Basketball · Korea KBL · 24/10, 07:00

Prediction: Seoul Knights vs Changwon Sakers

Team pages: Seoul Knights · Changwon Sakers

Prediction summary

Estimated points

158.1Total

Seoul Knights81.2

Changwon Sakers76.9

1X2

62% 38%

Seoul Knights Changwon Sakers

Recent form · 10 last

Seoul Knights 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLLLW

Changwon Sakers 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWLLLW

Head-to-head

Seoul Knights 4–2 Changwon Sakers (6 last)

Changwon Sakers67-55Seoul Knights
Changwon Sakers70-71Seoul Knights
Seoul Knights89-76Changwon Sakers
Seoul Knights77-55Changwon Sakers
Seoul Knights75-80Changwon Sakers
Changwon Sakers81-89Seoul Knights

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Seoul Knights 1447 · Changwon Sakers 1468

	Seoul Knights	Changwon Sakers
Our model	60%	40%
Market	63%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 158.1 points · Bet365 line 166.5 · -8.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points158.1Seoul Knights 81.2 · Changwon Sakers 76.9

Match keys

H2H favours Seoul Knights: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Seoul Knights	Changwon Sakers
Points F\|A (Last 10)	75.8 / 82.4	80.4 / 85
Points F\|A (Last 5)	75.6 / 82.8	82 / 88.2
Est. result	81	77

Est. total158.1

Line O/U166.5

Diff.8.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.50

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.87

2 (+4.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 166.51.83

Under 166.51.83

Diff.: 4.7 · Est. total: 161.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.7%

Time*	1	2
12:26 +23’	1.50	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Seoul Knights 4–0–2 Changwon Sakers

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Korea KBL	Changwon Sakers	67-55	Seoul Knights
08/03/26 Korea KBL	Changwon Sakers	70-71	Seoul Knights
15/01/26 Korea KBL	Seoul Knights	89-76	Changwon Sakers
13/12/25 Korea KBL	Seoul Knights	77-55	Changwon Sakers
02/11/25 Korea KBL	Seoul Knights	75-80	Changwon Sakers
03/10/25 Korea KBL	Changwon Sakers	81-89	Seoul Knights

Standings · Korea KBL

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Seoul Thunders	6	6	0	514	479
2	Anyang Red Boosters	8	6	2	651	604
3	Seoul Knights	2	1	1	165	163
3	Wonju Promy	6	3	3	557	533
5	Korea Gas Corporation	7	3	4	577	594
5	Goyang Sky Gunners	7	3	4	591	586
5	Suwon Sonicboom	7	3	4	566	580
5	Changwon Sakers	7	3	4	585	606
9	KCC Egis	7	2	5	588	638
9	Mobis Phoebus	7	2	5	607	618

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Seoul Knights	Changwon Sakers
Anyang Red Boosters	84-76 W	65-88 L
Goyang Sky Gunners	81-87 L	80-90 L
Seoul Thunders	75-93 L	86-93 L
Korea Gas Corporation	106-102 W	75-85 L
KCC Egis	79-81 L	103-68 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Seoul Knights (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Seoul Knights

LLWLLLLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/10	Anyang Red Boosters Korea KBL	84-76	W
18/10	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	81-87	L
16/04	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	65-66	L
14/04	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	72-80	L
12/04	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	76-105	L
08/04	Anyang Red Boosters Korea KBL	65-67	L
06/04	Seoul Thunders Korea KBL	75-93	L
04/04	Korea Gas Corporation Korea KBL	106-102	W
01/04	KCC Egis Korea KBL	79-81	L
29/03	Changwon Sakers Korea KBL	55-67	L

Changwon Sakers

LLLWLWLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
22/10	Mobis Phoebus Korea KBL	88-83	W
17/10	Korea Gas Corporation Korea KBL	75-85	L
15/10	Seoul Thunders Korea KBL	86-93	L
11/10	Anyang Red Boosters Korea KBL	65-88	L
08/10	Wonju Promy Korea KBL	96-92	W
06/10	Suwon Sonicboom Korea KBL	72-97	L
03/10	KCC Egis Korea KBL	103-68	W
27/04	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	80-90	L
25/04	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	76-85	L
23/04	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	63-69	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Seoul Knights vs Changwon Sakers?

Our model gives 62% to Seoul Knights.

How many points are expected in Seoul Knights vs Changwon Sakers?

The model estimates 158.1 total points (Seoul Knights 81.2 · Changwon Sakers 76.9).