Basketball · Korea KBL · 11/10, 07:00

Prediction: Anyang Red Boosters vs Changwon Sakers

Team pages: Anyang Red Boosters · Changwon Sakers

Prediction summary

Estimated points

151.8Total

Anyang Red Boosters75.2

Changwon Sakers76.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

46% 54%

Anyang Red Boosters Changwon Sakers

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Under 166.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

Anyang Red Boosters 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Changwon Sakers 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Anyang Red Boosters 3–3 Changwon Sakers (6 last)

Anyang Red Boosters84-74Changwon Sakers
Anyang Red Boosters69-77Changwon Sakers
Changwon Sakers76-53Anyang Red Boosters
Changwon Sakers56-72Anyang Red Boosters
Anyang Red Boosters70-78Changwon Sakers
Changwon Sakers62-70Anyang Red Boosters

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Anyang Red Boosters 1520 · Changwon Sakers 1484

	Anyang Red Boosters	Changwon Sakers
Our model	67%	33%
Market	40%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 151.8 points · Bet365 line 166.5 · -14.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points151.8Anyang Red Boosters 75.2 · Changwon Sakers 76.6

Over / Under 166.5Under · 65%recent trend · ~159.3 pts · strength 7

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Anyang Red Boosters	Changwon Sakers
Points F\|A (Last 10)	76.7 / 77.3	77.2 / 79.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	75.6 / 79.6	85.4 / 86.4
Est. result	75	77

Est. total151.8

Line O/U166.5

Diff.14.7

Over / Under35% / 65%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.30

21.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.83

2 (-3.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 166.51.83

Under 166.51.83

Diff.: 11.05 · Est. total: 155.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.30▲	Pinn 2.57 ★
2	1.63 → 1.55▼	Bet365 1.55

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.8% Pinnacle margin 5.7%

Time*	1	2
14:43 +28’	2.15	1.63
16:04 +6’	2.30▲	1.55▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:50 +21’	2.56	1.50
17:14 +46’	2.57▲	1.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Anyang Red Boosters 3–0–3 Changwon Sakers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/03/26 Korea KBL	Anyang Red Boosters	84-74	Changwon Sakers
08/02/26 Korea KBL	Anyang Red Boosters	69-77	Changwon Sakers
25/01/26 Korea KBL	Changwon Sakers	76-53	Anyang Red Boosters
28/12/25 Korea KBL	Changwon Sakers	56-72	Anyang Red Boosters
16/11/25 Korea KBL	Anyang Red Boosters	70-78	Changwon Sakers
15/10/25 Korea KBL	Changwon Sakers	62-70	Anyang Red Boosters

Standings · Korea KBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Seoul Thunders	2	2	0	147	134
2	Anyang Red Boosters	3	2	1	232	231
2	Suwon Sonicboom	3	2	1	261	232
2	Changwon Sakers	3	2	1	271	257
2	Wonju Promy	3	2	1	272	261
6	KCC Egis	4	2	2	347	373
7	Goyang Sky Gunners	3	1	2	247	256
8	Korea Gas Corporation	4	1	3	332	346
9	Mobis Phoebus	3	0	3	247	266
9	Seoul Knights	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Anyang Red Boosters	Changwon Sakers
Mobis Phoebus	88-85 W	56-78 L
KCC Egis	67-84 L	103-68 W
Goyang Sky Gunners	61-65 L	80-90 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Anyang Red Boosters (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Anyang Red Boosters

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/10	Seoul Thunders Korea KBL	58-66	L
05/10	Korea Gas Corporation Korea KBL	86-80	W
03/10	Mobis Phoebus Korea KBL	88-85	W
30/04	KCC Egis Korea KBL	67-84	L
28/04	KCC Egis Korea KBL	79-83	L
26/04	KCC Egis Korea KBL	91-83	W
24/04	KCC Egis Korea KBL	75-91	L
08/04	Seoul Knights Korea KBL	67-65	W
05/04	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	61-65	L
04/04	Mobis Phoebus Korea KBL	95-71	W

Changwon Sakers

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/10	Wonju Promy Korea KBL	96-92	W
06/10	Suwon Sonicboom Korea KBL	72-97	L
03/10	KCC Egis Korea KBL	103-68	W
27/04	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	80-90	L
25/04	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	76-85	L
23/04	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	63-69	L
08/04	Mobis Phoebus Korea KBL	56-78	L
05/04	KCC Egis Korea KBL	65-74	L
03/04	Suwon Sonicboom Korea KBL	87-60	W
31/03	Anyang Red Boosters Korea KBL	74-84	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Anyang Red Boosters vs Changwon Sakers?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Anyang Red Boosters 46% · Changwon Sakers 54%).

How many points are expected in Anyang Red Boosters vs Changwon Sakers?

The model estimates 151.8 total points (Anyang Red Boosters 75.2 · Changwon Sakers 76.6).

Over or under 166.5 points?

Recent history points to under 166.5 points (65%).