Basketball · Brazil Paulista FPB U20 · 11/09, 00:00
Prediction: Santo Andre U20 vs Sorocaba U20
Team pages: Santo Andre U20 · Sorocaba U20
Prediction summary
Estimated points
148.5Total
Santo Andre U2067
Sorocaba U2081.5
1X2
Santo Andre U20
Sorocaba U20
Markets
Over 134.5 points 75%
Recent form · 10 last
Santo Andre U20
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Sorocaba U20
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Santo Andre U20
0–1
Sorocaba U20
(1 last)
- Sorocaba U2087-45Santo Andre U20
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santo Andre U20 1387 · Sorocaba U20 1463
| Santo Andre U20 | Sorocaba U20 | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 6% | 94% |
Estimated total (ours)
148.5 points · Bet365 line 134.5 · +14
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points148.5Santo Andre U20 67 · Sorocaba U20 81.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sorocaba U20 (rating 1387 vs 1463).
- Sorocaba U20 is a clear favourite (85% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Santo Andre U20 | Sorocaba U20 | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 54.5 / 100.5 | 68.4 / 69.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 59.2 / 99.6 | 68.8 / 69 |
| Est. result | 67 | 82 |
Est. total148.5
Line O/U134.5
Diff.14
Over / Under75% / 25%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santo Andre U20 0–0–1 Sorocaba U20
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/26 Brazil Paulista FPB U20 | Sorocaba U20 | 87-45 | Santo Andre U20 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Santo Andre U20 | Sorocaba U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Sao Jose Desportivo U20 | 61-100 L | 65-71 L |
| Fundesport/Araraquara U20 | 52-115 L | 65-74 L |
| Mogi das Cruzes U20 | 48-111 L | 68-81 L |
| Limeira Basquete U20 | 62-107 L | 70-61 W |
| Pinheiros U20 | 51-77 L | 71-87 L |
| Paulistano LDB U20 | 24-118 L | 54-82 L |
| Rio Claro U20 | 54-106 L | 70-79 L |
| Sesi SP/Franca U20 | 75-119 L | 49-67 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 8 L | 1 W 0 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Sorocaba U20 (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santo Andre U20
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Sao Jose Desportivo U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20 |
61-100 | L |
| 04/09 | Fundesport/Araraquara U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20 |
52-115 | L |
| 27/08 | Santos U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20 |
73-65 | W |
| 19/08 | Mogi das Cruzes U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20 |
48-111 | L |
| 18/08 | Limeira Basquete U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20 |
62-107 | L |
| 13/08 | Pinheiros U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20 |
51-77 | L |
| 28/07 | Sorocaba U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20 |
45-87 | L |
| 06/07 | Paulistano LDB U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20 |
24-118 | L |
| 18/06 | Rio Claro U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20 |
54-106 | L |
| 16/06 | Sesi SP/Franca U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20 |
75-119 | L |
Sorocaba U20
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Limeira Basquete U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20 |
70-61 | W |
| 01/09 | Sao Jose Desportivo U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20 |
65-71 | L |
| 24/08 | Paulistano LDB U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20 |
54-82 | L |
| 16/08 | Marilia U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20 |
85-52 | W |
| 11/08 | Rio Claro U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20 |
70-79 | L |
| 07/08 | Fundesport/Araraquara U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20 |
65-74 | L |
| 28/07 | Santo Andre U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20 |
87-45 | W |
| 25/07 | Mogi das Cruzes U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20 |
68-81 | L |
| 04/07 | Sesi SP/Franca U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20 |
49-67 | L |
| 18/06 | Pinheiros U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20 |
71-87 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santo Andre U20 vs Sorocaba U20?
Our model gives 85% to Sorocaba U20.
How many points are expected in Santo Andre U20 vs Sorocaba U20?
The model estimates 148.5 total points (Santo Andre U20 67 · Sorocaba U20 81.5).