Basketball · Brazil NBB · 07/11, 21:00

Prediction: Caxias Do Sul vs Brasilia

Team pages: Caxias Do Sul · Brasilia

Prediction summary

Estimated points

150.4Total

Caxias Do Sul73.8

Brasilia76.6

1X2

42% 58%

Caxias Do Sul Brasilia

Recent form · 10 last

Caxias Do Sul 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

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Brasilia 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Caxias Do Sul 1–5 Brasilia (6 last)

Brasilia86-56Caxias Do Sul
Brasilia71-70Caxias Do Sul
Caxias Do Sul66-63Brasilia
Caxias Do Sul70-78Brasilia
Brasilia73-64Caxias Do Sul
Brasilia77-65Caxias Do Sul

Model analysis

Estimated points150.4Caxias Do Sul 73.8 · Brasilia 76.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brasilia (rating 1396 vs 1541).
H2H favours Brasilia: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Caxias Do Sul	Brasilia
Points F\|A (Last 10)	67 / 77.9	78.6 / 79.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	64.2 / 80.4	80.8 / 84.2
Est. result	74	77

Est. total150.4

Line O/U150

Diff.0.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1501.85

Under 1501.89

Diff.: 1.3 · Est. total: 151.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:08

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.20
2	1.29 → 1.29	Pinn 1.29

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	2
22:06 +2’	3.20	1.29

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Caxias Do Sul 1–0–5 Brasilia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/10/26 Club Friendlies	Brasilia	86-56	Caxias Do Sul
01/05/26 Brazil NBB	Brasilia	71-70	Caxias Do Sul
28/04/26 Brazil NBB	Caxias Do Sul	66-63	Brasilia
25/04/26 Brazil NBB	Caxias Do Sul	70-78	Brasilia
23/04/26 Brazil NBB	Brasilia	73-64	Caxias Do Sul
13/01/26 Brazil NBB	Brasilia	77-65	Caxias Do Sul

Standings · Brazil NBB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Minas	5	5	0	439	339
2	Unifacisa	5	4	1	415	359
3	Mogi das Cruzes	5	4	1	404	372
4	Pinheiros	5	4	1	418	334
5	Flamengo	5	4	1	413	364
6	Cruzeiro	5	3	2	380	375
7	Paulistano	5	3	2	364	373
8	Brasilia	6	3	3	508	513
9	Uniao Corinthians	5	2	3	369	400
10	Botafogo	5	2	3	400	415
11	Franca	5	2	3	366	363
12	Bauru	5	2	3	375	389
13	Corinthians	3	1	2	243	236
14	Osasco	3	1	2	237	254
15	Sao Jose	4	1	3	306	323
16	Pato Basquete	4	1	3	296	330
17	Caxias Do Sul	5	0	5	321	402
18	Fortaleza BC	4	0	4	263	376

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Caxias Do Sul	Brasilia
Flamengo	59-77 L	87-91 L
Botafogo	82-84 L	76-77 L
Minas	66-78 L	61-100 L
Cruzeiro	61-72 L	89-80 W
Corinthians	79-92 L	104-92 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Brasilia (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Caxias Do Sul

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/11	Pinheiros Brazil NBB	53-91	L
31/10	Flamengo Brazil NBB	59-77	L
29/10	Botafogo Brazil NBB	82-84	L
21/10	Minas Brazil NBB	66-78	L
17/10	Cruzeiro Brazil NBB	61-72	L
01/05	Brasilia Brazil NBB	70-71	L
28/04	Brasilia Brazil NBB	66-63	W
25/04	Brasilia Brazil NBB	70-78	L
23/04	Brasilia Brazil NBB	64-73	L
18/04	Corinthians Brazil NBB	79-92	L

Brasilia

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/11	Flamengo Brazil NBB	87-91	L
02/11	Botafogo Brazil NBB	76-77	L
30/10	Minas Brazil NBB	61-100	L
27/10	Cruzeiro Brazil NBB	89-80	W
24/10	Paulistano Brazil NBB	91-73	W
23/10	Corinthians Brazil NBB	104-92	W
29/05	Franca Brazil NBB	66-68	L
27/05	Franca Brazil NBB	71-69	W
24/05	Franca Brazil NBB	74-91	L
22/05	Franca Brazil NBB	67-50	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Caxias Do Sul vs Brasilia?

Our model gives 58% to Brasilia.

How many points are expected in Caxias Do Sul vs Brasilia?

The model estimates 150.4 total points (Caxias Do Sul 73.8 · Brasilia 76.6).