Basketball · Croatia A1 Liga · 30/10, 20:00
Prediction: Dinamo Zagreb vs Alkar
Team pages: Dinamo Zagreb · Alkar
Prediction summary
Estimated points
165.9Total
Dinamo Zagreb85.6
Alkar80.2
1X2
Dinamo Zagreb
Alkar
Recent form · 10 last
Dinamo Zagreb
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Alkar
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dinamo Zagreb
1–5
Alkar
(6 last)
- Dinamo Zagreb87-93Alkar
- Alkar77-72Dinamo Zagreb
- Dinamo Zagreb76-81Alkar
- Alkar74-72Dinamo Zagreb
- Alkar63-62Dinamo Zagreb
- Dinamo Zagreb96-86Alkar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dinamo Zagreb 1463 · Alkar 1480
| Dinamo Zagreb | Alkar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
165.9 points · Bet365 line 159.5 · +6.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points165.9Dinamo Zagreb 85.6 · Alkar 80.2
Match keys
- Dinamo Zagreb is a clear favourite (65% market).
- H2H favours Alkar: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Dinamo Zagreb | Alkar | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 83.5 / 85.8 | 78 / 82.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 75 / 82.4 | 79.8 / 84.4 |
| Est. result | 86 | 80 |
Est. total165.9
Line O/U159.5
Diff.6.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dinamo Zagreb 1–0–5 Alkar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/26 ENBL | Dinamo Zagreb | 87-93 | Alkar |
| 25/04/26 Croatia A1 Liga | Alkar | 77-72 | Dinamo Zagreb |
| 03/01/26 Croatia A1 Liga | Dinamo Zagreb | 76-81 | Alkar |
| 11/10/25 Croatia A1 Liga | Alkar | 74-72 | Dinamo Zagreb |
| 02/05/25 Croatia A1 Liga | Alkar | 63-62 | Dinamo Zagreb |
| 01/03/25 Croatia A1 Liga | Dinamo Zagreb | 96-86 | Alkar |
Standings · Croatia A1 Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zadar | 5 | 5 | 0 | 446 | 318 | 10 |
| 2 | Cibona | 5 | 5 | 0 | 451 | 382 | 10 |
| 3 | Split | 5 | 4 | 1 | 410 | 360 | 9 |
| 4 | Kvarner 2010 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 447 | 397 | 8 |
| 5 | Cedevita Junior | 5 | 3 | 2 | 391 | 440 | 8 |
| 6 | Dinamo Zagreb | 5 | 3 | 2 | 375 | 412 | 8 |
| 7 | Skrljevo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 416 | 426 | 8 |
| 8 | KK Dubrovnik | 5 | 2 | 3 | 408 | 425 | 7 |
| 9 | Alkar | 5 | 1 | 4 | 399 | 422 | 6 |
| 10 | Zabok | 5 | 1 | 4 | 391 | 434 | 6 |
| 11 | Samobor | 5 | 0 | 5 | 364 | 417 | 5 |
| 12 | Furnir Dubrava | 5 | 0 | 5 | 360 | 425 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dinamo Zagreb | Alkar |
|---|---|---|
| Furnir Dubrava | 85-62 W | 69-85 L |
| Kvarner 2010 | 55-100 L | 77-69 W |
| KK Dubrovnik | 94-85 W | 70-87 L |
| Samobor | 91-110 L | 95-91 W |
| Split | 89-96 L | 75-76 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Alkar (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dinamo Zagreb
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Zadar Croatia A1 Liga |
61-87 | L |
| 17/10 | Furnir Dubrava Croatia A1 Liga |
85-62 | W |
| 11/10 | Kvarner 2010 Croatia A1 Liga |
55-100 | L |
| 03/10 | KK Dubrovnik Croatia A1 Liga |
94-85 | W |
| 26/09 | Zabok Croatia A1 Liga |
80-78 | W |
| 20/05 | Ribola Kastela Croatia A1 Liga |
101-82 | W |
| 16/05 | Ribola Kastela Croatia A1 Liga |
97-61 | W |
| 09/05 | Samobor Croatia A1 Liga |
91-110 | L |
| 03/05 | KK Dubrovnik Croatia A1 Liga |
82-97 | L |
| 29/04 | Split Croatia A1 Liga |
89-96 | L |
Alkar
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Split Croatia A1 Liga |
75-76 | L |
| 18/10 | Cedevita Junior Croatia A1 Liga |
78-83 | L |
| 10/10 | Skrljevo Croatia A1 Liga |
73-88 | L |
| 04/10 | Samobor Croatia A1 Liga |
95-91 | W |
| 27/09 | Cibona Croatia A1 Liga |
78-84 | L |
| 09/05 | KK Dubrovnik Croatia A1 Liga |
70-87 | L |
| 01/05 | GKK Sibenik Croatia A1 Liga |
88-91 | L |
| 25/04 | Dinamo Zagreb Croatia A1 Liga |
77-72 | W |
| 19/04 | Furnir Dubrava Croatia A1 Liga |
69-85 | L |
| 15/04 | Kvarner 2010 Croatia A1 Liga |
77-69 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dinamo Zagreb vs Alkar?
Our model gives 65% to Dinamo Zagreb.
How many points are expected in Dinamo Zagreb vs Alkar?
The model estimates 165.9 total points (Dinamo Zagreb 85.6 · Alkar 80.2).