Basketball · Slovenia SKL · 09/10, 21:00
Prediction: KK Sencur vs Hopsi Polzela
Team pages: KK Sencur · Hopsi Polzela
Prediction summary
Estimated points
163.1Total
KK Sencur83.9
Hopsi Polzela79.2
1X2
KK Sencur
Hopsi Polzela
Recent form · 10 last
KK Sencur
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Hopsi Polzela
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
KK Sencur
3–3
Hopsi Polzela
(6 last)
- KK Sencur103-98Hopsi Polzela
- Hopsi Polzela81-85KK Sencur
- KK Sencur97-65Hopsi Polzela
- KK Sencur82-94Hopsi Polzela
- Hopsi Polzela80-60KK Sencur
- KK Sencur94-95Hopsi Polzela
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · KK Sencur 1547 · Hopsi Polzela 1541
| KK Sencur | Hopsi Polzela | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 63% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
163.1 points · Bet365 line 160.5 · +2.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points163.1KK Sencur 83.9 · Hopsi Polzela 79.2
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| KK Sencur | Hopsi Polzela | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 84.4 / 80.7 | 84.1 / 79.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 83.4 / 80.8 | 79 / 71.2 |
| Est. result | 84 | 79 |
Est. total163.1
Line O/U160.5
Diff.2.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · KK Sencur 3–0–3 Hopsi Polzela
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Slovenia SKL | KK Sencur | 103-98 | Hopsi Polzela |
| 06/12/25 Slovenia SKL | Hopsi Polzela | 81-85 | KK Sencur |
| 27/09/25 Slovenia SKL | KK Sencur | 97-65 | Hopsi Polzela |
| 17/04/24 Slovenia SKL | KK Sencur | 82-94 | Hopsi Polzela |
| 06/02/24 Slovenia SKL | Hopsi Polzela | 80-60 | KK Sencur |
| 27/11/23 Slovenia SKL | KK Sencur | 94-95 | Hopsi Polzela |
Standings · Slovenia SKL
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krka | 3 | 3 | 0 | 247 | 198 | 6 |
| 2 | Ilirija | 3 | 2 | 1 | 257 | 221 | 5 |
| 3 | Hopsi Polzela | 2 | 2 | 0 | 161 | 108 | 4 |
| 4 | KK Sencur | 2 | 2 | 0 | 191 | 149 | 4 |
| 5 | Nova Gorica Mladi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 147 | 155 | 3 |
| 6 | Zlatorog Lasko | 2 | 1 | 1 | 133 | 146 | 3 |
| 7 | Triglav | 2 | 0 | 2 | 148 | 161 | 2 |
| 8 | Helios Domzale | 2 | 0 | 2 | 128 | 162 | 2 |
| 9 | Rogaska | 2 | 0 | 2 | 124 | 179 | 2 |
| 10 | Tajfun Sentjur | 2 | 0 | 2 | 129 | 186 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KK Sencur | Hopsi Polzela |
|---|---|---|
| Rogaska | 92-75 W | 87-49 W |
| Helios Domzale | 82-75 W | 74-59 W |
| Ilirija | 99-102 L | 87-103 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Hopsi Polzela (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KK Sencur
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Tajfun Sentjur Slovenia SKL |
99-74 | W |
| 26/09 | Rogaska Slovenia SKL |
92-75 | W |
| 23/05 | Cedevita Olimpija Slovenia SKL |
65-94 | L |
| 20/05 | Cedevita Olimpija Slovenia SKL |
79-86 | L |
| 12/05 | Helios Domzale Slovenia SKL |
82-75 | W |
| 09/05 | Helios Domzale Slovenia SKL |
75-65 | W |
| 04/05 | Helios Domzale Slovenia SKL |
76-70 | W |
| 30/04 | Ilirija Slovenia SKL |
99-102 | L |
| 28/04 | Tajfun Sentjur Slovenia SKL |
74-68 | W |
| 18/04 | Hopsi Polzela Slovenia SKL |
103-98 | W |
Hopsi Polzela
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Rogaska Slovenia SKL |
87-49 | W |
| 26/09 | Helios Domzale Slovenia SKL |
74-59 | W |
| 10/05 | Krka Slovenia SKL |
80-86 | L |
| 07/05 | Krka Slovenia SKL |
58-94 | L |
| 04/05 | Terme Olimia Podcetrtek Slovenia SKL |
96-68 | W |
| 28/04 | Ilirija Slovenia SKL |
87-103 | L |
| 25/04 | Zlatorog Lasko Slovenia SKL |
87-67 | W |
| 18/04 | KK Sencur Slovenia SKL |
98-103 | L |
| 11/04 | Helios Domzale Slovenia SKL |
75-71 | W |
| 06/04 | Rogaska Slovenia SKL |
99-94 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KK Sencur vs Hopsi Polzela?
Our model gives 63% to KK Sencur.
How many points are expected in KK Sencur vs Hopsi Polzela?
The model estimates 163.1 total points (KK Sencur 83.9 · Hopsi Polzela 79.2).