Basketball · Brazil NBB · 02/11, 15:15

Prediction: Brasilia vs Botafogo

Team pages: Brasilia · Botafogo

Prediction summary

Estimated points

162.3Total

Brasilia88.1

Botafogo74.2

1X2

84% 16%

Brasilia Botafogo

Recent form · 10 last

Brasilia 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Botafogo 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Brasilia 5–1 Botafogo (6 last)

Brasilia79-73Botafogo
Botafogo70-82Brasilia
Brasilia94-71Botafogo
Botafogo67-89Brasilia
Botafogo73-83Brasilia
Brasilia106-108Botafogo

Model analysis

Estimated points162.3Brasilia 88.1 · Botafogo 74.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brasilia (rating 1560 vs 1358).
Brasilia is a clear favourite (84% market).
H2H favours Brasilia: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Brasilia	Botafogo
Points F\|A (Last 10)	76.2 / 76.8	79.4 / 91.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	82.2 / 82.6	80.2 / 84.2
Est. result	88	74

Est. total162.3

Line O/U162.5

Diff.0.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 162.51.86

Under 162.51.88

Diff.: 0.5 · Est. total: 162

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:02

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.08 → 1.06▼	Pinn 1.06
2	6.00 → 6.70▲	Pinn 6.70

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 9.4%

Time*	1	2
15:30 +11’	1.08	6.00
16:55 +7’	1.06▼	6.70▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Brasilia 5–0–1 Botafogo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Brazil NBB	Brasilia	79-73	Botafogo
19/11/25 Brazil NBB	Botafogo	70-82	Brasilia
17/03/25 Brazil NBB	Brasilia	94-71	Botafogo
06/12/24 Brazil NBB	Botafogo	67-89	Brasilia
02/10/24 Club Friendlies	Botafogo	73-83	Brasilia
10/03/24 Brazil NBB	Brasilia	106-108	Botafogo

Standings · Brazil NBB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Minas	4	4	0	352	263
2	Unifacisa	4	3	1	344	296
3	Brasilia	4	3	1	345	345
4	Mogi das Cruzes	4	3	1	315	294
5	Pinheiros	4	3	1	327	281
6	Paulistano	4	3	1	301	302
7	Flamengo	3	2	1	239	212
8	Uniao Corinthians	4	2	2	304	317
9	Cruzeiro	4	2	2	302	301
10	Franca	4	2	2	290	276
11	Bauru	4	2	2	301	311
12	Corinthians	3	1	2	243	236
13	Osasco	3	1	2	237	254
14	Pato Basquete	4	1	3	296	330
15	Botafogo	4	1	3	323	339
16	Caxias Do Sul	4	0	4	268	311
17	Fortaleza BC	2	0	2	132	191
18	Sao Jose	3	0	3	210	270

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brasilia	Botafogo
Minas	61-100 L	71-106 L
Franca	66-68 L	78-82 L
Flamengo	72-69 W	71-81 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Brasilia (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brasilia

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	Minas Brazil NBB	61-100	L
27/10	Cruzeiro Brazil NBB	89-80	W
24/10	Paulistano Brazil NBB	91-73	W
23/10	Corinthians Brazil NBB	104-92	W
29/05	Franca Brazil NBB	66-68	L
27/05	Franca Brazil NBB	71-69	W
24/05	Franca Brazil NBB	74-91	L
22/05	Franca Brazil NBB	67-50	W
19/05	Franca Brazil NBB	67-76	L
16/05	Flamengo Brazil NBB	72-69	W

Botafogo

LLLLLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Uniao Corinthians Brazil NBB	80-87	L
29/10	Caxias Do Sul Brazil NBB	84-82	W
25/10	Pato Basquete Brazil NBB	88-89	L
20/10	Flamengo Brazil NBB	71-81	L
28/04	Franca Brazil NBB	78-82	L
26/04	Franca Brazil NBB	79-89	L
23/04	Franca Brazil NBB	68-94	L
18/04	CR Vasco Da Gama Brazil NBB	86-104	L
11/04	Flamengo Brazil NBB	89-102	L
10/04	Minas Brazil NBB	71-106	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brasilia vs Botafogo?

Our model gives 84% to Brasilia.

How many points are expected in Brasilia vs Botafogo?

The model estimates 162.3 total points (Brasilia 88.1 · Botafogo 74.2).