Basketball · Spain Segunda FEB · 07/11, 19:00

Prediction: Valladolid vs Jaen CB

Team pages: Valladolid

Prediction summary

Estimated points

164.3Total

Valladolid88.5

Jaen CB75.7

1X2

82% 18%

Valladolid Jaen CB

Recent form · 10 last

Valladolid 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLWWLW

Jaen CB 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWLWLL

Head-to-head

Valladolid 2–0 Jaen CB (2 last)

Jaen CB84-91Valladolid
Valladolid98-61Jaen CB

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Valladolid 1542 · Jaen CB 1452

	Valladolid	Jaen CB
Our model	74%	26%
Market	84%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 164.3 points · Bet365 line 160.5 · +3.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points164.3Valladolid 88.5 · Jaen CB 75.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valladolid (rating 1542 vs 1452).
Valladolid is a clear favourite (82% market).
H2H favours Valladolid: 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Valladolid	Jaen CB
Points F\|A (Last 10)	85 / 83.8	77 / 82.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	85.6 / 75.6	78.2 / 81
Est. result	89	76

Est. total164.3

Line O/U160.5

Diff.3.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.11

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-12.5)1.83

2 (+12.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 160.51.83

Under 160.51.83

Diff.: 3.45 · Est. total: 163.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.11 → 1.11	Bet365 1.11
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.7% Pinnacle margin 15%

Time*	1	2
15:46 +9’	1.11	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:15 +41’	1.06	4.79

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Valladolid 2–0–0 Jaen CB

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Spain Segunda FEB	Jaen CB	84-91	Valladolid
13/12/25 Spain Segunda FEB	Valladolid	98-61	Jaen CB

Standings · Spain Segunda FEB · Segunda FEB 26/27, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Melilla	5	5	0	421	359	10
2	Caceres	5	4	1	424	378	9
3	CD Leonesa Basket	5	4	1	428	401	9
4	Moron	5	3	2	397	393	8
5	CB Toledo	5	3	2	426	410	8
6	Valladolid	5	3	2	428	378	8
7	Ponferrada	5	3	2	408	396	8
8	Algeciras	5	2	3	398	414	7
9	Jaen CB	5	2	3	391	405	7
10	Tres Cantos	5	2	3	359	403	7
11	Spanish Basketball Academy	5	1	4	383	396	6
12	Estudiantes 2	5	1	4	361	401	6
13	CB Getafe	5	1	4	376	388	6
14	Baloncesto Ciudad de Badajoz	5	1	4	367	445	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Valladolid	Jaen CB
Algeciras	93-90 W	66-71 L
Caceres	79-84 L	84-82 W
Baloncesto Ciudad de Badajoz	106-59 W	85-89 L
CB Getafe	91-75 W	75-70 W
Iraurgi	84-100 L	71-102 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Valladolid (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Valladolid

WLLLWLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Algeciras Spain Segunda FEB	93-90	W
24/10	Caceres Spain Segunda FEB	79-84	L
17/10	Baloncesto Ciudad de Badajoz Spain Segunda FEB	106-59	W
10/10	CB Getafe Spain Segunda FEB	91-75	W
03/10	Melilla Spain Segunda FEB	59-70	L
02/05	EB Lliria Spain Segunda FEB	87-76	W
25/04	EB Lliria Spain Segunda FEB	75-102	L
18/04	Iraurgi Spain Segunda FEB	84-100	L
11/04	Caceres Spain Segunda FEB	85-98	L
05/04	Jaen CB Spain Segunda FEB	91-84	W

Jaen CB

LLWWLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	CB Toledo Spain Segunda FEB	81-93	L
25/10	Algeciras Spain Segunda FEB	66-71	L
18/10	Caceres Spain Segunda FEB	84-82	W
10/10	Baloncesto Ciudad de Badajoz Spain Segunda FEB	85-89	L
04/10	CB Getafe Spain Segunda FEB	75-70	W
02/05	Molina Basket Spain Segunda FEB	82-93	L
26/04	Molina Basket Spain Segunda FEB	69-61	W
18/04	Logrono Spain Segunda FEB	73-69	W
12/04	Iraurgi Spain Segunda FEB	71-102	L
05/04	Valladolid Spain Segunda FEB	84-91	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Valladolid vs Jaen CB?

Our model gives 82% to Valladolid.

How many points are expected in Valladolid vs Jaen CB?

The model estimates 164.3 total points (Valladolid 88.5 · Jaen CB 75.7).