Basketball · China NWBC Women · 23/08, 12:00

Prediction: Henan Elephants Women vs Wuhan (W)

Team pages: Henan Elephants Women · Wuhan (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

143.2Total

Henan Elephants Women75.5

Wuhan (W)67.7

1X2

71% 29%

Henan Elephants Women Wuhan (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Henan Elephants Women 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLWWWW

Wuhan (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLWLLL

Head-to-head

Henan Elephants Women 2–4 Wuhan (W) (6 last)

Henan Elephants Women95-64Wuhan (W)
Henan Elephants Women81-68Wuhan (W)
Wuhan (W)78-75Henan Elephants Women
Wuhan (W)86-73Henan Elephants Women
Henan Elephants Women56-79Wuhan (W)
Wuhan (W)83-60Henan Elephants Women

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Henan Elephants Women 1534 · Wuhan (W) 1477

	Henan Elephants Women	Wuhan (W)
Our model	70%	30%
Market	71%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 143.2 points · Bet365 line 137.5 · +5.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points143.2Henan Elephants Women 75.5 · Wuhan (W) 67.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Henan Elephants Women (rating 1534 vs 1477).
Henan Elephants Women is a clear favourite (71% market).
H2H favours Wuhan (W): 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Henan Elephants Women	Wuhan (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	66.2 / 61.2	72 / 69.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	65 / 59.4	67 / 68.8
Est. result	76	68

Est. total143.2

Line O/U137.5

Diff.5.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.31

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-7.5)1.83

2 (+7.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 137.51.83

Under 137.51.83

Diff.: 2.85 · Est. total: 134.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.31 → 1.31	Bet365 1.31
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.5%

Time*	1	2
05:37 +8’	1.31	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Henan Elephants Women 2–0–4 Wuhan (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
18/02/25 China WCBA	Henan Elephants Women	95-64	Wuhan (W)
14/02/25 China WCBA	Henan Elephants Women	81-68	Wuhan (W)
28/12/24 China WCBA	Wuhan (W)	78-75	Henan Elephants Women
26/12/24 China WCBA	Wuhan (W)	86-73	Henan Elephants Women
22/02/24 China WCBA	Henan Elephants Women	56-79	Wuhan (W)
28/11/23 China WCBA	Wuhan (W)	83-60	Henan Elephants Women

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Henan Elephants Women	Wuhan (W)
Shaanxi (W)	72-71 W	88-80 W
Shanghai Jiaotong Uni (W)	68-60 W	61-84 L
Shanxi Xing Rui Women	55-49 W	61-69 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Henan Elephants Women (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Henan Elephants Women

LWWLLLWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
22/08	Shaanxi (W) China NWBC Women	72-71	W
21/08	Guangdong (W) China NWBC Women	69-55	W
20/08	Dalian (W) China NWBC Women	73-64	W
24/07	Shanghai Jiaotong Uni (W) China NWBC Women	68-60	W
23/07	Guangdong (W) China NWBC Women	43-47	L
22/07	Zhejiang (W) China NWBC Women	72-79	L
21/07	Jiangsu (W) China NWBC Women	72-78	L
19/07	Shanxi Xing Rui Women China NWBC Women	55-49	W
18/07	Hebei (W) China NWBC Women	90-59	W
15/10	Beijing Shougang (W) China NWBC Women	48-50	L

Wuhan (W)

LWWLWLWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
22/08	Shanghai Jiaotong Uni (W) China NWBC Women	61-84	L
21/08	Fujian Xiamen (W) China NWBC Women	62-71	L
20/08	Shanxi Xing Rui Women China NWBC Women	61-69	L
30/07	Xinjiang (W) China NWBC Women	80-42	W
29/07	Beijing Normal Uni (W) China NWBC Women	71-78	L
28/07	Shaanxi (W) China NWBC Women	88-80	W
26/07	Hefei Tourism Women China NWBC Women	74-88	L
25/07	Jiangxi Jingyu Qingjiu (W) China NWBC Women	76-57	W
24/07	Daqing Women China NWBC Women	106-47	W
23/07	Shandong Hi-Speed (W) China NWBC Women	41-83	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Henan Elephants Women vs Wuhan (W)?

Our model gives 71% to Henan Elephants Women.

How many points are expected in Henan Elephants Women vs Wuhan (W)?

The model estimates 143.2 total points (Henan Elephants Women 75.5 · Wuhan (W) 67.7).