Basketball · Bulgaria NBL · 10/10, 17:00
Prediction: Botev 2012 vs Balkan Botevgrad
Prediction summary
Estimated points
167.8Total
Botev 201277.2
Balkan Botevgrad90.6
1X2
Botev 2012
Balkan Botevgrad
Recent form · 10 last
Botev 2012
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Balkan Botevgrad
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Botev 2012
0–3
Balkan Botevgrad
(3 last)
- Balkan Botevgrad93-86Botev 2012
- Balkan Botevgrad106-74Botev 2012
- Botev 201265-88Balkan Botevgrad
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Botev 2012 1454 · Balkan Botevgrad 1542
| Botev 2012 | Balkan Botevgrad | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
Estimated total (ours)
167.8 points · Bet365 line 170.5 · -2.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points167.8Botev 2012 77.2 · Balkan Botevgrad 90.6
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Balkan Botevgrad (rating 1454 vs 1542).
- Balkan Botevgrad is a clear favourite (83% market).
- H2H favours Balkan Botevgrad: 3-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Botev 2012 | Balkan Botevgrad | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 84.9 / 83.7 | 87.4 / 78.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 83.2 / 86 | 83.6 / 81.6 |
| Est. result | 77 | 91 |
Est. total167.8
Line O/U170.5
Diff.2.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Botev 2012 0–0–3 Balkan Botevgrad
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Bulgaria NBL | Balkan Botevgrad | 93-86 | Botev 2012 |
| 04/03/26 Bulgaria NBL | Balkan Botevgrad | 106-74 | Botev 2012 |
| 14/12/25 Bulgaria NBL | Botev 2012 | 65-88 | Balkan Botevgrad |
Standings · Bulgaria NBL
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Akademik Plovdiv | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Balkan Botevgrad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Beroe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Spartak Pleven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Yambol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | BK Politehnika Dupnitsa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Botev 2012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cherno More Varna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CSKA Sofia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Minyor 2015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Shumen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Botev 2012 | Balkan Botevgrad |
|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 67-86 L | 81-80 W |
| Minyor 2015 | 97-101 L | 103-83 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Balkan Botevgrad (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Botev 2012
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria NBL |
67-86 | L |
| 30/04 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria NBL |
76-79 | L |
| 25/04 | Balkan Botevgrad Bulgaria NBL |
86-93 | L |
| 19/04 | Levski Sofia Bulgaria NBL |
90-71 | W |
| 16/04 | Minyor 2015 Bulgaria NBL |
97-101 | L |
| 08/04 | Rilski Sportist Bulgaria NBL |
89-96 | L |
| 04/04 | Spartak Pleven Bulgaria NBL |
85-76 | W |
| 29/03 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria NBL |
98-90 | W |
| 25/03 | Akademik Plovdiv Bulgaria NBL |
78-68 | W |
| 22/03 | Shumen Bulgaria NBL |
83-77 | W |
Balkan Botevgrad
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria NBL |
81-80 | W |
| 01/06 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria NBL |
78-84 | L |
| 30/05 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria NBL |
77-82 | L |
| 27/05 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria NBL |
94-89 | W |
| 25/05 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria NBL |
88-73 | W |
| 14/05 | Cherno More Varna Bulgaria NBL |
77-59 | W |
| 11/05 | Cherno More Varna Bulgaria NBL |
80-78 | W |
| 09/05 | Cherno More Varna Bulgaria NBL |
91-89 | W |
| 01/05 | Minyor 2015 Bulgaria NBL |
103-83 | W |
| 29/04 | Minyor 2015 Bulgaria NBL |
105-66 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Botev 2012 vs Balkan Botevgrad?
Our model gives 83% to Balkan Botevgrad.
How many points are expected in Botev 2012 vs Balkan Botevgrad?
The model estimates 167.8 total points (Botev 2012 77.2 · Balkan Botevgrad 90.6).