Basketball · China NWBC Women · 23/08, 11:30
Prediction: Xinjiang (W) vs Daqing Women
Prediction summary
Estimated points
145.8Total
Xinjiang (W)81.9
Daqing Women63.9
1X2
Xinjiang (W)
Daqing Women
Recent form · 10 last
Xinjiang (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Daqing Women
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Xinjiang (W)
3–0
Daqing Women
(3 last)
- Xinjiang (W)91-57Daqing Women
- Xinjiang (W)88-58Daqing Women
- Daqing Women54-73Xinjiang (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xinjiang (W) 1438 · Daqing Women 1377
| Xinjiang (W) | Daqing Women | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
Estimated total (ours)
145.8 points · Bet365 line 142.5 · +3.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points145.8Xinjiang (W) 81.9 · Daqing Women 63.9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Xinjiang (W) (rating 1438 vs 1377).
- Xinjiang (W) is a clear favourite (90% market).
- H2H favours Xinjiang (W): 3-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Xinjiang (W) | Daqing Women | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 63 / 68.6 | 55.2 / 94.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 51.4 / 75.8 | 51.8 / 104.2 |
| Est. result | 82 | 64 |
Est. total145.8
Line O/U142.5
Diff.3.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Xinjiang (W) 3–0–0 Daqing Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/26 China NWBC Women | Xinjiang (W) | 91-57 | Daqing Women |
| 10/12/23 China WCBA | Xinjiang (W) | 88-58 | Daqing Women |
| 03/11/23 China WCBA | Daqing Women | 54-73 | Xinjiang (W) |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Xinjiang (W) | Daqing Women |
|---|---|---|
| Wuhan (W) | 42-80 L | 47-106 L |
| Hefei Tourism Women | 41-84 L | 36-76 L |
| Shandong Hi-Speed (W) | 54-69 L | 43-106 L |
| Jiangxi Jingyu Qingjiu (W) | 66-68 L | 70-116 L |
| Beijing Normal Uni (W) | 54-78 L | 29-120 L |
| Shaanxi (W) | 74-76 L | 56-92 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 6 L | 0 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Xinjiang (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xinjiang (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Wuhan (W) China NWBC Women |
42-80 | L |
| 29/07 | Hefei Tourism Women China NWBC Women |
41-84 | L |
| 28/07 | Shandong Hi-Speed (W) China NWBC Women |
54-69 | L |
| 26/07 | Jiangxi Jingyu Qingjiu (W) China NWBC Women |
66-68 | L |
| 25/07 | Beijing Normal Uni (W) China NWBC Women |
54-78 | L |
| 24/07 | Shaanxi (W) China NWBC Women |
74-76 | L |
| 23/07 | Daqing Women China NWBC Women |
91-57 | W |
| 16/10 | Jiangxi Jingyu Qingjiu (W) China NWBC Women |
79-72 | W |
| 14/10 | Dongguan (W) China NWBC Women |
54-54 | D |
| 13/10 | Hebei (W) China NWBC Women |
75-48 | W |
Daqing Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Jiangsu (W) China NWBC Women |
61-87 | L |
| 30/07 | Jiangxi Jingyu Qingjiu (W) China NWBC Women |
70-116 | L |
| 29/07 | Shandong Hi-Speed (W) China NWBC Women |
43-106 | L |
| 28/07 | Beijing Normal Uni (W) China NWBC Women |
29-120 | L |
| 26/07 | Shaanxi (W) China NWBC Women |
56-92 | L |
| 25/07 | Hefei Tourism Women China NWBC Women |
36-76 | L |
| 24/07 | Wuhan (W) China NWBC Women |
47-106 | L |
| 23/07 | Xinjiang (W) China NWBC Women |
57-91 | L |
| 15/10 | Shijiazhuang Yingli (W) China NWBC Women |
84-67 | W |
| 13/10 | Henan Elephants Women China NWBC Women |
69-82 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xinjiang (W) vs Daqing Women?
Our model gives 90% to Xinjiang (W).
How many points are expected in Xinjiang (W) vs Daqing Women?
The model estimates 145.8 total points (Xinjiang (W) 81.9 · Daqing Women 63.9).