Basketball · China NWBC Women · 25/08, 11:30

Prediction: Xinjiang (W) vs Hebei (W)

Team pages: Xinjiang (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

146.4Total

Xinjiang (W)67.3

Hebei (W)79.1

1X2

20% 80%

Xinjiang (W) Hebei (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Xinjiang (W) 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WWLLLLLLWL

Hebei (W) 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLLW

Head-to-head

Xinjiang (W) 4–2 Hebei (W) (6 last)

Hebei (W)79-110Xinjiang (W)
Xinjiang (W)90-64Hebei (W)
Hebei (W)48-75Xinjiang (W)
Hebei (W)82-77Xinjiang (W)
Xinjiang (W)81-90Hebei (W)
Hebei (W)62-86Xinjiang (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Xinjiang (W) 1456 · Hebei (W) 1421

	Xinjiang (W)	Hebei (W)
Our model	67%	33%
Market	8%	92%

Estimated total (ours) 146.4 points · Bet365 line 140.5 · +5.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points146.4Xinjiang (W) 67.3 · Hebei (W) 79.1

Match keys

Hebei (W) is a clear favourite (80% market).
H2H favours Xinjiang (W): 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Xinjiang (W)	Hebei (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	63.3 / 71.7	64.8 / 79.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	53.8 / 73.2	66.8 / 75.8
Est. result	67	79

Est. total146.4

Line O/U140.5

Diff.5.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

111.00

21.02

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+19.5)1.83

2 (-19.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 140.51.83

Under 140.51.83

Diff.: 0.85 · Est. total: 139.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
2	1.02 → 1.02	Bet365 1.02

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.1%

Time*	1	2
21:17 +28’	11.00	1.02

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Xinjiang (W) 4–0–2 Hebei (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
11/01/26 China WCBA	Hebei (W)	79-110	Xinjiang (W)
10/12/25 China WCBA	Xinjiang (W)	90-64	Hebei (W)
13/10/25 China NWBC Women	Hebei (W)	48-75	Xinjiang (W)
19/01/25 China WCBA	Hebei (W)	82-77	Xinjiang (W)
19/12/24 China WCBA	Xinjiang (W)	81-90	Hebei (W)
11/03/24 China WCBA	Hebei (W)	62-86	Xinjiang (W)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Xinjiang (W)

WWLLLLLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/08	Fujian Jinjiang (W) China NWBC Women	49-73	L
23/08	Daqing Women China NWBC Women	83-60	W
30/07	Wuhan (W) China NWBC Women	42-80	L
29/07	Hefei Tourism Women China NWBC Women	41-84	L
28/07	Shandong Hi-Speed (W) China NWBC Women	54-69	L
26/07	Jiangxi Jingyu Qingjiu (W) China NWBC Women	66-68	L
25/07	Beijing Normal Uni (W) China NWBC Women	54-78	L
24/07	Shaanxi (W) China NWBC Women	74-76	L
23/07	Daqing Women China NWBC Women	91-57	W
16/10	Ganzhou (W) China NWBC Women	79-72	W

Hebei (W)

LLLLLLLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/08	Ganzhou (W) China NWBC Women	90-73	W
24/07	Jiangsu (W) China NWBC Women	55-71	L
23/07	Zhejiang (W) China NWBC Women	72-83	L
22/07	Shanxi Xing Rui Women China NWBC Women	51-75	L
20/07	Guangdong (W) China NWBC Women	66-77	L
19/07	Shanghai Jiaotong Uni (W) China NWBC Women	75-86	L
18/07	Henan Elephants Women China NWBC Women	59-90	L
13/10	Xinjiang (W) China NWBC Women	48-75	L
12/10	Beijing Shougang (W) China NWBC Women	62-76	L
11/10	Ganzhou (W) China NWBC Women	70-89	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Xinjiang (W) vs Hebei (W)?

Our model gives 80% to Hebei (W).

How many points are expected in Xinjiang (W) vs Hebei (W)?

The model estimates 146.4 total points (Xinjiang (W) 67.3 · Hebei (W) 79.1).