Basketball · British SLB · 09/10, 20:30

Prediction: Manchester vs Cheshire Phoenix

Team pages: Manchester · Cheshire Phoenix

Prediction summary

Estimated points

190.1Total

Manchester95.6

Cheshire Phoenix94.5

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

53% 47%

Manchester Cheshire Phoenix

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Manchester 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWLLWL

Cheshire Phoenix 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLLLW

Head-to-head

Manchester 2–4 Cheshire Phoenix (6 last)

Cheshire Phoenix123-117Manchester
Manchester78-106Cheshire Phoenix
Cheshire Phoenix98-99Manchester
Cheshire Phoenix116-90Manchester
Manchester97-91Cheshire Phoenix
Manchester77-82Cheshire Phoenix

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Manchester 1480 · Cheshire Phoenix 1538

	Manchester	Cheshire Phoenix
Our model	55%	45%
Market	53%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 190.1 points · Bet365 line 174.5 · +15.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points190.1Manchester 95.6 · Cheshire Phoenix 94.5

Match keys

H2H favours Cheshire Phoenix: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Manchester	Cheshire Phoenix
Points F\|A (Last 10)	86.9 / 89.8	102.8 / 95.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	84.4 / 91.4	97 / 101.4
Est. result	96	95

Est. total190.1

Line O/U174.5

Diff.15.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.74

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.83

2 (+1.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 174.51.83

Under 174.51.83

Diff.: 12.95 · Est. total: 187.45

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 13:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.74▼	Bet365 1.74
2	1.74 → 1.95▲	Pinn 2.04 ★

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 8.7% Pinnacle margin 7.2%

Time*	1	2
12:15 +37’	1.95	1.74
16:54 +7’	2.10▲	1.67▼
22:01 +8’	2.05▼	1.69▲
11:51 +16’	1.95▼	1.74▲
13:08 +5’	1.74▼	1.95▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
20:47 +17’	1.50	2.44
23:52 +1’	1.76▲	1.99▼
00:36 +17’	1.83▲	1.91▼
01:24 +28’	1.88▲	1.86▼
02:49 +10’	1.95▲	1.79▼
03:37 +17’	2.04▲	1.72▼
04:44 +12’	2.13▲	1.67▼
05:51 +1’	2.22▲	1.61▼
07:19 +34’	2.29▲	1.57▼
08:38 +14’	2.49▲	1.49▼
10:41 +17’	2.29▼	1.57▲
10:23 +32’	2.15▼	1.65▲
16:32 +28’	1.88▼	1.85▲
03:03 +53’	1.94▲	1.80▼
10:39 +27’	1.69▼	2.08▲
13:59 +17’	1.72▲	2.04▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Manchester 2–0–4 Cheshire Phoenix

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 British SLB	Cheshire Phoenix	123-117	Manchester
08/05/26 British SLB	Manchester	78-106	Cheshire Phoenix
06/02/26 British SLB	Cheshire Phoenix	98-99	Manchester
28/12/25 British SLB	Cheshire Phoenix	116-90	Manchester
21/11/25 British SLB	Manchester	97-91	Cheshire Phoenix
07/11/25 British SLB Trophy	Manchester	77-82	Cheshire Phoenix

Standings · British SLB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	London Lions	5	5	0	404	350	10
2	Newcastle Eagles	3	2	1	261	219	4
3	Bristol Flyers	4	2	2	323	324	4
4	Sheffield Sharks	1	1	0	98	76	2
5	Caledonia Gladiators	3	1	2	221	262	2
5	Cheshire Phoenix	3	1	2	281	286	2
5	Liverpool Basketball	3	1	2	195	220	2
5	Manchester	3	1	2	201	216	2
9	Leicester Riders	2	0	2	160	179	0
9	Surrey 89ers	1	0	1	67	79	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Manchester	Cheshire Phoenix
Bristol Flyers	58-76 L	92-101 L
Surrey 89ers	79-67 W	100-95 W
London Lions	86-91 L	81-91 L
Leicester Riders	101-98 W	108-94 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Manchester

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/10	Bristol Flyers British SLB	58-76	L
27/09	Surrey 89ers British SLB	79-67	W
10/05	Cheshire Phoenix British SLB	117-123	L
08/05	Cheshire Phoenix British SLB	78-106	L
03/05	Bristol Flyers British SLB	90-85	W
30/04	Bristol Flyers British SLB	98-95	W
26/04	Sheffield Sharks British SLB	82-74	W
19/04	London Lions British SLB	86-91	L
17/04	Leicester Riders British SLB	101-98	W
12/04	Bristol Flyers British SLB	80-83	L

Cheshire Phoenix

WWWWWWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	Leicester Riders British SLB	108-94	W
23/09	London Lions British SLB	81-91	L
20/09	Bristol Flyers British SLB	92-101	L
17/05	London Lions British SLB	81-104	L
10/05	Manchester British SLB	123-117	W
08/05	Manchester British SLB	106-78	W
03/05	Surrey 89ers British SLB	100-95	W
01/05	Surrey 89ers British SLB	128-96	W
26/04	Leicester Riders British SLB	98-77	W
19/04	Caledonia Gladiators British SLB	111-101	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Manchester vs Cheshire Phoenix?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Manchester 53% · Cheshire Phoenix 47%).

How many points are expected in Manchester vs Cheshire Phoenix?

The model estimates 190.1 total points (Manchester 95.6 · Cheshire Phoenix 94.5).