Basketball · British SLB · 20/09, 17:00

Prediction: London Lions vs Newcastle Eagles

Team pages: London Lions

Prediction summary

Estimated points

166.5Total

London Lions92.2

Newcastle Eagles74.3

1X2

90% 10%

London Lions Newcastle Eagles

Recent form · 10 last

London Lions 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWWWWW

Newcastle Eagles 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLLLLL

Head-to-head

London Lions 6–0 Newcastle Eagles (6 last)

London Lions88-69Newcastle Eagles
Newcastle Eagles72-90London Lions
London Lions98-71Newcastle Eagles
London Lions74-68Newcastle Eagles
Newcastle Eagles68-94London Lions
Newcastle Eagles50-76London Lions

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · London Lions 1676 · Newcastle Eagles 1428

	London Lions	Newcastle Eagles
Our model	87%	13%
Market	90%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 166.5 points · Bet365 line 165.5 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points166.5London Lions 92.2 · Newcastle Eagles 74.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours London Lions (rating 1676 vs 1428).
London Lions is a clear favourite (90% market).
H2H favours London Lions: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	London Lions	Newcastle Eagles
Points F\|A (Last 10)	87.9 / 73.8	84.2 / 92.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	87.8 / 72.6	76.8 / 90.2
Est. result	92	74

Est. total166.5

Line O/U165.5

Diff.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.03

29.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-17.5)1.83

2 (+17.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 165.51.83

Under 165.51.83

Diff.: 3.85 · Est. total: 169.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.05 → 1.03▼	Pinn 1.03 ★
2	8.25 → 9.75▲	Bet365 9.75

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.1% Pinnacle margin 8.8%

Time*	1	2
11:11 +39’	1.05	8.25
12:38 +13’	1.03▼	9.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
23:09 +38’	1.04	8.09
08:04 +45’	1.03▼	8.22▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · London Lions 6–0–0 Newcastle Eagles

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 British SLB	London Lions	88-69	Newcastle Eagles
01/05/26 British SLB	Newcastle Eagles	72-90	London Lions
15/03/26 British SLB	London Lions	98-71	Newcastle Eagles
01/02/26 British SLB Trophy	London Lions	74-68	Newcastle Eagles
23/01/26 British SLB Cup	Newcastle Eagles	68-94	London Lions
09/01/26 British SLB	Newcastle Eagles	50-76	London Lions

Standings · British SLB

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	London Lions	1	1	0	80	78	2
2	Bristol Flyers	1	0	1	78	80	0
2	Caledonia Gladiators	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Cheshire Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Leicester Riders	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Manchester	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Newcastle Eagles	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Sheffield Sharks	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Surrey 89ers	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	London Lions	Newcastle Eagles
Bristol Flyers	80-78 W	75-94 L
Leicester Riders	78-65 W	86-94 L
Surrey 89ers	86-62 W	103-94 W
Manchester	91-86 W	95-98 L
Sheffield Sharks	81-60 W	82-85 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: London Lions (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

London Lions

WLWWWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/09	Bristol Flyers British SLB	80-78	W
17/05	Cheshire Phoenix British SLB	104-81	W
10/05	Leicester Riders British SLB	78-65	W
07/05	Leicester Riders British SLB	89-70	W
03/05	Newcastle Eagles British SLB	88-69	W
01/05	Newcastle Eagles British SLB	90-72	W
25/04	Surrey 89ers British SLB	86-62	W
19/04	Manchester British SLB	91-86	W
17/04	Cheshire Phoenix British SLB	92-95	L
12/04	Sheffield Sharks British SLB	81-60	W

Newcastle Eagles

LLWLWLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/05	London Lions British SLB	69-88	L
01/05	London Lions British SLB	72-90	L
26/04	Bristol Flyers British SLB	75-94	L
24/04	Leicester Riders British SLB	86-94	L
17/04	Sheffield Sharks British SLB	82-85	L
12/04	Surrey 89ers British SLB	103-94	W
10/04	Manchester British SLB	95-98	L
05/04	Caledonia Gladiators British SLB	96-67	W
27/03	Manchester British SLB	93-120	L
15/03	London Lions British SLB	71-98	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in London Lions vs Newcastle Eagles?

Our model gives 90% to London Lions.

How many points are expected in London Lions vs Newcastle Eagles?

The model estimates 166.5 total points (London Lions 92.2 · Newcastle Eagles 74.3).