Basketball · Hungary NB 1.A · 16/10, 18:00

Prediction: NKA Pecs vs Falco Szombathely

Team pages: NKA Pecs · Falco Szombathely

Prediction summary

Estimated points

174.7Total

NKA Pecs81

Falco Szombathely93.8

1X2

18% 82%

NKA Pecs Falco Szombathely

Recent form · 10 last

NKA Pecs 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLLLL

Falco Szombathely 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLWWWW

Head-to-head

NKA Pecs 0–6 Falco Szombathely (6 last)

NKA Pecs93-97Falco Szombathely
Falco Szombathely87-80NKA Pecs
Falco Szombathely91-81NKA Pecs
NKA Pecs61-86Falco Szombathely
Falco Szombathely101-81NKA Pecs
NKA Pecs66-96Falco Szombathely

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NKA Pecs 1406 · Falco Szombathely 1627

	NKA Pecs	Falco Szombathely
Our model	32%	68%
Market	14%	86%

Estimated total (ours) 174.7 points · Bet365 line 169.5 · +5.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points174.7NKA Pecs 81 · Falco Szombathely 93.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Falco Szombathely (rating 1406 vs 1627).
Falco Szombathely is a clear favourite (82% market).
H2H favours Falco Szombathely: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	NKA Pecs	Falco Szombathely
Points F\|A (Last 10)	83.6 / 90.2	91.9 / 80.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	84.4 / 96.6	95.2 / 75.4
Est. result	81	94

Est. total174.7

Line O/U169.5

Diff.5.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

16.50

21.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+13.5)1.83

2 (-13.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 169.51.83

Under 169.51.83

Diff.: 3.7 · Est. total: 173.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
2	1.10 → 1.10	Bet365 1.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.3% Pinnacle margin 12.3%

Time*	1	2
14:37 +10’	6.50	1.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
18:09 +38’	5.69	1.06
00:17 +28’	5.84▲	1.05▼
22:20 +27’	5.54▼	1.06▲
23:30 +16’	5.44▼	1.06▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · NKA Pecs 0–0–6 Falco Szombathely

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/01/26 Hungary NB 1.A	NKA Pecs	93-97	Falco Szombathely
11/10/25 Hungary NB 1.A	Falco Szombathely	87-80	NKA Pecs
02/04/25 Hungary NB 1.A	Falco Szombathely	91-81	NKA Pecs
09/11/24 Hungary NB 1.A	NKA Pecs	61-86	Falco Szombathely
07/04/24 Hungary Cup	Falco Szombathely	101-81	NKA Pecs
29/12/23 Hungary NB 1.A	NKA Pecs	66-96	Falco Szombathely

Standings · Hungary NB 1.A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kaposvari	4	4	0	382	353	8
2	Szolnoki Olaj	4	3	1	371	333	7
3	Falco Szombathely	3	3	0	288	214	6
4	Atomeromu	3	3	0	306	241	6
5	Budapesti Honved SE	3	3	0	271	241	6
6	Alba Fehervar	3	2	1	282	254	5
7	SZTE-Szedeak	3	1	2	240	266	4
8	PHOENIX-MT Fot	3	1	2	237	237	4
9	OSE Lions	3	1	2	260	286	4
10	Sopron KC	3	1	2	262	289	4
11	DEAC Debreceni	3	0	3	260	288	3
12	NKA Pecs	3	0	3	231	269	3
13	Kormend	3	0	3	240	294	3
14	Kecskemeti TE	3	0	3	206	271	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NKA Pecs	Falco Szombathely
OSE Lions	84-93 L	98-74 W
Szolnoki Olaj	70-74 L	113-82 W
SZTE-Szedeak	69-77 L	96-65 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Falco Szombathely (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NKA Pecs

LWLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	OSE Lions Hungary NB 1.A	84-93	L
03/10	Szolnoki Olaj Hungary NB 1.A	70-74	L
26/09	Atomeromu Hungary NB 1.A	77-102	L
23/05	Kormend Hungary NB 1.A	98-118	L
20/05	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB 1.A	93-96	L
16/05	SZTE-Szedeak Hungary NB 1.A	69-77	L
13/05	ZTE KK Hungary NB 1.A	81-92	L
09/05	OSE Lions Hungary NB 1.A	84-89	L
29/04	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB 1.A	92-60	W
25/04	SZTE-Szedeak Hungary NB 1.A	88-101	L

Falco Szombathely

WWLWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	SZTE-Szedeak Hungary NB 1.A	96-65	W
03/10	OSE Lions Hungary NB 1.A	98-74	W
26/09	PHOENIX-MT Fot Hungary NB 1.A	94-75	W
27/05	Szolnoki Olaj Hungary NB 1.A	113-82	W
25/05	Szolnoki Olaj Hungary NB 1.A	75-81	L
22/05	Szolnoki Olaj Hungary NB 1.A	89-78	W
19/05	Szolnoki Olaj Hungary NB 1.A	91-85	W
16/05	Szolnoki Olaj Hungary NB 1.A	79-94	L
08/05	Kaposvari Hungary NB 1.A	93-92	W
05/05	Kaposvari Hungary NB 1.A	91-81	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NKA Pecs vs Falco Szombathely?

Our model gives 82% to Falco Szombathely.

How many points are expected in NKA Pecs vs Falco Szombathely?

The model estimates 174.7 total points (NKA Pecs 81 · Falco Szombathely 93.8).