Basketball · Korea KBL · 22/10, 12:00

Prediction: Mobis Phoebus vs Changwon Sakers

Team pages: Mobis Phoebus · Changwon Sakers

Prediction summary

Estimated points

159.9Total

Mobis Phoebus79.8

Changwon Sakers80.1

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

49% 51%

Mobis Phoebus Changwon Sakers

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Mobis Phoebus 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLLWLW

Changwon Sakers 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLWLLL

Head-to-head

Mobis Phoebus 2–4 Changwon Sakers (6 last)

Mobis Phoebus85-84Changwon Sakers
Mobis Phoebus78-56Changwon Sakers
Changwon Sakers83-75Mobis Phoebus
Changwon Sakers76-65Mobis Phoebus
Mobis Phoebus68-71Changwon Sakers
Changwon Sakers90-60Mobis Phoebus

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mobis Phoebus 1438 · Changwon Sakers 1483

	Mobis Phoebus	Changwon Sakers
Our model	56%	44%
Market	47%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 159.9 points · Bet365 line 170.5 · -10.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points159.9Mobis Phoebus 79.8 · Changwon Sakers 80.1

Match keys

H2H favours Changwon Sakers: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Mobis Phoebus	Changwon Sakers
Points F\|A (Last 10)	82.3 / 84.4	77.2 / 84.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	87.8 / 88.4	78.8 / 91
Est. result	80	80

Est. total159.9

Line O/U170.5

Diff.10.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.95

21.74

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.87

2 (+1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 170.51.83

Under 170.51.83

Diff.: 6.3 · Est. total: 164.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.63 → 1.95▲	Bet365 1.95
2	2.15 → 1.74▼	Pinn 2.01 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 8.7% Pinnacle margin 3.5%

Time*	1	2
14:41 +4’	1.63	2.15
18:40 +6’	1.95▲	1.74▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:32 +14’	2.05	1.79
17:28 +18’	2.04▼	1.79▲
21:19 +29’	2.02▼	1.81▲
22:27 +18’	2.11▲	1.75▼
03:34 +12’	2.08▼	1.77▲
06:44 +1’	2.08	1.81▲
07:39 +6’	2.01▼	1.87▲
08:24 +21’	1.98▼	1.89▲
09:17 +28’	2.02▲	1.86▼
10:43 +2’	1.90▼	1.97▲
11:45	1.86▼	2.01▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mobis Phoebus 2–0–4 Changwon Sakers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/09/26 Korea KBL Cup	Mobis Phoebus	85-84	Changwon Sakers
08/04/26 Korea KBL	Mobis Phoebus	78-56	Changwon Sakers
06/03/26 Korea KBL	Changwon Sakers	83-75	Mobis Phoebus
31/01/26 Korea KBL	Changwon Sakers	76-65	Mobis Phoebus
31/12/25 Korea KBL	Mobis Phoebus	68-71	Changwon Sakers
06/12/25 Korea KBL	Changwon Sakers	90-60	Mobis Phoebus

Standings · Korea KBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Seoul Thunders	6	6	0	514	479
2	Anyang Red Boosters	8	6	2	651	604
3	Seoul Knights	2	1	1	165	163
3	Wonju Promy	6	3	3	557	533
5	Korea Gas Corporation	7	3	4	577	594
5	Goyang Sky Gunners	7	3	4	591	586
5	Suwon Sonicboom	7	3	4	566	580
5	Changwon Sakers	7	3	4	585	606
9	KCC Egis	7	2	5	588	638
9	Mobis Phoebus	7	2	5	607	618

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mobis Phoebus	Changwon Sakers
Suwon Sonicboom	96-80 W	72-97 L
Goyang Sky Gunners	82-95 L	80-90 L
Wonju Promy	99-89 W	96-92 W
Korea Gas Corporation	75-81 L	75-85 L
KCC Egis	87-97 L	103-68 W
Anyang Red Boosters	85-88 L	65-88 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Mobis Phoebus (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mobis Phoebus

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Suwon Sonicboom Korea KBL	96-80	W
16/10	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	82-95	L
12/10	Wonju Promy Korea KBL	99-89	W
10/10	Korea Gas Corporation Korea KBL	75-81	L
05/10	KCC Egis Korea KBL	87-97	L
03/10	Anyang Red Boosters Korea KBL	85-88	L
08/04	Changwon Sakers Korea KBL	78-56	W
05/04	Suwon Sonicboom Korea KBL	69-73	L
04/04	Anyang Red Boosters Korea KBL	71-95	L
30/03	Wonju Promy Korea KBL	81-90	L

Changwon Sakers

LLLLWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Korea Gas Corporation Korea KBL	75-85	L
15/10	Seoul Thunders Korea KBL	86-93	L
11/10	Anyang Red Boosters Korea KBL	65-88	L
08/10	Wonju Promy Korea KBL	96-92	W
06/10	Suwon Sonicboom Korea KBL	72-97	L
03/10	KCC Egis Korea KBL	103-68	W
27/04	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	80-90	L
25/04	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	76-85	L
23/04	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	63-69	L
08/04	Mobis Phoebus Korea KBL	56-78	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mobis Phoebus vs Changwon Sakers?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Mobis Phoebus 49% · Changwon Sakers 51%).

How many points are expected in Mobis Phoebus vs Changwon Sakers?

The model estimates 159.9 total points (Mobis Phoebus 79.8 · Changwon Sakers 80.1).