Basketball · Slovenia SKL · 09/10, 18:00
Prediction: Triglav vs Helios Domzale
Team pages: Triglav · Helios Domzale
Prediction summary
Estimated points
154Total
Triglav82.2
Helios Domzale71.8
1X2
Triglav
Helios Domzale
Recent form · 10 last
Triglav
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Helios Domzale
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Triglav
0–6
Helios Domzale
(6 last)
- Helios Domzale91-76Triglav
- Triglav64-79Helios Domzale
- Helios Domzale79-76Triglav
- Helios Domzale72-66Triglav
- Triglav65-89Helios Domzale
- Helios Domzale73-48Triglav
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Triglav 1429 · Helios Domzale 1392
| Triglav | Helios Domzale | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
154 points · Bet365 line 150.5 · +3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points154Triglav 82.2 · Helios Domzale 71.8
Match keys
- Triglav is a clear favourite (77% market).
- H2H favours Helios Domzale: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Triglav | Helios Domzale | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 77.3 / 79.3 | 71.3 / 84.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 73.6 / 80.6 | 67.6 / 79 |
| Est. result | 82 | 72 |
Est. total154
Line O/U150.5
Diff.3.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Triglav 0–0–6 Helios Domzale
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Slovenia SKL | Helios Domzale | 91-76 | Triglav |
| 06/12/25 Slovenia SKL | Triglav | 64-79 | Helios Domzale |
| 29/09/25 Slovenia SKL | Helios Domzale | 79-76 | Triglav |
| 28/02/25 Slovenia SKL | Helios Domzale | 72-66 | Triglav |
| 22/12/24 Slovenia SKL | Triglav | 65-89 | Helios Domzale |
| 12/10/24 Slovenia SKL | Helios Domzale | 73-48 | Triglav |
Standings · Slovenia SKL
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krka | 3 | 3 | 0 | 247 | 198 | 6 |
| 2 | Ilirija | 3 | 2 | 1 | 257 | 221 | 5 |
| 3 | Hopsi Polzela | 2 | 2 | 0 | 161 | 108 | 4 |
| 4 | KK Sencur | 2 | 2 | 0 | 191 | 149 | 4 |
| 5 | Nova Gorica Mladi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 147 | 155 | 3 |
| 6 | Zlatorog Lasko | 2 | 1 | 1 | 133 | 146 | 3 |
| 7 | Triglav | 2 | 0 | 2 | 148 | 161 | 2 |
| 8 | Helios Domzale | 2 | 0 | 2 | 128 | 162 | 2 |
| 9 | Rogaska | 2 | 0 | 2 | 124 | 179 | 2 |
| 10 | Tajfun Sentjur | 2 | 0 | 2 | 129 | 186 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Triglav | Helios Domzale |
|---|---|---|
| Ilirija | 79-89 L | 64-87 L |
| Tajfun Sentjur | 82-58 W | 80-85 L |
| Rogaska | 94-96 L | 79-97 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Triglav (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Triglav
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Ilirija Slovenia SKL |
79-89 | L |
| 26/09 | Zlatorog Lasko Slovenia SKL |
69-72 | L |
| 13/05 | Ilirija Slovenia SKL |
65-72 | L |
| 11/05 | Ilirija Slovenia SKL |
70-86 | L |
| 08/05 | Ilirija Slovenia SKL |
85-84 | W |
| 03/05 | Tajfun Sentjur Slovenia SKL |
82-58 | W |
| 30/04 | Zlatorog Lasko Slovenia SKL |
74-73 | W |
| 27/04 | Terme Olimia Podcetrtek Slovenia SKL |
64-65 | L |
| 18/04 | Rogaska Slovenia SKL |
94-96 | L |
| 09/04 | Ilirija Slovenia SKL |
91-98 | L |
Helios Domzale
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Nova Gorica Mladi Slovenia SKL |
69-88 | L |
| 26/09 | Hopsi Polzela Slovenia SKL |
59-74 | L |
| 12/05 | KK Sencur Slovenia SKL |
75-82 | L |
| 09/05 | KK Sencur Slovenia SKL |
65-75 | L |
| 04/05 | KK Sencur Slovenia SKL |
70-76 | L |
| 30/04 | Rogaska Slovenia SKL |
79-97 | L |
| 23/04 | Tajfun Sentjur Slovenia SKL |
80-85 | L |
| 16/04 | Ilirija Slovenia SKL |
64-87 | L |
| 11/04 | Hopsi Polzela Slovenia SKL |
71-75 | L |
| 01/04 | Krka Slovenia SKL |
81-102 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Triglav vs Helios Domzale?
Our model gives 77% to Triglav.
How many points are expected in Triglav vs Helios Domzale?
The model estimates 154 total points (Triglav 82.2 · Helios Domzale 71.8).