Basketball · Brazil NBB · 07/11, 20:00

Prediction: Pinheiros vs Sao Jose

Team pages: Pinheiros · Sao Jose

Prediction summary

Estimated points

161.4Total

Pinheiros85.9

Sao Jose75.5

1X2

77% 23%

Pinheiros Sao Jose

Recent form · 10 last

Pinheiros 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLWWWW

Sao Jose 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLLWW

Head-to-head

Pinheiros 4–2 Sao Jose (6 last)

Sao Jose85-87Pinheiros
Sao Jose76-75Pinheiros
Pinheiros98-83Sao Jose
Pinheiros76-87Sao Jose
Pinheiros89-80Sao Jose
Sao Jose76-77Pinheiros

Model analysis

Estimated points161.4Pinheiros 85.9 · Sao Jose 75.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pinheiros (rating 1563 vs 1444).
Pinheiros is a clear favourite (77% market).
H2H favours Pinheiros: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Pinheiros	Sao Jose
Points F\|A (Last 10)	82.4 / 74.7	76.7 / 80.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	83.6 / 66.8	79.2 / 80.8
Est. result	86	76

Est. total161.4

Line O/U157.5

Diff.3.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 157.51.87

Under 157.51.87

Diff.: 0.55 · Est. total: 156.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:53

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.08 → 1.08	Pinn 1.08
2	5.76 → 5.76	Pinn 5.76

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.5%

Time*	1	2
02:47 +5’	1.08	5.76

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Pinheiros 4–0–2 Sao Jose

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/08/26 Brazil FPB	Sao Jose	85-87	Pinheiros
11/04/26 Brazil NBB	Sao Jose	76-75	Pinheiros
24/12/25 Brazil NBB	Pinheiros	98-83	Sao Jose
23/08/25 Brazil FPB	Pinheiros	76-87	Sao Jose
17/03/25 Brazil NBB	Pinheiros	89-80	Sao Jose
17/12/24 Brazil NBB	Sao Jose	76-77	Pinheiros

Standings · Brazil NBB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Minas	5	5	0	439	339
2	Unifacisa	5	4	1	415	359
3	Mogi das Cruzes	5	4	1	404	372
4	Pinheiros	5	4	1	418	334
5	Flamengo	5	4	1	413	364
6	Cruzeiro	5	3	2	380	375
7	Paulistano	5	3	2	364	373
8	Brasilia	6	3	3	508	513
9	Uniao Corinthians	5	2	3	369	400
10	Botafogo	5	2	3	400	415
11	Franca	5	2	3	366	363
12	Bauru	5	2	3	375	389
13	Corinthians	3	1	2	243	236
14	Osasco	3	1	2	237	254
15	Sao Jose	4	1	3	306	323
16	Pato Basquete	4	1	3	296	330
17	Caxias Do Sul	5	0	5	321	402
18	Fortaleza BC	4	0	4	263	376

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pinheiros	Sao Jose
Caxias Do Sul	91-53 W	68-65 W
Osasco	89-74 W	90-81 W
Uniao Corinthians	75-63 W	88-97 L
Fortaleza BC	98-63 W	96-53 W
Unifacisa	65-81 L	83-97 L
Franca	76-85 L	59-90 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Pinheiros (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pinheiros

WLLWLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/11	Caxias Do Sul Brazil NBB	91-53	W
30/10	Osasco Brazil NBB	89-74	W
28/10	Uniao Corinthians Brazil NBB	75-63	W
23/10	Fortaleza BC Brazil NBB	98-63	W
20/10	Unifacisa Brazil NBB	65-81	L
07/06	Franca Brazil NBB	76-85	L
04/06	Franca Brazil NBB	94-92	W
03/06	Franca Brazil NBB	75-78	L
31/05	Franca Brazil NBB	73-82	L
27/05	Corinthians Brazil NBB	88-76	W

Sao Jose

WLLLLLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/11	Osasco Brazil NBB	90-81	W
02/11	Fortaleza BC Brazil NBB	96-53	W
28/10	Unifacisa Brazil NBB	83-97	L
22/10	Bauru Brazil NBB	68-83	L
20/10	Franca Brazil NBB	59-90	L
28/04	Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB	70-81	L
25/04	Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB	75-79	L
23/04	Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB	70-75	L
18/04	Uniao Corinthians Brazil NBB	88-97	L
16/04	Caxias Do Sul Brazil NBB	68-65	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pinheiros vs Sao Jose?

Our model gives 77% to Pinheiros.

How many points are expected in Pinheiros vs Sao Jose?

The model estimates 161.4 total points (Pinheiros 85.9 · Sao Jose 75.5).