Basketball · Korea KBL · 11/10, 07:00

Prediction: Seoul Thunders vs Goyang Sky Gunners

Team pages: Goyang Sky Gunners

Prediction summary

Estimated points

157Total

Seoul Thunders76.4

Goyang Sky Gunners80.6

1X2

38% 62%

Seoul Thunders Goyang Sky Gunners

Recent form · 10 last

Seoul Thunders 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Goyang Sky Gunners 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Seoul Thunders 2–4 Goyang Sky Gunners (6 last)

Goyang Sky Gunners98-75Seoul Thunders
Goyang Sky Gunners86-64Seoul Thunders
Seoul Thunders77-91Goyang Sky Gunners
Seoul Thunders59-75Goyang Sky Gunners
Goyang Sky Gunners72-75Seoul Thunders
Seoul Thunders85-83Goyang Sky Gunners

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Seoul Thunders 1466 · Goyang Sky Gunners 1564

	Seoul Thunders	Goyang Sky Gunners
Our model	49%	51%
Market	36%	64%

Estimated total (ours) 157 points · Bet365 line 160.5 · -3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points157Seoul Thunders 76.4 · Goyang Sky Gunners 80.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Goyang Sky Gunners (rating 1466 vs 1564).
H2H favours Goyang Sky Gunners: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Seoul Thunders	Goyang Sky Gunners
Points F\|A (Last 10)	76.9 / 78.5	80.3 / 82.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	77.6 / 73.8	79.2 / 82.4
Est. result	76	81

Est. total157

Line O/U160.5

Diff.3.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.60

21.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.83

2 (-4.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 160.51.83

Under 160.51.83

Diff.: 1.3 · Est. total: 159.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Pinn 3.03 ★
2	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.2% Pinnacle margin 5.7%

Time*	1	2
14:05 +2’	2.60	1.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:29 +42’	3.03	1.37
17:14 +45’	3.03	1.38▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Seoul Thunders 2–0–4 Goyang Sky Gunners

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Korea KBL	Goyang Sky Gunners	98-75	Seoul Thunders
19/02/26 Korea KBL	Goyang Sky Gunners	86-64	Seoul Thunders
25/01/26 Korea KBL	Seoul Thunders	77-91	Goyang Sky Gunners
07/12/25 Korea KBL	Seoul Thunders	59-75	Goyang Sky Gunners
16/11/25 Korea KBL	Goyang Sky Gunners	72-75	Seoul Thunders
26/10/25 Korea KBL	Seoul Thunders	85-83	Goyang Sky Gunners

Standings · Korea KBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Seoul Thunders	2	2	0	147	134
2	Anyang Red Boosters	3	2	1	232	231
2	Suwon Sonicboom	3	2	1	261	232
2	Changwon Sakers	3	2	1	271	257
2	Wonju Promy	3	2	1	272	261
6	KCC Egis	4	2	2	347	373
7	Goyang Sky Gunners	3	1	2	247	256
8	Korea Gas Corporation	4	1	3	332	346
9	Mobis Phoebus	3	0	3	247	266
9	Seoul Knights	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Seoul Thunders	Goyang Sky Gunners
Suwon Sonicboom	81-76 W	79-88 L
Korea Gas Corporation	73-80 L	82-73 W
Wonju Promy	75-80 L	86-95 L
KCC Egis	81-100 L	68-76 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Seoul Thunders

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/10	Anyang Red Boosters Korea KBL	66-58	W
04/10	Suwon Sonicboom Korea KBL	81-76	W
08/04	Korea Gas Corporation Korea KBL	73-80	L
06/04	Seoul Knights Korea KBL	93-75	W
04/04	Wonju Promy Korea KBL	75-80	L
29/03	Suwon Sonicboom Korea KBL	78-83	L
28/03	Anyang Red Boosters Korea KBL	71-62	W
23/03	Mobis Phoebus Korea KBL	76-73	W
21/03	KCC Egis Korea KBL	81-100	L
15/03	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	75-98	L

Goyang Sky Gunners

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/10	Suwon Sonicboom Korea KBL	79-88	L
04/10	Wonju Promy Korea KBL	86-95	L
03/10	Korea Gas Corporation Korea KBL	82-73	W
13/05	KCC Egis Korea KBL	68-76	L
10/05	KCC Egis Korea KBL	81-80	W
09/05	KCC Egis Korea KBL	87-88	L
07/05	KCC Egis Korea KBL	78-96	L
05/05	KCC Egis Korea KBL	67-75	L
27/04	Changwon Sakers Korea KBL	90-80	W
25/04	Changwon Sakers Korea KBL	85-76	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Seoul Thunders vs Goyang Sky Gunners?

Our model gives 62% to Goyang Sky Gunners.

How many points are expected in Seoul Thunders vs Goyang Sky Gunners?

The model estimates 157 total points (Seoul Thunders 76.4 · Goyang Sky Gunners 80.6).