Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 11/09, 03:15
Prediction: Santiagueno vs Cojutepeque
Team pages: Santiagueno · Cojutepeque
Prediction summary
Estimated points
159.8Total
Santiagueno77.4
Cojutepeque82.4
1X2
Santiagueno
Cojutepeque
Recent form · 10 last
Santiagueno
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Cojutepeque
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Santiagueno
1–5
Cojutepeque
(6 last)
- Cojutepeque68-53Santiagueno
- Santiagueno58-65Cojutepeque
- Santiagueno88-119Cojutepeque
- Cojutepeque84-69Santiagueno
- Cojutepeque104-78Santiagueno
- Santiagueno90-73Cojutepeque
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santiagueno 1411 · Cojutepeque 1490
| Santiagueno | Cojutepeque | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
Estimated total (ours)
159.8 points · Bet365 line 160.5 · -0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points159.8Santiagueno 77.4 · Cojutepeque 82.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cojutepeque (rating 1411 vs 1490).
- H2H favours Cojutepeque: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Santiagueno | Cojutepeque | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 76.1 / 91.6 | 76.9 / 78.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 80.6 / 93.8 | 77 / 78.8 |
| Est. result | 77 | 82 |
Est. total159.8
Line O/U160.5
Diff.0.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santiagueno 1–0–5 Cojutepeque
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Cojutepeque | 68-53 | Santiagueno |
| 03/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santiagueno | 58-65 | Cojutepeque |
| 14/10/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santiagueno | 88-119 | Cojutepeque |
| 16/09/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Cojutepeque | 84-69 | Santiagueno |
| 07/05/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Cojutepeque | 104-78 | Santiagueno |
| 10/04/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santiagueno | 90-73 | Cojutepeque |
Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isidro Metapan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 252 | 224 | 5 |
| 2 | CD Aguila | 2 | 2 | 0 | 173 | 149 | 4 |
| 3 | Salvadorenos | 2 | 1 | 1 | 174 | 166 | 3 |
| 4 | San Salvador | 2 | 1 | 1 | 192 | 183 | 3 |
| 5 | A.Lobos BKB | 2 | 1 | 1 | 145 | 136 | 3 |
| 6 | Santa Ana BC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 163 | 173 | 3 |
| 7 | Cojutepeque | 1 | 1 | 0 | 102 | 39 | 2 |
| 8 | Ahuachapan | 2 | 0 | 2 | 125 | 211 | 2 |
| 9 | Santiagueno | 1 | 1 | 0 | 85 | 74 | 2 |
| 10 | Santa Tecla | 2 | 0 | 2 | 132 | 177 | 2 |
| 11 | Brujos Izalco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 74 | 85 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Santiagueno | Cojutepeque |
|---|---|---|
| Santa Ana BC | 78-71 W | 104-64 W |
| Isidro Metapan | 105-161 L | 64-82 L |
| San Salvador | 82-102 L | 87-101 L |
| A.Lobos BKB | 90-128 L | 71-85 L |
| Ahuachapan | 77-67 W | 102-39 W |
| Santa Tecla | 59-86 L | 86-103 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Cojutepeque (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santiagueno
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
85-74 | W |
| 07/06 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
78-71 | W |
| 31/05 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
105-161 | L |
| 28/05 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
82-102 | L |
| 25/05 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
53-61 | L |
| 24/05 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
90-128 | L |
| 17/05 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
77-67 | W |
| 13/05 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
79-98 | L |
| 11/05 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
59-86 | L |
| 07/05 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
53-68 | L |
Cojutepeque
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
102-39 | W |
| 15/06 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
87-101 | L |
| 13/06 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
55-70 | L |
| 11/06 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
55-81 | L |
| 05/06 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
86-103 | L |
| 01/06 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
78-76 | W |
| 29/05 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
104-64 | W |
| 24/05 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
64-82 | L |
| 21/05 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
67-85 | L |
| 18/05 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
71-85 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santiagueno vs Cojutepeque?
Our model gives 64% to Cojutepeque.
How many points are expected in Santiagueno vs Cojutepeque?
The model estimates 159.8 total points (Santiagueno 77.4 · Cojutepeque 82.4).