Basketball · Brazil NBB · 09/11, 23:30

Prediction: Fortaleza BC vs Corinthians

Team pages: Corinthians

Prediction summary

Estimated points

166.8Total

Fortaleza BC84.1

Corinthians82.7

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

54% 46%

Fortaleza BC Corinthians

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Fortaleza BC 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLLLW

Corinthians 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLLLWL

Head-to-head

Fortaleza BC 2–4 Corinthians (6 last)

Corinthians96-76Fortaleza BC
Fortaleza BC82-98Corinthians
Fortaleza BC79-67Corinthians
Corinthians92-83Fortaleza BC
Corinthians102-82Fortaleza BC
Fortaleza BC78-65Corinthians

Model analysis

Estimated points166.8Fortaleza BC 84.1 · Corinthians 82.7

Match keys

H2H favours Corinthians: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Fortaleza BC	Corinthians
Points F\|A (Last 10)	70.9 / 92.3	83.7 / 84.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	65.6 / 86.8	79.6 / 81.6
Est. result	84	83

Est. total166.8

Line O/U164

Diff.2.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1641.87

Under 1641.87

Diff.: 1.8 · Est. total: 165.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 00:51

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	6.54 → 6.55▲	Pinn 6.55
2	1.06 → 1.06	Pinn 1.06

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	2
23:47 +9’	6.54	1.06
00:20 +30’	6.55▲	1.06

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fortaleza BC 2–0–4 Corinthians

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Brazil NBB	Corinthians	96-76	Fortaleza BC
05/11/25 Brazil NBB	Fortaleza BC	82-98	Corinthians
08/04/25 Brazil NBB	Fortaleza BC	79-67	Corinthians
13/12/24 Brazil NBB	Corinthians	92-83	Fortaleza BC
08/03/24 Brazil NBB	Corinthians	102-82	Fortaleza BC
24/11/23 Brazil NBB	Fortaleza BC	78-65	Corinthians

Standings · Brazil NBB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Minas	6	6	0	516	403
2	Unifacisa	6	5	1	499	438
3	Pinheiros	6	5	1	521	421
4	Flamengo	5	4	1	413	364
5	Mogi das Cruzes	5	4	1	404	372
6	Brasilia	7	4	3	584	568
7	Franca	6	3	3	464	440
8	Paulistano	6	3	3	422	438
9	Cruzeiro	6	3	3	457	473
10	Uniao Corinthians	5	2	3	369	400
11	Botafogo	5	2	3	400	415
12	Bauru	6	2	4	439	466
13	Sao Jose	6	2	4	483	507
14	Corinthians	4	1	3	322	320
15	Osasco	4	1	3	318	344
16	Pato Basquete	4	1	3	296	330
17	Fortaleza BC	5	1	4	328	434
18	Caxias Do Sul	6	0	6	376	478

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fortaleza BC	Corinthians
Mogi das Cruzes	78-89 L	73-84 L
Pinheiros	63-98 L	76-88 L
Minas	56-87 L	92-81 W
Franca	71-116 L	78-48 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Corinthians (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fortaleza BC

LWLLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Paulistano Brazil NBB	65-58	W
05/11	Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB	78-89	L
02/11	Sao Jose Brazil NBB	53-96	L
23/10	Pinheiros Brazil NBB	63-98	L
21/10	Osasco Brazil NBB	69-93	L
17/04	Cruzeiro Brazil NBB	77-86	L
15/04	Minas Brazil NBB	56-87	L
07/04	Caxias Do Sul Brazil NBB	83-107	L
04/04	Uniao Corinthians Brazil NBB	94-93	W
22/03	Franca Brazil NBB	71-116	L

Corinthians

WWLWLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Unifacisa Brazil NBB	79-84	L
27/10	Franca Brazil NBB	78-48	W
23/10	Brasilia Brazil NBB	92-104	L
17/10	Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB	73-84	L
27/05	Pinheiros Brazil NBB	76-88	L
23/05	Pinheiros Brazil NBB	81-82	L
21/05	Pinheiros Brazil NBB	98-84	W
19/05	Pinheiros Brazil NBB	65-95	L
13/05	Minas Brazil NBB	92-81	W
10/05	Minas Brazil NBB	103-97	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fortaleza BC vs Corinthians?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Fortaleza BC 54% · Corinthians 46%).

How many points are expected in Fortaleza BC vs Corinthians?

The model estimates 166.8 total points (Fortaleza BC 84.1 · Corinthians 82.7).