Basketball · Bulgaria NBL · 16/10, 17:00

Prediction: Balkan Botevgrad vs Levski Sofia

Team pages: Balkan Botevgrad · Levski Sofia

Prediction summary

Estimated points

168.1Total

Balkan Botevgrad89.2

Levski Sofia78.9

1X2

77% 23%

Balkan Botevgrad Levski Sofia

Recent form · 10 last

Balkan Botevgrad 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLLWW

Levski Sofia 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLLLWL

Head-to-head

Balkan Botevgrad 6–0 Levski Sofia (6 last)

Levski Sofia67-99Balkan Botevgrad
Levski Sofia70-102Balkan Botevgrad
Balkan Botevgrad96-58Levski Sofia
Levski Sofia91-96Balkan Botevgrad
Balkan Botevgrad83-65Levski Sofia
Balkan Botevgrad91-72Levski Sofia

Model analysis

Estimated points168.1Balkan Botevgrad 89.2 · Levski Sofia 78.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Balkan Botevgrad (rating 1549 vs 1428).
Balkan Botevgrad is a clear favourite (77% market).
H2H favours Balkan Botevgrad: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Balkan Botevgrad	Levski Sofia
Points F\|A (Last 10)	86 / 78.3	79.6 / 94.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	84.2 / 80.2	80.2 / 92.2
Est. result	89	79

Est. total168.1

Line O/U166

Diff.2.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1661.85

Under 1661.82

Diff.: 3.35 · Est. total: 169.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:46

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.01 → 1.01▼	Pinn 1.01
2	8.17 → 8.43▲	Pinn 8.43

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	2
17:09 +39’	1.01	8.17
18:41 +6’	1.01▼	8.43▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Balkan Botevgrad 6–0–0 Levski Sofia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/03/26 Bulgaria NBL	Levski Sofia	67-99	Balkan Botevgrad
19/01/26 Bulgaria NBL	Levski Sofia	70-102	Balkan Botevgrad
08/11/25 Bulgaria NBL	Balkan Botevgrad	96-58	Levski Sofia
26/04/25 Bulgaria NBL	Levski Sofia	91-96	Balkan Botevgrad
13/03/25 Bulgaria Cup	Balkan Botevgrad	83-65	Levski Sofia
10/02/25 Bulgaria NBL	Balkan Botevgrad	91-72	Levski Sofia

Standings · Bulgaria NBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	1	1	0	96	64	2
2	Balkan Botevgrad	1	1	0	91	66	2
3	Minyor 2015	1	1	0	123	101	2
4	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1	1	0	92	73	2
5	Cherno More Varna	1	1	0	93	76	2
6	CSKA Sofia	1	1	0	100	95	2
7	Botev Academic	1	1	0	90	86	2
8	Beroe	1	0	1	86	90	1
9	Polytechnica	1	0	1	95	100	1
10	Levski Sofia	1	0	1	76	93	1
11	Spartak Pleven	1	0	1	73	92	1
12	Shumen	1	0	1	101	123	1
13	Botev 2012	1	0	1	66	91	1
14	Yambol	1	0	1	64	96	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Balkan Botevgrad	Levski Sofia
Botev 2012	91-66 W	71-90 L
Lokomotiv Plovdiv	81-80 W	90-99 L
Cherno More Varna	77-59 W	76-93 L
Minyor 2015	103-83 W	90-103 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Balkan Botevgrad (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Balkan Botevgrad

WWWWWWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Botev 2012 Bulgaria NBL	91-66	W
05/06	Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria NBL	81-80	W
01/06	Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria NBL	78-84	L
30/05	Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria NBL	77-82	L
27/05	Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria NBL	94-89	W
25/05	Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria NBL	88-73	W
14/05	Cherno More Varna Bulgaria NBL	77-59	W
11/05	Cherno More Varna Bulgaria NBL	80-78	W
09/05	Cherno More Varna Bulgaria NBL	91-89	W
01/05	Minyor 2015 Bulgaria NBL	103-83	W

Levski Sofia

LLLLWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/10	Cherno More Varna Bulgaria NBL	76-93	L
25/04	Botev Academic Bulgaria NBL	88-87	W
19/04	Botev 2012 Bulgaria NBL	71-90	L
15/04	Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria NBL	90-99	L
10/04	Beroe Bulgaria NBL	76-92	L
04/04	Shumen Bulgaria NBL	81-74	W
30/03	Balkan Botevgrad Bulgaria NBL	67-99	L
24/03	Cherno More Varna Bulgaria NBL	89-103	L
18/03	Minyor 2015 Bulgaria NBL	90-103	L
14/03	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria NBL	68-108	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Balkan Botevgrad vs Levski Sofia?

Our model gives 77% to Balkan Botevgrad.

How many points are expected in Balkan Botevgrad vs Levski Sofia?

The model estimates 168.1 total points (Balkan Botevgrad 89.2 · Levski Sofia 78.9).