Basketball · Switzerland NLB · 31/10, 17:30

Prediction: Bernex Basket vs Swiss Central Basket

Team pages: Bernex Basket

Prediction summary

Estimated points

146.1Total

Bernex Basket80.6

Swiss Central Basket65.5

1X2

86% 14%

Bernex Basket Swiss Central Basket

Recent form · 10 last

Bernex Basket 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLWWWL

Swiss Central Basket 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWLLLW

Head-to-head

Bernex Basket 3–2 Swiss Central Basket (5 last)

Swiss Central Basket64-86Bernex Basket
Swiss Central Basket47-57Bernex Basket
Swiss Central Basket72-54Bernex Basket
Bernex Basket81-104Swiss Central Basket
Swiss Central Basket62-69Bernex Basket

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bernex Basket 1541 · Swiss Central Basket 1450

	Bernex Basket	Swiss Central Basket
Our model	74%	26%
Market	89%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 146.1 points · Bet365 line 144.5 · +1.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points146.1Bernex Basket 80.6 · Swiss Central Basket 65.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bernex Basket (rating 1541 vs 1450).
Bernex Basket is a clear favourite (86% market).
H2H favours Bernex Basket: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Bernex Basket	Swiss Central Basket
Points F\|A (Last 10)	76.1 / 68.5	65.7 / 71.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	78 / 71.8	65 / 69.2
Est. result	81	66

Est. total146.1

Line O/U144.5

Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.04

28.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-16.5)1.83

2 (+16.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 144.51.83

Under 144.51.83

Diff.: 3.75 · Est. total: 140.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.04 → 1.04	Bet365 1.04
2	8.75 → 8.75	Bet365 8.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.1% Pinnacle margin 14.2%

Time*	1	2
15:45 +12’	1.04	8.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
17:49 +6’	1.02	5.93
18:41 +17’	1.02▼	6.35▲
23:14 +38’	1.02	6.31▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bernex Basket 3–0–2 Swiss Central Basket

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 Switzerland NLB	Swiss Central Basket	64-86	Bernex Basket
07/12/24 Switzerland NLB	Swiss Central Basket	47-57	Bernex Basket
10/02/24 Switzerland NLB	Swiss Central Basket	72-54	Bernex Basket
25/11/23 Switzerland NLB	Bernex Basket	81-104	Swiss Central Basket
16/12/22 Switzerland NLB	Swiss Central Basket	62-69	Bernex Basket

Standings · Switzerland NLB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Fribourg U23	5	4	1	408	357	8
2	Villars Basket	5	4	1	385	347	8
3	Goldcoast Wallabies	5	4	1	355	320	8
4	Geneve Lions U23	6	4	2	473	446	8
5	Morges Saint Prex Red Devils	6	4	2	505	424	8
6	BC Baren Kleinbasel	6	4	2	484	455	8
7	Meyrin Geneve	6	4	2	507	470	8
8	Bernex Basket	4	3	1	329	282	6
9	BC Alte Kanti Aarau	5	3	2	367	342	6
10	Lugano Tigers U23	6	3	3	503	505	6
11	SAV Vacallo Basket	6	3	3	458	441	6
12	Swiss Central Basket	5	2	3	325	346	4
13	CNBS	3	1	2	265	246	2
14	BC Boncourt	5	1	4	321	353	2
15	GC Zurich Wildcats U23	6	1	5	376	518	2
16	VRB/ULRB Riviera 1952	5	0	5	335	456	0
17	BC Winterthur	6	0	6	399	487	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bernex Basket	Swiss Central Basket
Morges Saint Prex Red Devils	87-79 W	69-68 W
BC Baren Kleinbasel	92-53 W	62-81 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Bernex Basket (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bernex Basket

WLLWWLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Lugano Tigers U23 Switzerland NLB	75-80	L
04/10	GC Zurich Wildcats U23 Switzerland NLB	89-47	W
30/09	Morges Saint Prex Red Devils Switzerland NLB	87-79	W
26/09	Fribourg U23 Switzerland NLB	78-76	W
30/05	GC Zurich Wildcats Switzerland NLB	61-77	L
27/05	GC Zurich Wildcats Switzerland NLB	85-56	W
24/05	GC Zurich Wildcats Switzerland NLB	61-59	W
20/05	GC Zurich Wildcats Switzerland NLB	64-76	L
17/05	GC Zurich Wildcats Switzerland NLB	69-82	L
13/05	BC Baren Kleinbasel Switzerland NLB	92-53	W

Swiss Central Basket

LLWWLWLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Morges Saint Prex Red Devils Switzerland NLB	69-68	W
17/10	BC Baren Kleinbasel Switzerland NLB	62-81	L
14/10	Goldcoast Wallabies Switzerland NLB	57-60	L
03/10	Villars Basket Switzerland NLB	58-70	L
25/09	BC Winterthur Switzerland NLB	79-67	W
29/03	Geneve Lions U23 Switzerland NLB	80-99	L
22/03	BC Boncourt Switzerland NLB	62-57	W
15/03	BC Winterthur Switzerland NLB	68-57	W
28/02	CNBS Switzerland NLB	62-83	L
21/02	Villars Basket Switzerland NLB	60-70	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bernex Basket vs Swiss Central Basket?

Our model gives 86% to Bernex Basket.

How many points are expected in Bernex Basket vs Swiss Central Basket?

The model estimates 146.1 total points (Bernex Basket 80.6 · Swiss Central Basket 65.5).