Basketball · Brazil Paulista FPB U20 · 01/09, 00:00

Prediction: Sorocaba U20 vs Sao Jose Desportivo U20

Team pages: Sorocaba U20 · Sao Jose Desportivo U20

Prediction summary

Estimated points

152Total

Sorocaba U2067.8

Sao Jose Desportivo U2084.2

1X2

12% 88%

Sorocaba U20 Sao Jose Desportivo U20

Recent form · 10 last

Sorocaba U20 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Sao Jose Desportivo U20 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Sorocaba U20 0–6 Sao Jose Desportivo U20 (6 last)

Sao Jose Desportivo U2091-61Sorocaba U20
Sao Jose Desportivo U2096-67Sorocaba U20
Sorocaba U2071-90Sao Jose Desportivo U20
Sorocaba U2070-81Sao Jose Desportivo U20
Sao Jose Desportivo U2074-57Sorocaba U20
Sao Jose Desportivo U20115-80Sorocaba U20

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sorocaba U20 1438 · Sao Jose Desportivo U20 1636

	Sorocaba U20	Sao Jose Desportivo U20
Our model	35%	65%
Market	6%	94%

Estimated total (ours) 152 points · Bet365 line 150.5 · +1.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points152Sorocaba U20 67.8 · Sao Jose Desportivo U20 84.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sao Jose Desportivo U20 (rating 1438 vs 1636).
Sao Jose Desportivo U20 is a clear favourite (88% market).
H2H favours Sao Jose Desportivo U20: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Sorocaba U20	Sao Jose Desportivo U20
Points F\|A (Last 10)	69.9 / 73.7	93.9 / 65.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	72.2 / 66.4	95.2 / 67.2
Est. result	68	84

Est. total152

Line O/U150.5

Diff.1.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

116.00

21.01

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+23.5)1.83

2 (-23.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 150.51.83

Under 150.51.83

Diff.: 1 · Est. total: 151.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	16.00 → 16.00	Bet365 16.00
2	1.01 → 1.01	Bet365 1.01

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.7%

Time*	1	2
18:44 +3’	16.00	1.01

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sorocaba U20 0–0–6 Sao Jose Desportivo U20

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
26/05/26 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	Sao Jose Desportivo U20	91-61	Sorocaba U20
09/10/25 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	Sao Jose Desportivo U20	96-67	Sorocaba U20
05/10/25 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	Sorocaba U20	71-90	Sao Jose Desportivo U20
05/08/25 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	Sorocaba U20	70-81	Sao Jose Desportivo U20
01/06/25 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	Sao Jose Desportivo U20	74-57	Sorocaba U20
10/08/24 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	Sao Jose Desportivo U20	115-80	Sorocaba U20

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sorocaba U20	Sao Jose Desportivo U20
Paulistano LDB U20	54-82 L	82-60 W
Rio Claro U20	70-79 L	90-76 W
Fundesport/Araraquara U20	65-74 L	102-66 W
Santo Andre U20	87-45 W	93-47 W
Mogi das Cruzes U20	68-81 L	107-75 W
Sesi SP/Franca U20	49-67 L	86-83 W
Pinheiros U20	71-87 L	95-71 W
Santos U20	89-79 W	91-60 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 6 L	8 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sao Jose Desportivo U20 (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sorocaba U20

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/08	Paulistano LDB U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	54-82	L
16/08	Marilia U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	85-52	W
11/08	Rio Claro U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	70-79	L
07/08	Fundesport/Araraquara U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	65-74	L
28/07	Santo Andre U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	87-45	W
25/07	Mogi das Cruzes U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	68-81	L
04/07	Sesi SP/Franca U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	49-67	L
18/06	Pinheiros U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	71-87	L
02/06	Santos U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	89-79	W
26/05	Sao Jose Desportivo U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	61-91	L

Sao Jose Desportivo U20

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/08	Pinheiros U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	95-71	W
18/08	Fundesport/Araraquara U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	102-66	W
10/08	Santos U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	91-60	W
04/08	Limeira Basquete U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	102-56	W
24/07	Sesi SP/Franca U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	86-83	W
07/07	Mogi das Cruzes U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	107-75	W
03/07	Rio Claro U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	90-76	W
12/06	Paulistano LDB U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	82-60	W
04/06	Santo Andre U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	93-47	W
26/05	Sorocaba U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	91-61	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sorocaba U20 vs Sao Jose Desportivo U20?

Our model gives 88% to Sao Jose Desportivo U20.

How many points are expected in Sorocaba U20 vs Sao Jose Desportivo U20?

The model estimates 152 total points (Sorocaba U20 67.8 · Sao Jose Desportivo U20 84.2).