Basketball · Vietnam VBA · 05/09, 14:30

Prediction: Hanoi Buffaloes vs Ho Chi Minh City Wings

Team pages: Hanoi Buffaloes · Ho Chi Minh City Wings

Prediction summary

Estimated points

176.5Total

Hanoi Buffaloes96.2

Ho Chi Minh City Wings80.4

1X2

87% 13%

Hanoi Buffaloes Ho Chi Minh City Wings

Markets

Under 182.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

Hanoi Buffaloes 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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Ho Chi Minh City Wings 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Hanoi Buffaloes 6–0 Ho Chi Minh City Wings (6 last)

Hanoi Buffaloes94-76Ho Chi Minh City Wings
Hanoi Buffaloes98-92Ho Chi Minh City Wings
Ho Chi Minh City Wings73-85Hanoi Buffaloes
Ho Chi Minh City Wings65-91Hanoi Buffaloes
Ho Chi Minh City Wings95-108Hanoi Buffaloes
Ho Chi Minh City Wings90-100Hanoi Buffaloes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hanoi Buffaloes 1599 · Ho Chi Minh City Wings 1490

	Hanoi Buffaloes	Ho Chi Minh City Wings
Our model	76%	24%
Market	90%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 176.5 points · Bet365 line 182.5 · -6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points176.5Hanoi Buffaloes 96.2 · Ho Chi Minh City Wings 80.4

Over / Under 182.5Under · 70%recent trend · ~174.9 pts · strength 8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hanoi Buffaloes (rating 1599 vs 1490).
Hanoi Buffaloes is a clear favourite (87% market).
H2H favours Hanoi Buffaloes: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Hanoi Buffaloes	Ho Chi Minh City Wings
Points F\|A (Last 10)	101.1 / 87.1	86.3 / 80.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	100.4 / 83.2	86.8 / 78
Est. result	96	80

Est. total176.5

Line O/U182.5

Diff.6

Over / Under30% / 70%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.03

29.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-19.5)1.74

2 (+19.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 182.51.87

Under 182.51.80

Diff.: 4.85 · Est. total: 177.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.03 → 1.03	Bet365 1.03
2	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.1%

Time*	1	2
17:34 +12’	1.03	9.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hanoi Buffaloes 6–0–0 Ho Chi Minh City Wings

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/07/26 Vietnam VBA	Hanoi Buffaloes	94-76	Ho Chi Minh City Wings
09/07/26 Vietnam VBA	Hanoi Buffaloes	98-92	Ho Chi Minh City Wings
14/06/26 Vietnam VBA	Ho Chi Minh City Wings	73-85	Hanoi Buffaloes
12/06/26 Vietnam VBA	Ho Chi Minh City Wings	65-91	Hanoi Buffaloes
28/08/25 Vietnam VBA	Ho Chi Minh City Wings	95-108	Hanoi Buffaloes
09/08/25 Vietnam VBA	Ho Chi Minh City Wings	90-100	Hanoi Buffaloes

Standings · Vietnam VBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Hanoi Buffaloes	20	19	1	1993	1695
2	Saigon Heat	20	12	8	1730	1573
3	Nha Trang Dolphins	20	12	8	1815	1758
4	Ho Chi Minh City Wings	20	10	10	1695	1679
5	Cantho Catfish	20	7	13	1646	1777
6	Danang Dragons	20	0	20	1599	1996

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hanoi Buffaloes	Ho Chi Minh City Wings
Saigon Heat	92-76 W	66-74 L
Cantho Catfish	109-94 W	95-91 W
Danang Dragons	120-91 W	102-86 W
Nha Trang Dolphins	108-109 L	79-88 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Hanoi Buffaloes (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hanoi Buffaloes

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/08	Saigon Heat Vietnam VBA	92-76	W
28/08	Saigon Heat Vietnam VBA	90-82	W
16/08	Cantho Catfish Vietnam VBA	109-94	W
14/08	Cantho Catfish Vietnam VBA	91-73	W
09/08	Danang Dragons Vietnam VBA	120-91	W
07/08	Danang Dragons Vietnam VBA	117-89	W
19/07	Nha Trang Dolphins Vietnam VBA	108-109	L
17/07	Nha Trang Dolphins Vietnam VBA	92-89	W
11/07	Ho Chi Minh City Wings Vietnam VBA	94-76	W
09/07	Ho Chi Minh City Wings Vietnam VBA	98-92	W

Ho Chi Minh City Wings

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/08	Cantho Catfish Vietnam VBA	95-91	W
27/08	Cantho Catfish Vietnam VBA	101-77	W
23/08	Saigon Heat Vietnam VBA	66-74	L
21/08	Saigon Heat Vietnam VBA	76-71	W
08/08	Saigon Heat Vietnam VBA	96-77	W
06/08	Saigon Heat Vietnam VBA	80-83	L
01/08	Nha Trang Dolphins Vietnam VBA	79-88	L
30/07	Nha Trang Dolphins Vietnam VBA	71-85	L
26/07	Danang Dragons Vietnam VBA	102-86	W
24/07	Danang Dragons Vietnam VBA	97-76	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hanoi Buffaloes vs Ho Chi Minh City Wings?

Our model gives 87% to Hanoi Buffaloes.

How many points are expected in Hanoi Buffaloes vs Ho Chi Minh City Wings?

The model estimates 176.5 total points (Hanoi Buffaloes 96.2 · Ho Chi Minh City Wings 80.4).

Over or under 182.5 points?

Recent history points to under 182.5 points (70%).