Basketball · Korea KBL · 24/10, 09:30

Prediction: Mobis Phoebus vs Seoul Thunders

Team pages: Mobis Phoebus · Seoul Thunders

Prediction summary

Estimated points

161.5Total

Mobis Phoebus79.5

Seoul Thunders82

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

43% 57%

Mobis Phoebus Seoul Thunders

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Mobis Phoebus 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Seoul Thunders 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Mobis Phoebus 4–2 Seoul Thunders (6 last)

Seoul Thunders76-73Mobis Phoebus
Mobis Phoebus87-77Seoul Thunders
Mobis Phoebus75-74Seoul Thunders
Mobis Phoebus61-84Seoul Thunders
Seoul Thunders79-92Mobis Phoebus
Seoul Thunders76-80Mobis Phoebus

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mobis Phoebus 1473 · Seoul Thunders 1528

	Mobis Phoebus	Seoul Thunders
Our model	55%	45%
Market	40%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 161.5 points · Bet365 line 169.5 · -8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points161.5Mobis Phoebus 79.5 · Seoul Thunders 82

Match keys

H2H favours Mobis Phoebus: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Mobis Phoebus	Seoul Thunders
Points F\|A (Last 10)	82.5 / 84.2	83.3 / 79.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	87 / 86.6	86.6 / 80.6
Est. result	80	82

Est. total161.5

Line O/U169.5

Diff.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.35

21.54

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.83

2 (-3.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 169.51.83

Under 169.51.83

Diff.: 4.65 · Est. total: 164.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
2	1.54 → 1.54	Bet365 1.54

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.5%

Time*	1	2
13:41 +8’	2.35	1.54

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Mobis Phoebus 4–0–2 Seoul Thunders

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/03/26 Korea KBL	Seoul Thunders	76-73	Mobis Phoebus
12/02/26 Korea KBL	Mobis Phoebus	87-77	Seoul Thunders
13/01/26 Korea KBL	Mobis Phoebus	75-74	Seoul Thunders
13/12/25 Korea KBL	Mobis Phoebus	61-84	Seoul Thunders
03/11/25 Korea KBL	Seoul Thunders	79-92	Mobis Phoebus
23/10/25 Korea KBL	Seoul Thunders	76-80	Mobis Phoebus

Standings · Korea KBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Seoul Thunders	6	6	0	514	479
2	Anyang Red Boosters	8	6	2	651	604
3	Seoul Knights	2	1	1	165	163
3	Wonju Promy	6	3	3	557	533
5	Korea Gas Corporation	7	3	4	577	594
5	Goyang Sky Gunners	7	3	4	591	586
5	Suwon Sonicboom	7	3	4	566	580
5	Changwon Sakers	7	3	4	585	606
9	KCC Egis	7	2	5	588	638
9	Mobis Phoebus	7	2	5	607	618

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mobis Phoebus	Seoul Thunders
Changwon Sakers	83-88 L	93-86 W
Suwon Sonicboom	96-80 W	81-76 W
Goyang Sky Gunners	82-95 L	82-81 W
Wonju Promy	99-89 W	95-92 W
Korea Gas Corporation	75-81 L	73-80 L
KCC Egis	87-97 L	97-86 W
Anyang Red Boosters	85-88 L	66-58 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 5 L	6 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Seoul Thunders (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mobis Phoebus

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
22/10	Changwon Sakers Korea KBL	83-88	L
18/10	Suwon Sonicboom Korea KBL	96-80	W
16/10	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	82-95	L
12/10	Wonju Promy Korea KBL	99-89	W
10/10	Korea Gas Corporation Korea KBL	75-81	L
05/10	KCC Egis Korea KBL	87-97	L
03/10	Anyang Red Boosters Korea KBL	85-88	L
08/04	Changwon Sakers Korea KBL	78-56	W
05/04	Suwon Sonicboom Korea KBL	69-73	L
04/04	Anyang Red Boosters Korea KBL	71-95	L

Seoul Thunders

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
21/10	KCC Egis Korea KBL	97-86	W
17/10	Wonju Promy Korea KBL	95-92	W
15/10	Changwon Sakers Korea KBL	93-86	W
11/10	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	82-81	W
09/10	Anyang Red Boosters Korea KBL	66-58	W
04/10	Suwon Sonicboom Korea KBL	81-76	W
08/04	Korea Gas Corporation Korea KBL	73-80	L
06/04	Seoul Knights Korea KBL	93-75	W
04/04	Wonju Promy Korea KBL	75-80	L
29/03	Suwon Sonicboom Korea KBL	78-83	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mobis Phoebus vs Seoul Thunders?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Mobis Phoebus 43% · Seoul Thunders 57%).

How many points are expected in Mobis Phoebus vs Seoul Thunders?

The model estimates 161.5 total points (Mobis Phoebus 79.5 · Seoul Thunders 82).