Basketball · Croatia A1 Liga · 30/10, 19:00
Prediction: KK Dubrovnik vs Zadar
Team pages: KK Dubrovnik · Zadar
Prediction summary
Estimated points
151.7Total
KK Dubrovnik68.9
Zadar82.8
1X2
KK Dubrovnik
Zadar
Recent form · 10 last
KK Dubrovnik
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Zadar
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
KK Dubrovnik
0–6
Zadar
(6 last)
- KK Dubrovnik68-81Zadar
- Zadar83-57KK Dubrovnik
- Zadar100-70KK Dubrovnik
- KK Dubrovnik67-79Zadar
- Zadar83-64KK Dubrovnik
- Zadar91-61KK Dubrovnik
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · KK Dubrovnik 1447 · Zadar 1641
| KK Dubrovnik | Zadar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
Estimated total (ours)
151.7 points · Bet365 line 157.5 · -5.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points151.7KK Dubrovnik 68.9 · Zadar 82.8
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zadar (rating 1447 vs 1641).
- Zadar is a clear favourite (84% market).
- H2H favours Zadar: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| KK Dubrovnik | Zadar | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 78.3 / 80.9 | 83.9 / 67.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 81.6 / 85 | 89.2 / 63.6 |
| Est. result | 69 | 83 |
Est. total151.7
Line O/U157.5
Diff.5.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · KK Dubrovnik 0–0–6 Zadar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/26 Croatia A1 Liga | KK Dubrovnik | 68-81 | Zadar |
| 22/05/26 Croatia A1 Liga | Zadar | 83-57 | KK Dubrovnik |
| 10/04/26 Croatia A1 Liga | Zadar | 100-70 | KK Dubrovnik |
| 08/02/26 Croatia A1 Liga | KK Dubrovnik | 67-79 | Zadar |
| 23/11/25 Croatia A1 Liga | Zadar | 83-64 | KK Dubrovnik |
| 09/05/25 Croatia A1 Liga | Zadar | 91-61 | KK Dubrovnik |
Standings · Croatia A1 Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zadar | 5 | 5 | 0 | 446 | 318 | 10 |
| 2 | Cibona | 5 | 5 | 0 | 451 | 382 | 10 |
| 3 | Split | 5 | 4 | 1 | 410 | 360 | 9 |
| 4 | Kvarner 2010 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 447 | 397 | 8 |
| 5 | Cedevita Junior | 5 | 3 | 2 | 391 | 440 | 8 |
| 6 | Dinamo Zagreb | 5 | 3 | 2 | 375 | 412 | 8 |
| 7 | Skrljevo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 416 | 426 | 8 |
| 8 | KK Dubrovnik | 5 | 2 | 3 | 408 | 425 | 7 |
| 9 | Alkar | 5 | 1 | 4 | 399 | 422 | 6 |
| 10 | Zabok | 5 | 1 | 4 | 391 | 434 | 6 |
| 11 | Samobor | 5 | 0 | 5 | 364 | 417 | 5 |
| 12 | Furnir Dubrava | 5 | 0 | 5 | 360 | 425 | 5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KK Dubrovnik | Zadar |
|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb | 85-94 L | 87-61 W |
| Split | 66-81 L | 84-73 W |
| Samobor | 77-69 W | 81-59 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Zadar (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KK Dubrovnik
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Furnir Dubrava Croatia A1 Liga |
84-80 | W |
| 17/10 | Kvarner 2010 Croatia A1 Liga |
81-91 | L |
| 10/10 | Zabok Croatia A1 Liga |
92-79 | W |
| 03/10 | Dinamo Zagreb Croatia A1 Liga |
85-94 | L |
| 26/09 | Split Croatia A1 Liga |
66-81 | L |
| 25/05 | Zadar Croatia A1 Liga |
68-81 | L |
| 22/05 | Zadar Croatia A1 Liga |
57-83 | L |
| 16/05 | Samobor Croatia A1 Liga |
77-69 | W |
| 13/05 | Samobor Croatia A1 Liga |
86-81 | W |
| 09/05 | Alkar Croatia A1 Liga |
87-70 | W |
Zadar
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Dinamo Zagreb Croatia A1 Liga |
87-61 | W |
| 18/10 | Split Croatia A1 Liga |
84-73 | W |
| 12/10 | Cedevita Junior Croatia A1 Liga |
87-56 | W |
| 02/10 | Skrljevo Croatia A1 Liga |
107-69 | W |
| 27/09 | Samobor Croatia A1 Liga |
81-59 | W |
| 10/06 | Cibona Croatia A1 Liga |
75-82 | L |
| 07/06 | Cibona Croatia A1 Liga |
67-73 | L |
| 05/06 | Cibona Croatia A1 Liga |
87-70 | W |
| 02/06 | Cibona Croatia A1 Liga |
92-57 | W |
| 31/05 | Cibona Croatia A1 Liga |
72-74 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KK Dubrovnik vs Zadar?
Our model gives 84% to Zadar.
How many points are expected in KK Dubrovnik vs Zadar?
The model estimates 151.7 total points (KK Dubrovnik 68.9 · Zadar 82.8).