Basketball · China NWBC Women · 30/08, 10:00

Prediction: Jiangsu (W) vs Beijing Shougang (W)

Team pages: Beijing Shougang (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

148.7Total

Jiangsu (W)77.2

Beijing Shougang (W)71.4

1X2

66% 34%

Jiangsu (W) Beijing Shougang (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Jiangsu (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWLWL

Beijing Shougang (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWLWWL

Head-to-head

Jiangsu (W) 2–2 Beijing Shougang (W) (4 last)

Beijing Shougang (W)89-88Jiangsu (W)
Jiangsu (W)92-34Beijing Shougang (W)
Jiangsu (W)53-59Beijing Shougang (W)
Jiangsu (W)86-59Beijing Shougang (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jiangsu (W) 1575 · Beijing Shougang (W) 1514

	Jiangsu (W)	Beijing Shougang (W)
Our model	70%	30%
Market	65%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 148.7 points · Bet365 line 148.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points148.7Jiangsu (W) 77.2 · Beijing Shougang (W) 71.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jiangsu (W) (rating 1575 vs 1514).
Jiangsu (W) is a clear favourite (66% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Jiangsu (W)	Beijing Shougang (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	75.1 / 71.7	74.5 / 72.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	71.2 / 78.4	74.8 / 72
Est. result	77	71

Est. total148.7

Line O/U148.5

Diff.0.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.43

22.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.83

2 (+5.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 148.51.83

Under 148.51.83

Diff.: 1.7 · Est. total: 146.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.43 → 1.43	Bet365 1.43
2	2.65 → 2.65	Bet365 2.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.5%

Time*	1	2
15:42 +5’	1.43	2.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Jiangsu (W) 2–0–2 Beijing Shougang (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
26/08/26 China NWBC Women	Beijing Shougang (W)	89-88	Jiangsu (W)
10/09/25 China NWBC Women	Jiangsu (W)	92-34	Beijing Shougang (W)
25/08/25 Club Friendlies Women	Jiangsu (W)	53-59	Beijing Shougang (W)
20/08/24 China NWBC Women	Jiangsu (W)	86-59	Beijing Shougang (W)

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jiangsu (W)	Beijing Shougang (W)
Sichuan (W)	44-87 L	80-83 L
Hefei Tourism Women	84-66 W	94-59 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Beijing Shougang (W) (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jiangsu (W)

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
28/08	Sichuan (W) China NWBC Women	44-87	L
27/08	Beijing Normal Uni (W) China NWBC Women	83-81	W
26/08	Beijing Shougang (W) China NWBC Women	88-89	L
25/08	Hefei Tourism Women China NWBC Women	84-66	W
24/08	Sichuan (W) China NWBC Women	57-69	L
22/08	Daqing Women China NWBC Women	87-61	W
24/07	Hebei (W) China NWBC Women	71-55	W
23/07	Shanxi Xing Rui Women China NWBC Women	74-70	W
21/07	Henan Elephants Women China NWBC Women	78-72	W
20/07	Shanghai Jiaotong Uni (W) China NWBC Women	85-67	W

Beijing Shougang (W)

WLWWLWLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
28/08	Shandong Hi-Speed (W) China NWBC Women	46-68	L
27/08	Shanghai Baoshan Dahua (W) China NWBC Women	65-62	W
26/08	Jiangsu (W) China NWBC Women	89-88	W
25/08	Sichuan (W) China NWBC Women	80-83	L
24/08	Hefei Tourism Women China NWBC Women	94-59	W
21/07	Peking University (W) China NWBC Women	83-89	L
20/07	Dalian (W) China NWBC Women	68-65	W
19/07	Fujian Xiamen (W) China NWBC Women	73-68	W
18/07	Sichuan (W) China NWBC Women	56-72	L
16/07	Shanghai Pudong (W) China NWBC Women	91-69	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jiangsu (W) vs Beijing Shougang (W)?

Our model gives 66% to Jiangsu (W).

How many points are expected in Jiangsu (W) vs Beijing Shougang (W)?

The model estimates 148.7 total points (Jiangsu (W) 77.2 · Beijing Shougang (W) 71.4).