Basketball · British SLB · 20/09, 18:30

Prediction: Cheshire Phoenix vs Bristol Flyers

Team pages: Bristol Flyers

Prediction summary

Estimated points

186.1Total

Cheshire Phoenix98

Bristol Flyers88.1

1X2

76% 24%

Cheshire Phoenix Bristol Flyers

Recent form · 10 last

Cheshire Phoenix 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Bristol Flyers 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Cheshire Phoenix 5–1 Bristol Flyers (6 last)

Cheshire Phoenix116-73Bristol Flyers
Bristol Flyers94-95Cheshire Phoenix
Cheshire Phoenix111-84Bristol Flyers
Bristol Flyers86-95Cheshire Phoenix
Bristol Flyers81-93Cheshire Phoenix
Cheshire Phoenix94-122Bristol Flyers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cheshire Phoenix 1590 · Bristol Flyers 1424

	Cheshire Phoenix	Bristol Flyers
Our model	81%	19%
Market	74%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 186.1 points · Bet365 line 177.5 · +8.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points186.1Cheshire Phoenix 98 · Bristol Flyers 88.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cheshire Phoenix (rating 1590 vs 1424).
Cheshire Phoenix is a clear favourite (76% market).
H2H favours Cheshire Phoenix: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Cheshire Phoenix	Bristol Flyers
Points F\|A (Last 10)	103.7 / 93.2	83.2 / 87.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	107.6 / 98	88.6 / 85
Est. result	98	88

Est. total186.1

Line O/U177.5

Diff.8.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.26

23.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-8.5)1.83

2 (+8.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 177.51.83

Under 177.51.83

Diff.: 6.45 · Est. total: 183.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.26 → 1.26	Bet365 1.26
2	3.65 → 3.65	Pinn 3.90 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	2
11:43 +8’	1.26	3.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
23:09 +39’	1.20	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cheshire Phoenix 5–0–1 Bristol Flyers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 British SLB	Cheshire Phoenix	116-73	Bristol Flyers
20/02/26 British SLB	Bristol Flyers	94-95	Cheshire Phoenix
23/11/25 British SLB	Cheshire Phoenix	111-84	Bristol Flyers
24/10/25 British SLB	Bristol Flyers	86-95	Cheshire Phoenix
25/04/25 British SLB	Bristol Flyers	81-93	Cheshire Phoenix
02/02/25 British SLB	Cheshire Phoenix	94-122	Bristol Flyers

Standings · British SLB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	London Lions	1	1	0	80	78	2
2	Bristol Flyers	1	0	1	78	80	0
2	Caledonia Gladiators	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Cheshire Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Leicester Riders	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Manchester	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Newcastle Eagles	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Sheffield Sharks	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Surrey 89ers	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cheshire Phoenix	Bristol Flyers
London Lions	81-104 L	78-80 L
Manchester	123-117 W	85-90 L
Surrey 89ers	100-95 W	79-89 L
Leicester Riders	98-77 W	78-85 L
Caledonia Gladiators	111-101 W	91-82 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Cheshire Phoenix (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cheshire Phoenix

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/05	London Lions British SLB	81-104	L
10/05	Manchester British SLB	123-117	W
08/05	Manchester British SLB	106-78	W
03/05	Surrey 89ers British SLB	100-95	W
01/05	Surrey 89ers British SLB	128-96	W
26/04	Leicester Riders British SLB	98-77	W
19/04	Caledonia Gladiators British SLB	111-101	W
17/04	London Lions British SLB	95-92	W
05/04	London Lions British SLB	79-99	L
29/03	Bristol Flyers British SLB	116-73	W

Bristol Flyers

LLLWLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/09	London Lions British SLB	78-80	L
03/05	Manchester British SLB	85-90	L
30/04	Manchester British SLB	95-98	L
26/04	Newcastle Eagles British SLB	94-75	W
24/04	Caledonia Gladiators British SLB	91-82	W
19/04	Surrey 89ers British SLB	79-89	L
12/04	Manchester British SLB	83-80	W
10/04	London Lions British SLB	76-83	L
05/04	Leicester Riders British SLB	78-85	L
29/03	Cheshire Phoenix British SLB	73-116	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cheshire Phoenix vs Bristol Flyers?

Our model gives 76% to Cheshire Phoenix.

How many points are expected in Cheshire Phoenix vs Bristol Flyers?

The model estimates 186.1 total points (Cheshire Phoenix 98 · Bristol Flyers 88.1).