Basketball · Korea KBL · 01/11, 08:30

Prediction: Seoul Thunders vs Seoul Knights

Team pages: Seoul Thunders · Seoul Knights

Prediction summary

Estimated points

162.1Total

Seoul Thunders81.8

Seoul Knights80.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

54% 46%

Seoul Thunders Seoul Knights

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Seoul Thunders 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWWWW

Seoul Knights 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Seoul Thunders 3–3 Seoul Knights (6 last)

Seoul Knights75-93Seoul Thunders
Seoul Thunders79-82Seoul Knights
Seoul Knights89-92Seoul Thunders
Seoul Knights74-73Seoul Thunders
Seoul Thunders67-75Seoul Knights
Seoul Thunders83-74Seoul Knights

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Seoul Thunders 1585 · Seoul Knights 1478

	Seoul Thunders	Seoul Knights
Our model	76%	24%
Market	49%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 162.1 points · Bet365 line 164.5 · -2.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points162.1Seoul Thunders 81.8 · Seoul Knights 80.3

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Seoul Thunders	Seoul Knights
Points F\|A (Last 10)	84.9 / 78.5	79 / 82.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	90.8 / 80.8	87.4 / 82.8
Est. result	82	80

Est. total162.1

Line O/U164.5

Diff.2.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.87

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.80

2 (-1.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 164.51.83

Under 164.51.83

Diff.: 2.05 · Est. total: 162.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.87 → 1.87	Pinn 1.95 ★
2	1.80 → 1.80	Pinn 1.87

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1% Pinnacle margin 4.7%

Time*	1	2
16:41 +1’	1.87	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:13 +7’	1.95	1.87

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Seoul Thunders 3–0–3 Seoul Knights

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 Korea KBL	Seoul Knights	75-93	Seoul Thunders
17/02/26 Korea KBL	Seoul Thunders	79-82	Seoul Knights
11/01/26 Korea KBL	Seoul Knights	89-92	Seoul Thunders
20/12/25 Korea KBL	Seoul Knights	74-73	Seoul Thunders
09/11/25 Korea KBL	Seoul Thunders	67-75	Seoul Knights
28/10/25 Korea KBL	Seoul Thunders	83-74	Seoul Knights

Standings · Korea KBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Seoul Thunders	9	9	0	776	705
2	Seoul Knights	5	4	1	437	414
3	Anyang Red Boosters	10	6	4	834	791
4	Wonju Promy	10	5	5	918	906
5	Korea Gas Corporation	9	4	5	740	760
5	Changwon Sakers	9	4	5	779	799
7	Goyang Sky Gunners	10	4	6	882	886
7	Suwon Sonicboom	10	4	6	832	862
9	Mobis Phoebus	9	3	6	774	798
10	KCC Egis	11	3	8	950	1001

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Seoul Thunders	Seoul Knights
Goyang Sky Gunners	95-87 W	81-87 L
KCC Egis	97-86 W	96-87 W
Changwon Sakers	93-86 W	86-85 W
Anyang Red Boosters	66-58 W	84-76 W
Suwon Sonicboom	81-76 W	90-79 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 0 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Seoul Thunders (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Seoul Thunders

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	95-87	W
25/10	Korea Gas Corporation Korea KBL	76-68	W
24/10	Mobis Phoebus Korea KBL	91-71	W
21/10	KCC Egis Korea KBL	97-86	W
17/10	Wonju Promy Korea KBL	95-92	W
15/10	Changwon Sakers Korea KBL	93-86	W
11/10	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	82-81	W
09/10	Anyang Red Boosters Korea KBL	66-58	W
04/10	Suwon Sonicboom Korea KBL	81-76	W
08/04	Korea Gas Corporation Korea KBL	73-80	L

Seoul Knights

LLLLLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/10	KCC Egis Korea KBL	96-87	W
25/10	Suwon Sonicboom Korea KBL	90-79	W
24/10	Changwon Sakers Korea KBL	86-85	W
20/10	Anyang Red Boosters Korea KBL	84-76	W
18/10	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	81-87	L
16/04	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	65-66	L
14/04	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	72-80	L
12/04	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	76-105	L
08/04	Anyang Red Boosters Korea KBL	65-67	L
06/04	Seoul Thunders Korea KBL	75-93	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Seoul Thunders vs Seoul Knights?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Seoul Thunders 54% · Seoul Knights 46%).

How many points are expected in Seoul Thunders vs Seoul Knights?

The model estimates 162.1 total points (Seoul Thunders 81.8 · Seoul Knights 80.3).