Basketball · Chile LNB · 08/09, 02:30
Prediction: Puerto Varas vs Universidad Catolica
Team pages: Puerto Varas · Universidad Catolica
Prediction summary
Estimated points
158.8Total
Puerto Varas81.3
Universidad Catolica77.4
1X2
Puerto Varas
Universidad Catolica
Recent form · 10 last
Puerto Varas
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Universidad Catolica
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Puerto Varas
4–2
Universidad Catolica
(6 last)
- Universidad Catolica62-83Puerto Varas
- Puerto Varas67-49Universidad Catolica
- Universidad Catolica47-98Puerto Varas
- Puerto Varas81-69Universidad Catolica
- Universidad Catolica72-68Puerto Varas
- Universidad Catolica90-86Puerto Varas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Puerto Varas 1503 · Universidad Catolica 1441
| Puerto Varas | Universidad Catolica | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
158.8 points · Bet365 line 155.5 · +3.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points158.8Puerto Varas 81.3 · Universidad Catolica 77.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Puerto Varas (rating 1503 vs 1441).
- H2H favours Puerto Varas: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Puerto Varas | Universidad Catolica | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 80.2 / 80.1 | 75.7 / 82 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 86.2 / 78 | 66.6 / 81.6 |
| Est. result | 81 | 77 |
Est. total158.8
Line O/U155.5
Diff.3.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Puerto Varas 4–0–2 Universidad Catolica
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/26 Chile LNB | Universidad Catolica | 62-83 | Puerto Varas |
| 16/03/25 Chile LNB | Puerto Varas | 67-49 | Universidad Catolica |
| 10/03/25 Chile LNB | Universidad Catolica | 47-98 | Puerto Varas |
| 17/03/24 Chile LNB | Puerto Varas | 81-69 | Universidad Catolica |
| 09/03/24 Chile LNB | Universidad Catolica | 72-68 | Puerto Varas |
| 10/04/23 Chile LNB | Universidad Catolica | 90-86 | Puerto Varas |
Standings · Chile LNB · Clausura, Conference South
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Valdivia | 12 | 12 | 0 | 1089 | 837 | 24 |
| 2 | Espanol Osorno | 12 | 7 | 5 | 1022 | 1023 | 19 |
| 3 | ABA Ancud | 12 | 6 | 6 | 982 | 998 | 18 |
| 4 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol | 12 | 5 | 7 | 939 | 939 | 17 |
| 5 | Puerto Varas | 12 | 5 | 7 | 940 | 1007 | 17 |
| 6 | Las Animas | 12 | 4 | 8 | 1008 | 1008 | 16 |
| 7 | CD Castro | 12 | 3 | 9 | 862 | 1030 | 15 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Puerto Varas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Universidad Catolica Chile LNB |
83-62 | W |
| 17/08 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
95-79 | W |
| 12/08 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
69-96 | L |
| 08/08 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
82-86 | L |
| 06/08 | CD Castro Chile LNB |
102-67 | W |
| 03/08 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
59-80 | L |
| 30/07 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
91-90 | W |
| 27/07 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
76-87 | L |
| 26/07 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
68-85 | L |
| 20/07 | CD Castro Chile LNB |
77-69 | W |
Universidad Catolica
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
62-83 | L |
| 18/08 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
76-79 | L |
| 16/08 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
67-80 | L |
| 10/08 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
54-79 | L |
| 08/08 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
74-87 | L |
| 01/08 | CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB |
99-80 | W |
| 31/07 | CSD Colo Colo Chile LNB |
81-70 | W |
| 26/07 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
68-77 | L |
| 20/07 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
83-104 | L |
| 11/07 | CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB |
93-81 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Puerto Varas vs Universidad Catolica?
Our model gives 61% to Puerto Varas.
How many points are expected in Puerto Varas vs Universidad Catolica?
The model estimates 158.8 total points (Puerto Varas 81.3 · Universidad Catolica 77.4).