Basketball · Brazil NBB · 14/11, 22:00

Prediction: Minas vs Fortaleza BC

Team pages: Minas · Fortaleza BC

Prediction summary

Estimated points

162.2Total

Minas89

Fortaleza BC73.2

1X2

87% 13%

Minas Fortaleza BC

Markets

Under 163 points 85%

Recent form · 10 last

Minas 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWWWW

Fortaleza BC 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLLWL

Head-to-head

Minas 5–1 Fortaleza BC (6 last)

Minas87-56Fortaleza BC
Fortaleza BC81-99Minas
Fortaleza BC86-92Minas
Minas86-64Fortaleza BC
Fortaleza BC79-69Minas
Minas73-69Fortaleza BC

Model analysis

Estimated points162.2Minas 89 · Fortaleza BC 73.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Minas (rating 1642 vs 1396).
Minas is a clear favourite (87% market).
H2H favours Minas: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Minas	Fortaleza BC
Points F\|A (Last 10)	87.9 / 74.6	70.6 / 88.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	87.6 / 64.6	65.4 / 83.2
Est. result	89	73

Est. total162.2

Line O/U163

Diff.0.8

Over / Under15% / 85%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Minas 5–0–1 Fortaleza BC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/04/26 Brazil NBB	Minas	87-56	Fortaleza BC
27/12/25 Brazil NBB	Fortaleza BC	81-99	Minas
28/02/25 Brazil NBB	Fortaleza BC	86-92	Minas
07/11/24 Brazil NBB	Minas	86-64	Fortaleza BC
20/03/24 Brazil NBB	Fortaleza BC	79-69	Minas
27/01/24 Brazil Copa Super 8	Minas	73-69	Fortaleza BC

Standings · Brazil NBB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Minas	7	7	0	604	460
2	Mogi das Cruzes	6	5	1	489	442
3	Unifacisa	7	5	2	556	526
4	Pinheiros	7	5	2	591	506
5	Flamengo	7	5	2	566	514
6	Franca	7	4	3	548	513
7	Brasilia	8	4	4	645	638
8	Uniao Corinthians	6	3	3	439	461
9	Cruzeiro	6	3	3	457	473
10	Paulistano	6	3	3	422	438
11	Bauru	7	3	4	537	544
12	Corinthians	5	2	3	397	388
13	Botafogo	5	2	3	400	415
14	Sao Jose	6	2	4	483	507
15	Osasco	4	1	3	318	344
16	Pato Basquete	6	1	5	440	508
17	Fortaleza BC	6	1	5	396	509
18	Caxias Do Sul	6	0	6	376	478

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Minas	Fortaleza BC
Uniao Corinthians	88-71 W	94-93 W
Caxias Do Sul	78-66 W	83-107 L
Corinthians	81-92 L	68-75 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Minas (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Minas

WLLWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/11	Unifacisa Brazil NBB	88-57	W
05/11	Bauru Brazil NBB	77-64	W
03/11	Franca Brazil NBB	87-76	W
30/10	Brasilia Brazil NBB	100-61	W
27/10	Pato Basquete Brazil NBB	86-65	W
23/10	Uniao Corinthians Brazil NBB	88-71	W
21/10	Caxias Do Sul Brazil NBB	78-66	W
13/05	Corinthians Brazil NBB	81-92	L
10/05	Corinthians Brazil NBB	97-103	L
08/05	Corinthians Brazil NBB	97-91	W

Fortaleza BC

WLLLLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/11	Corinthians Brazil NBB	68-75	L
07/11	Paulistano Brazil NBB	65-58	W
05/11	Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB	78-89	L
02/11	Sao Jose Brazil NBB	53-96	L
23/10	Pinheiros Brazil NBB	63-98	L
21/10	Osasco Brazil NBB	69-93	L
17/04	Cruzeiro Brazil NBB	77-86	L
15/04	Minas Brazil NBB	56-87	L
07/04	Caxias Do Sul Brazil NBB	83-107	L
04/04	Uniao Corinthians Brazil NBB	94-93	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Minas vs Fortaleza BC?

Our model gives 87% to Minas.

How many points are expected in Minas vs Fortaleza BC?

The model estimates 162.2 total points (Minas 89 · Fortaleza BC 73.2).