Basketball · Korea KBL · 08/11, 08:30

Prediction: Changwon Sakers vs KCC Egis

Team pages: Changwon Sakers · KCC Egis

Prediction summary

Estimated points

176.2Total

Changwon Sakers89.9

KCC Egis86.3

1X2

60% 40%

Changwon Sakers KCC Egis

Recent form · 10 last

Changwon Sakers 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLWLWL

KCC Egis 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLLWW

Head-to-head

Changwon Sakers 5–1 KCC Egis (6 last)

KCC Egis68-103Changwon Sakers
Changwon Sakers65-74KCC Egis
KCC Egis74-94Changwon Sakers
KCC Egis65-82Changwon Sakers
KCC Egis101-109Changwon Sakers
Changwon Sakers83-61KCC Egis

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Changwon Sakers 1530 · KCC Egis 1467

	Changwon Sakers	KCC Egis
Our model	71%	29%
Market	57%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 176.2 points · Bet365 line 178.5 · -2.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points176.2Changwon Sakers 89.9 · KCC Egis 86.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Changwon Sakers (rating 1530 vs 1467).
H2H favours Changwon Sakers: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Changwon Sakers	KCC Egis
Points F\|A (Last 10)	87.7 / 90.3	89 / 91.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	91 / 93	93.4 / 93
Est. result	90	86

Est. total176.2

Line O/U178.5

Diff.2.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.63

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.83

2 (+2.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 178.51.83

Under 178.51.83

Diff.: 0.65 · Est. total: 179.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.63 → 1.63	Bet365 1.63
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.1%

Time*	1	2
12:13 +8’	1.63	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Changwon Sakers 5–0–1 KCC Egis

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/10/26 Korea KBL	KCC Egis	68-103	Changwon Sakers
05/04/26 Korea KBL	Changwon Sakers	65-74	KCC Egis
18/02/26 Korea KBL	KCC Egis	74-94	Changwon Sakers
23/01/26 Korea KBL	KCC Egis	65-82	Changwon Sakers
26/12/25 Korea KBL	KCC Egis	101-109	Changwon Sakers
10/11/25 Korea KBL	Changwon Sakers	83-61	KCC Egis

Standings · Korea KBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Seoul Thunders	11	10	1	933	871
2	Anyang Red Boosters	12	8	4	994	941
3	Seoul Knights	8	5	3	682	655
4	Wonju Promy	11	6	5	1022	1004
5	Korea Gas Corporation	12	6	6	987	980
6	Suwon Sonicboom	11	5	6	935	958
7	Changwon Sakers	10	4	6	877	903
8	Goyang Sky Gunners	12	4	8	1080	1094
8	KCC Egis	12	4	8	1055	1103
10	Mobis Phoebus	11	3	8	917	973

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Changwon Sakers	KCC Egis
Wonju Promy	98-104 L	90-74 W
Goyang Sky Gunners	109-107 W	105-102 W
Seoul Knights	85-86 L	87-96 L
Mobis Phoebus	88-83 W	89-96 L
Korea Gas Corporation	75-85 L	103-98 W
Seoul Thunders	86-93 L	86-97 L
Anyang Red Boosters	65-88 L	74-81 L
Suwon Sonicboom	72-97 L	81-87 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 6 L	3 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: KCC Egis (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Changwon Sakers

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Wonju Promy Korea KBL	98-104	L
26/10	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	109-107	W
24/10	Seoul Knights Korea KBL	85-86	L
22/10	Mobis Phoebus Korea KBL	88-83	W
17/10	Korea Gas Corporation Korea KBL	75-85	L
15/10	Seoul Thunders Korea KBL	86-93	L
11/10	Anyang Red Boosters Korea KBL	65-88	L
08/10	Wonju Promy Korea KBL	96-92	W
06/10	Suwon Sonicboom Korea KBL	72-97	L
03/10	KCC Egis Korea KBL	103-68	W

KCC Egis

WLLLLLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/11	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	105-102	W
31/10	Wonju Promy Korea KBL	90-74	W
29/10	Mobis Phoebus Korea KBL	89-96	L
27/10	Seoul Knights Korea KBL	87-96	L
24/10	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	96-97	L
21/10	Seoul Thunders Korea KBL	86-97	L
18/10	Anyang Red Boosters Korea KBL	74-81	L
11/10	Suwon Sonicboom Korea KBL	81-87	L
10/10	Wonju Promy Korea KBL	79-85	L
07/10	Korea Gas Corporation Korea KBL	103-98	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Changwon Sakers vs KCC Egis?

Our model gives 60% to Changwon Sakers.

How many points are expected in Changwon Sakers vs KCC Egis?

The model estimates 176.2 total points (Changwon Sakers 89.9 · KCC Egis 86.3).