Basketball · Vietnam VBA · 06/09, 14:30

Prediction: Saigon Heat vs Nha Trang Dolphins

Team pages: Saigon Heat · Nha Trang Dolphins

Prediction summary

Estimated points

168.6Total

Saigon Heat85.6

Nha Trang Dolphins83.1

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

57% 43%

Saigon Heat Nha Trang Dolphins

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Saigon Heat 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLLWLL

Nha Trang Dolphins 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Saigon Heat 5–1 Nha Trang Dolphins (6 last)

Saigon Heat93-84Nha Trang Dolphins
Saigon Heat86-71Nha Trang Dolphins
Nha Trang Dolphins85-82Saigon Heat
Nha Trang Dolphins78-87Saigon Heat
Saigon Heat96-68Nha Trang Dolphins
Nha Trang Dolphins88-91Saigon Heat

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Saigon Heat 1512 · Nha Trang Dolphins 1535

	Saigon Heat	Nha Trang Dolphins
Our model	60%	40%
Market	56%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 168.6 points · Bet365 line 170.5 · -1.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points168.6Saigon Heat 85.6 · Nha Trang Dolphins 83.1

Match keys

H2H favours Saigon Heat: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Saigon Heat	Nha Trang Dolphins
Points F\|A (Last 10)	79.1 / 80	94.4 / 85.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	76 / 84	99.6 / 83.2
Est. result	86	83

Est. total168.6

Line O/U170.5

Diff.1.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.65

22.12

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.83

2 (+2.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 170.51.83

Under 170.51.83

Diff.: 1 · Est. total: 169.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
2	2.12 → 2.12	Bet365 2.12

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8%

Time*	1	2
11:42 +5’	1.65	2.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Saigon Heat 5–0–1 Nha Trang Dolphins

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/07/26 Vietnam VBA	Saigon Heat	93-84	Nha Trang Dolphins
03/07/26 Vietnam VBA	Saigon Heat	86-71	Nha Trang Dolphins
31/05/26 Vietnam VBA	Nha Trang Dolphins	85-82	Saigon Heat
29/05/26 Vietnam VBA	Nha Trang Dolphins	78-87	Saigon Heat
01/07/25 Vietnam VBA	Saigon Heat	96-68	Nha Trang Dolphins
21/06/25 Vietnam VBA	Nha Trang Dolphins	88-91	Saigon Heat

Standings · Vietnam VBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Hanoi Buffaloes	20	19	1	1993	1695
2	Saigon Heat	20	12	8	1730	1573
3	Nha Trang Dolphins	20	12	8	1815	1758
4	Ho Chi Minh City Wings	20	10	10	1695	1679
5	Cantho Catfish	20	7	13	1646	1777
6	Danang Dragons	20	0	20	1599	1996

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Saigon Heat	Nha Trang Dolphins
Hanoi Buffaloes	76-92 L	109-108 W
Ho Chi Minh City Wings	74-66 W	88-79 W
Cantho Catfish	77-75 W	73-84 L
Danang Dragons	102-77 W	105-91 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Saigon Heat

WWLWWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/08	Hanoi Buffaloes Vietnam VBA	76-92	L
28/08	Hanoi Buffaloes Vietnam VBA	82-90	L
23/08	Ho Chi Minh City Wings Vietnam VBA	74-66	W
21/08	Ho Chi Minh City Wings Vietnam VBA	71-76	L
08/08	Ho Chi Minh City Wings Vietnam VBA	77-96	L
06/08	Ho Chi Minh City Wings Vietnam VBA	83-80	W
02/08	Cantho Catfish Vietnam VBA	77-75	W
31/07	Cantho Catfish Vietnam VBA	72-83	L
12/07	Danang Dragons Vietnam VBA	102-77	W
10/07	Danang Dragons Vietnam VBA	77-65	W

Nha Trang Dolphins

LWWLWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
22/08	Danang Dragons Vietnam VBA	105-91	W
20/08	Danang Dragons Vietnam VBA	99-78	W
15/08	Danang Dragons Vietnam VBA	112-78	W
13/08	Danang Dragons Vietnam VBA	94-90	W
01/08	Ho Chi Minh City Wings Vietnam VBA	88-79	W
30/07	Ho Chi Minh City Wings Vietnam VBA	85-71	W
25/07	Cantho Catfish Vietnam VBA	73-84	L
23/07	Cantho Catfish Vietnam VBA	90-84	W
19/07	Hanoi Buffaloes Vietnam VBA	109-108	W
17/07	Hanoi Buffaloes Vietnam VBA	89-92	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Saigon Heat vs Nha Trang Dolphins?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Saigon Heat 57% · Nha Trang Dolphins 43%).

How many points are expected in Saigon Heat vs Nha Trang Dolphins?

The model estimates 168.6 total points (Saigon Heat 85.6 · Nha Trang Dolphins 83.1).