Basketball · Spain Segunda FEB · 15/11, 18:30
Prediction: Ponferrada vs Jaen CB
Team pages: Ponferrada · Jaen CB
Prediction summary
Estimated points
160Total
Ponferrada82.7
Jaen CB77.3
1X2
Ponferrada
Jaen CB
Recent form · 10 last
Ponferrada
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Jaen CB
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ponferrada
1–1
Jaen CB
(2 last)
- Ponferrada79-84Jaen CB
- Jaen CB88-95Ponferrada
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ponferrada 1477 · Jaen CB 1461
| Ponferrada | Jaen CB | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
160 points · Bet365 line 159.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points160Ponferrada 82.7 · Jaen CB 77.3
Match keys
- Ponferrada is a clear favourite (65% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Ponferrada | Jaen CB | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 78.2 / 78.3 | 77 / 82.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 76.4 / 80.4 | 78.2 / 81 |
| Est. result | 83 | 77 |
Est. total160
Line O/U159.5
Diff.0.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ponferrada 1–0–1 Jaen CB
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Spain Segunda FEB | Ponferrada | 79-84 | Jaen CB |
| 07/12/25 Spain Segunda FEB | Jaen CB | 88-95 | Ponferrada |
Standings · Spain Segunda FEB · Segunda FEB 26/27, Group A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 6 | 6 | 0 | 506 | 420 | 12 |
| 2 | Caceres | 6 | 5 | 1 | 507 | 459 | 11 |
| 3 | Valladolid | 6 | 4 | 2 | 505 | 453 | 10 |
| 4 | CD Leonesa Basket | 6 | 4 | 2 | 509 | 484 | 10 |
| 5 | Moron | 6 | 3 | 3 | 458 | 478 | 9 |
| 6 | CB Toledo | 6 | 3 | 3 | 503 | 495 | 9 |
| 7 | Algeciras | 6 | 3 | 3 | 490 | 482 | 9 |
| 8 | Tres Cantos | 6 | 3 | 3 | 426 | 466 | 9 |
| 9 | Ponferrada | 6 | 3 | 3 | 476 | 488 | 9 |
| 10 | Jaen CB | 6 | 2 | 4 | 466 | 482 | 8 |
| 11 | CB Getafe | 6 | 2 | 4 | 464 | 468 | 8 |
| 12 | Spanish Basketball Academy | 6 | 2 | 4 | 468 | 473 | 8 |
| 13 | Estudiantes 2 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 441 | 489 | 7 |
| 14 | Baloncesto Ciudad de Badajoz | 6 | 1 | 5 | 430 | 512 | 7 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ponferrada | Jaen CB |
|---|---|---|
| Algeciras | 68-92 L | 66-71 L |
| Caceres | 78-90 L | 84-82 W |
| Baloncesto Ciudad de Badajoz | 84-78 W | 85-89 L |
| CB Getafe | 83-60 W | 75-70 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ponferrada
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Algeciras Spain Segunda FEB |
68-92 | L |
| 31/10 | Caceres Spain Segunda FEB |
78-90 | L |
| 24/10 | Baloncesto Ciudad de Badajoz Spain Segunda FEB |
84-78 | W |
| 17/10 | CB Getafe Spain Segunda FEB |
83-60 | W |
| 11/10 | Melilla Spain Segunda FEB |
69-82 | L |
| 03/10 | Spanish Basketball Academy Spain Segunda FEB |
94-86 | W |
| 03/05 | Albacete Spain Segunda FEB |
75-80 | L |
| 26/04 | Albacete Spain Segunda FEB |
73-74 | L |
| 18/04 | Circulo Gijon Spain Segunda FEB |
83-54 | W |
| 11/04 | Moron Spain Segunda FEB |
75-87 | L |
Jaen CB
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | CB Toledo Spain Segunda FEB |
81-93 | L |
| 25/10 | Algeciras Spain Segunda FEB |
66-71 | L |
| 18/10 | Caceres Spain Segunda FEB |
84-82 | W |
| 10/10 | Baloncesto Ciudad de Badajoz Spain Segunda FEB |
85-89 | L |
| 04/10 | CB Getafe Spain Segunda FEB |
75-70 | W |
| 02/05 | Molina Basket Spain Segunda FEB |
82-93 | L |
| 26/04 | Molina Basket Spain Segunda FEB |
69-61 | W |
| 18/04 | Logrono Spain Segunda FEB |
73-69 | W |
| 12/04 | Iraurgi Spain Segunda FEB |
71-102 | L |
| 05/04 | Valladolid Spain Segunda FEB |
84-91 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ponferrada vs Jaen CB?
Our model gives 65% to Ponferrada.
How many points are expected in Ponferrada vs Jaen CB?
The model estimates 160 total points (Ponferrada 82.7 · Jaen CB 77.3).