Basketball · Korea KBL · 09/10, 07:00

Prediction: Suwon Sonicboom vs Goyang Sky Gunners

Team pages: Suwon Sonicboom · Goyang Sky Gunners

Prediction summary

Estimated points

159.3Total

Suwon Sonicboom77.9

Goyang Sky Gunners81.4

1X2

40% 60%

Suwon Sonicboom Goyang Sky Gunners

Recent form · 10 last

Suwon Sonicboom 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLWWLW

Goyang Sky Gunners 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Suwon Sonicboom 3–3 Goyang Sky Gunners (6 last)

Suwon Sonicboom96-114Goyang Sky Gunners
Suwon Sonicboom76-72Goyang Sky Gunners
Goyang Sky Gunners92-78Suwon Sonicboom
Goyang Sky Gunners64-76Suwon Sonicboom
Goyang Sky Gunners85-86Suwon Sonicboom
Suwon Sonicboom63-85Goyang Sky Gunners

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Suwon Sonicboom 1456 · Goyang Sky Gunners 1544

	Suwon Sonicboom	Goyang Sky Gunners
Our model	50%	50%
Market	38%	63%

Estimated total (ours) 159.3 points · Bet365 line 171.5 · -12.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points159.3Suwon Sonicboom 77.9 · Goyang Sky Gunners 81.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Goyang Sky Gunners (rating 1456 vs 1544).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Suwon Sonicboom	Goyang Sky Gunners
Points F\|A (Last 10)	77.6 / 77.5	79.3 / 80.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	76.4 / 76.2	80.8 / 82.4
Est. result	78	81

Est. total159.3

Line O/U171.5

Diff.12.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.50

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.80

2 (-4.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 171.51.83

Under 171.51.83

Diff.: 14.2 · Est. total: 157.3

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 06:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.63 → 2.50▲	Pinn 2.55 ★
2	2.15 → 1.50▼	Pinn 1.52

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 6.7% Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	2
14:39 +11’	1.63	2.15
17:55 +3’	2.15▲	1.63▼
02:28 +20’	2.30▲	1.55▼
03:39 +9’	2.35▲	1.54▼
06:48	2.50▲	1.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:46 +3’	2.05	1.76
16:26 +26’	2.09▲	1.73▼
17:14 +44’	2.10▲	1.72▼
18:23 +42’	2.11▲	1.71▼
22:40 +14’	2.68▲	1.47▼
23:41 +7’	2.65▼	1.47▲
01:42 +8’	2.65	1.49▲
03:02 +46’	2.32▼	1.62▲
04:37 +9’	2.49▲	1.55▼
05:39 +8’	2.73▲	1.47▼
06:47 +1’	2.55▼	1.52▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Suwon Sonicboom 3–0–3 Goyang Sky Gunners

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/09/26 Club Friendlies	Suwon Sonicboom	96-114	Goyang Sky Gunners
08/04/26 Korea KBL	Suwon Sonicboom	76-72	Goyang Sky Gunners
07/02/26 Korea KBL	Goyang Sky Gunners	92-78	Suwon Sonicboom
03/01/26 Korea KBL	Goyang Sky Gunners	64-76	Suwon Sonicboom
16/12/25 Korea KBL	Goyang Sky Gunners	85-86	Suwon Sonicboom
09/11/25 Korea KBL	Suwon Sonicboom	63-85	Goyang Sky Gunners

Standings · Korea KBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Seoul Thunders	2	2	0	147	134
2	Anyang Red Boosters	3	2	1	232	231
2	Suwon Sonicboom	3	2	1	261	232
2	Changwon Sakers	3	2	1	271	257
2	Wonju Promy	3	2	1	272	261
6	KCC Egis	4	2	2	347	373
7	Goyang Sky Gunners	3	1	2	247	256
8	Korea Gas Corporation	4	1	3	332	346
9	Mobis Phoebus	3	0	3	247	266
9	Seoul Knights	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Suwon Sonicboom	Goyang Sky Gunners
Changwon Sakers	97-72 W	90-80 W
KCC Egis	84-79 W	68-76 L
Korea Gas Corporation	84-82 W	82-73 W
Wonju Promy	66-69 L	86-95 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Suwon Sonicboom (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Suwon Sonicboom

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/10	Changwon Sakers Korea KBL	97-72	W
04/10	Seoul Thunders Korea KBL	76-81	L
08/04	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	76-72	W
05/04	Mobis Phoebus Korea KBL	73-69	W
03/04	Changwon Sakers Korea KBL	60-87	L
29/03	Seoul Thunders Korea KBL	83-78	W
27/03	KCC Egis Korea KBL	84-79	W
22/03	Anyang Red Boosters Korea KBL	77-86	L
20/03	Korea Gas Corporation Korea KBL	84-82	W
18/03	Wonju Promy Korea KBL	66-69	L

Goyang Sky Gunners

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/10	Wonju Promy Korea KBL	86-95	L
03/10	Korea Gas Corporation Korea KBL	82-73	W
13/05	KCC Egis Korea KBL	68-76	L
10/05	KCC Egis Korea KBL	81-80	W
09/05	KCC Egis Korea KBL	87-88	L
07/05	KCC Egis Korea KBL	78-96	L
05/05	KCC Egis Korea KBL	67-75	L
27/04	Changwon Sakers Korea KBL	90-80	W
25/04	Changwon Sakers Korea KBL	85-76	W
23/04	Changwon Sakers Korea KBL	69-63	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Suwon Sonicboom vs Goyang Sky Gunners?

Our model gives 60% to Goyang Sky Gunners.

How many points are expected in Suwon Sonicboom vs Goyang Sky Gunners?

The model estimates 159.3 total points (Suwon Sonicboom 77.9 · Goyang Sky Gunners 81.4).