Basketball · China NWBC Women · 25/08, 09:30
Prediction: Sichuan (W) vs Beijing Shougang (W)
Team pages: Sichuan (W) · Beijing Shougang (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
146.4Total
Sichuan (W)81.1
Beijing Shougang (W)65.3
1X2
Sichuan (W)
Beijing Shougang (W)
Recent form · 10 last
Sichuan (W)
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Beijing Shougang (W)
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sichuan (W)
2–0
Beijing Shougang (W)
(2 last)
- Beijing Shougang (W)56-72Sichuan (W)
- Beijing Shougang (W)55-73Sichuan (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sichuan (W) 1663 · Beijing Shougang (W) 1553
| Sichuan (W) | Beijing Shougang (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 24% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
146.4 points · Bet365 line 140.5 · +5.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points146.4Sichuan (W) 81.1 · Beijing Shougang (W) 65.3
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sichuan (W) (rating 1663 vs 1553).
- Sichuan (W) is a clear favourite (87% market).
- H2H favours Sichuan (W): 2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Sichuan (W) | Beijing Shougang (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 86 / 61.2 | 70.9 / 65 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 80 / 61 | 74.8 / 70.6 |
| Est. result | 81 | 65 |
Est. total146.4
Line O/U140.5
Diff.5.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sichuan (W) 2–0–0 Beijing Shougang (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/26 China NWBC Women | Beijing Shougang (W) | 56-72 | Sichuan (W) |
| 22/08/24 China NWBC Women | Beijing Shougang (W) | 55-73 | Sichuan (W) |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sichuan (W) | Beijing Shougang (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Fujian Jinjiang (W) | 84-71 W | 72-59 W |
| Peking University (W) | 80-45 W | 83-89 L |
| Fujian Xiamen (W) | 94-57 W | 73-68 W |
| Dalian (W) | 81-56 W | 68-65 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Sichuan (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sichuan (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Jiangsu (W) China NWBC Women |
69-57 | W |
| 21/07 | Fujian Jinjiang (W) China NWBC Women |
84-71 | W |
| 20/07 | Shanghai (W) China NWBC Women |
95-76 | W |
| 18/07 | Beijing Shougang (W) China NWBC Women |
72-56 | W |
| 17/07 | Peking University (W) China NWBC Women |
80-45 | W |
| 16/07 | Fujian Xiamen (W) China NWBC Women |
94-57 | W |
| 15/07 | Dalian (W) China NWBC Women |
81-56 | W |
| 18/10 | Jiangsu Dragons Women China NWBC Women |
95-73 | W |
| 16/10 | Wuhan (W) China NWBC Women |
93-55 | W |
| 15/10 | Shanghai (W) China NWBC Women |
97-66 | W |
Beijing Shougang (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Hefei Tourism Women China NWBC Women |
94-59 | W |
| 21/07 | Peking University (W) China NWBC Women |
83-89 | L |
| 20/07 | Dalian (W) China NWBC Women |
68-65 | W |
| 19/07 | Fujian Xiamen (W) China NWBC Women |
73-68 | W |
| 18/07 | Sichuan (W) China NWBC Women |
56-72 | L |
| 16/07 | Shanghai Pudong (W) China NWBC Women |
91-69 | W |
| 15/07 | Fujian Jinjiang (W) China NWBC Women |
72-59 | W |
| 15/10 | Henan Elephants Women China NWBC Women |
50-48 | W |
| 14/10 | Hefei Tourism Women China NWBC Women |
65-62 | W |
| 13/10 | Shaanxi (W) China NWBC Women |
57-59 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sichuan (W) vs Beijing Shougang (W)?
Our model gives 87% to Sichuan (W).
How many points are expected in Sichuan (W) vs Beijing Shougang (W)?
The model estimates 146.4 total points (Sichuan (W) 81.1 · Beijing Shougang (W) 65.3).