Basketball · China NWBC Women · 22/08, 14:00

Prediction: Dalian (W) vs Guangdong (W)

Team pages: Dalian (W) · Guangdong (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

146.9Total

Dalian (W)75.4

Guangdong (W)71.5

1X2

61% 39%

Dalian (W) Guangdong (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Dalian (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Guangdong (W) 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dalian (W) 1484 · Guangdong (W) 1454

	Dalian (W)	Guangdong (W)
Our model	67%	33%
Market	60%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 146.9 points · Bet365 line 138.5 · +8.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points146.9Dalian (W) 75.4 · Guangdong (W) 71.5

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Dalian (W)	Guangdong (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	74.1 / 75.9	65.5 / 70.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	76.6 / 73.2	60.4 / 65.8
Est. result	75	72

Est. total146.9

Line O/U138.5

Diff.8.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.55

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.83

2 (+3.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 138.51.83

Under 138.51.83

Diff.: 4.6 · Est. total: 143.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8%

Time*	1	2
17:33 +15’	1.55	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dalian (W)	Guangdong (W)
Shaanxi (W)	80-67 W	72-71 W
Henan Elephants Women	64-73 L	55-69 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Dalian (W) (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Dalian (W)

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
21/08	Shaanxi (W) China NWBC Women	80-67	W
20/08	Henan Elephants Women China NWBC Women	64-73	L
21/07	Shanghai Pudong (W) China NWBC Women	69-74	L
20/07	Beijing Shougang (W) China NWBC Women	65-68	L
19/07	Peking University (W) China NWBC Women	105-84	W
18/07	Fujian Xiamen (W) China NWBC Women	63-65	L
17/07	Fujian Jinjiang (W) China NWBC Women	97-78	W
15/07	Sichuan (W) China NWBC Women	56-81	L
10/02	Hefei Tourism Women Basketball Matches Women	61-98	L
09/02	Shijiazhuang Yingli (W) Basketball Matches Women	81-71	W

Guangdong (W)

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
21/08	Henan Elephants Women China NWBC Women	55-69	L
20/08	Shaanxi (W) China NWBC Women	72-71	W
24/07	Shanxi Xing Rui Women China NWBC Women	54-70	L
23/07	Henan Elephants Women China NWBC Women	47-43	W
22/07	Shanghai Jiaotong Uni (W) China NWBC Women	74-76	L
21/07	Zhejiang (W) China NWBC Women	57-63	L
20/07	Hebei (W) China NWBC Women	77-66	W
18/07	Jiangsu Dragons Women China NWBC Women	61-80	L
30/03	Jiangsu (W) China WCBA	73-83	L
27/03	Jiangsu (W) China WCBA	85-86	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dalian (W) vs Guangdong (W)?

Our model gives 61% to Dalian (W).

How many points are expected in Dalian (W) vs Guangdong (W)?

The model estimates 146.9 total points (Dalian (W) 75.4 · Guangdong (W) 71.5).