est. total: 163.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 03:46

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.01 → 3.06▲	Pinn 3.06
2	1.33 → 1.32▼	Pinn 1.32

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 8.4%

Time*	1	2
02:35 +11’	3.01	1.33
03:41 +5’	3.06▲	1.32▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bauru 1–0–5 Minas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/02/26 Brazil NBB	Bauru	105-90	Minas
23/11/25 Brazil NBB	Minas	94-88	Bauru
29/05/25 Brazil NBB	Minas	70-65	Bauru
27/05/25 Brazil NBB	Minas	73-69	Bauru
24/05/25 Brazil NBB	Bauru	59-74	Minas
27/12/24 Brazil NBB	Minas	83-73	Bauru

Standings · Brazil NBB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Minas	4	4	0	352	263
2	Pinheiros	5	4	1	418	334
3	Mogi das Cruzes	4	3	1	315	294
4	Unifacisa	4	3	1	344	296
5	Flamengo	4	3	1	322	277
6	Paulistano	4	3	1	301	302
7	Brasilia	5	3	2	421	422
8	Franca	4	2	2	290	276
9	Cruzeiro	4	2	2	302	301
10	Bauru	4	2	2	301	311
11	Uniao Corinthians	5	2	3	369	400
12	Botafogo	5	2	3	400	415
13	Corinthians	3	1	2	243	236
14	Osasco	3	1	2	237	254
15	Sao Jose	4	1	3	306	323
16	Pato Basquete	4	1	3	296	330
17	Caxias Do Sul	5	0	5	321	402
18	Fortaleza BC	3	0	3	185	287

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bauru	Minas
Cruzeiro	74-78 L	103-93 W
Brasilia	65-94 L	100-61 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Minas (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bauru

LLLWLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/11	Cruzeiro Brazil NBB	74-78	L
30/10	Paulistano Brazil NBB	75-83	L
24/10	Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB	61-79	L
22/10	Sao Jose Brazil NBB	83-68	W
18/10	Flamengo Brazil NBB	82-81	W
30/04	Paulistano Brazil NBB	62-71	L
26/04	Paulistano Brazil NBB	88-75	W
25/04	Paulistano Brazil NBB	80-95	L
22/04	Paulistano Brazil NBB	77-80	L
18/04	Brasilia Brazil NBB	65-94	L

Minas

WLWLLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/11	Franca Brazil NBB	87-76	W
30/10	Brasilia Brazil NBB	100-61	W
27/10	Pato Basquete Brazil NBB	86-65	W
23/10	Uniao Corinthians Brazil NBB	88-71	W
21/10	Caxias Do Sul Brazil NBB	78-66	W
13/05	Corinthians Brazil NBB	81-92	L
10/05	Corinthians Brazil NBB	97-103	L
08/05	Corinthians Brazil NBB	97-91	W
05/05	Corinthians Brazil NBB	90-100	L
30/04	Cruzeiro Brazil NBB	103-93	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bauru vs Minas?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Bauru 43% · Minas 57%).

How many points are expected in Bauru vs Minas?

The model estimates 166.1 total points (Bauru 81.8 · Minas 84.3).