Basketball · Brazil Paulista FPB U20 · 31/08, 22:00

Prediction: Paulistano LDB U20 vs Rio Claro U20

Team pages: Paulistano LDB U20 · Rio Claro U20

Prediction summary

Estimated points

146.9Total

Paulistano LDB U2081.4

Rio Claro U2065.6

1X2

87% 13%

Paulistano LDB U20 Rio Claro U20

Recent form · 10 last

Paulistano LDB U20 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWWWWW

Rio Claro U20 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLWWWW

Head-to-head

Paulistano LDB U20 5–0 Rio Claro U20 (5 last)

Rio Claro U2071-90Paulistano LDB U20
Paulistano LDB U2076-60Rio Claro U20
Rio Claro U2053-85Paulistano LDB U20
Paulistano LDB U2078-53Rio Claro U20
Rio Claro U2059-71Paulistano LDB U20

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paulistano LDB U20 1592 · Rio Claro U20 1540

	Paulistano LDB U20	Rio Claro U20
Our model	69%	31%
Market	91%	9%

Estimated total (ours) 146.9 points · Bet365 line 148.5 · -1.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points146.9Paulistano LDB U20 81.4 · Rio Claro U20 65.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paulistano LDB U20 (rating 1592 vs 1540).
Paulistano LDB U20 is a clear favourite (87% market).
H2H favours Paulistano LDB U20: 5-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Paulistano LDB U20	Rio Claro U20
Points F\|A (Last 10)	81.1 / 57.1	79.2 / 68.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	87.8 / 52	78.4 / 70.4
Est. result	81	66

Est. total146.9

Line O/U148.5

Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.02

210.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-18.5)1.83

2 (+18.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 148.51.83

Under 148.51.83

Diff.: 5.75 · Est. total: 142.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.02 → 1.02	Bet365 1.02
2	10.50 → 10.50	Bet365 10.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.1%

Time*	1	2
18:27 +19’	1.02	10.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Paulistano LDB U20 5–0–0 Rio Claro U20

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	Rio Claro U20	71-90	Paulistano LDB U20
03/10/23 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	Paulistano LDB U20	76-60	Rio Claro U20
19/03/23 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	Rio Claro U20	53-85	Paulistano LDB U20
19/07/22 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	Paulistano LDB U20	78-53	Rio Claro U20
03/07/22 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	Rio Claro U20	59-71	Paulistano LDB U20

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Paulistano LDB U20	Rio Claro U20
Sorocaba U20	82-54 W	79-70 W
Pinheiros U20	77-57 W	68-76 L
Mogi das Cruzes U20	73-60 W	78-77 W
Santos U20	89-65 W	66-45 W
Santo Andre U20	118-24 W	106-54 W
Sesi SP/Franca U20	55-48 W	86-67 W
Sao Jose Desportivo U20	60-82 L	76-90 L
Limeira Basquete U20	82-53 W	75-60 W
Fundesport/Araraquara U20	107-52 W	74-78 L
Record vs common	8 W 0 D 1 L	6 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Paulistano LDB U20 (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Paulistano LDB U20

LWWLWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/08	Sorocaba U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	82-54	W
17/08	Pinheiros U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	77-57	W
11/08	Mogi das Cruzes U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	73-60	W
25/07	Santos U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	89-65	W
06/07	Santo Andre U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	118-24	W
17/06	Sesi SP/Franca U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	55-48	W
12/06	Sao Jose Desportivo U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	60-82	L
01/06	Limeira Basquete U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	82-53	W
19/05	Fundesport/Araraquara U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	107-52	W
01/05	Pinheiros U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	68-76	L

Rio Claro U20

WWLWLLWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/08	Sesi SP/Franca U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	86-67	W
18/08	Mogi das Cruzes U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	78-77	W
11/08	Sorocaba U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	79-70	W
25/07	Limeira Basquete U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	75-60	W
07/07	Fundesport/Araraquara U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	74-78	L
03/07	Sao Jose Desportivo U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	76-90	L
18/06	Santo Andre U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	106-54	W
11/06	Pinheiros U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	68-76	L
30/05	Santos U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	66-45	W
29/05	Marilia U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	84-64	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paulistano LDB U20 vs Rio Claro U20?

Our model gives 87% to Paulistano LDB U20.

How many points are expected in Paulistano LDB U20 vs Rio Claro U20?

The model estimates 146.9 total points (Paulistano LDB U20 81.4 · Rio Claro U20 65.6).