Basketball · Korea KBL · 15/11, 08:30

Prediction: Changwon Sakers vs Suwon Sonicboom

Team pages: Changwon Sakers · Suwon Sonicboom

Prediction summary

Estimated points

167.4Total

Changwon Sakers85.3

Suwon Sonicboom82.1

1X2

59% 41%

Changwon Sakers Suwon Sonicboom

Recent form · 10 last

Changwon Sakers 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWLWLW

Suwon Sonicboom 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWWWLL

Head-to-head

Changwon Sakers 4–2 Suwon Sonicboom (6 last)

Suwon Sonicboom97-72Changwon Sakers
Suwon Sonicboom60-87Changwon Sakers
Changwon Sakers81-69Suwon Sonicboom
Suwon Sonicboom76-75Changwon Sakers
Changwon Sakers66-63Suwon Sonicboom
Suwon Sonicboom67-82Changwon Sakers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Changwon Sakers 1489 · Suwon Sonicboom 1463

	Changwon Sakers	Suwon Sonicboom
Our model	66%	34%
Market	57%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 167.4 points · Bet365 line 170.5 · -3.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points167.4Changwon Sakers 85.3 · Suwon Sonicboom 82.1

Match keys

H2H favours Changwon Sakers: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Changwon Sakers	Suwon Sonicboom
Points F\|A (Last 10)	86.7 / 88.7	84 / 90.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	93.6 / 90.4	89.6 / 89.2
Est. result	85	82

Est. total167.4

Line O/U170.5

Diff.3.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.63

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.83

2 (+2.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 170.51.83

Under 170.51.83

Diff.: 4.45 · Est. total: 174.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.63 → 1.63	Bet365 1.63
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.1%

Time*	1	2
12:43 +20’	1.63	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Changwon Sakers 4–0–2 Suwon Sonicboom

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/10/26 Korea KBL	Suwon Sonicboom	97-72	Changwon Sakers
03/04/26 Korea KBL	Suwon Sonicboom	60-87	Changwon Sakers
03/02/26 Korea KBL	Changwon Sakers	81-69	Suwon Sonicboom
04/01/26 Korea KBL	Suwon Sonicboom	76-75	Changwon Sakers
07/12/25 Korea KBL	Changwon Sakers	66-63	Suwon Sonicboom
15/11/25 Korea KBL	Suwon Sonicboom	67-82	Changwon Sakers

Standings · Korea KBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Seoul Thunders	13	11	2	1094	1033
2	Anyang Red Boosters	13	9	4	1085	1026
3	Seoul Knights	10	6	4	835	821
4	Wonju Promy	14	8	6	1265	1244
5	Changwon Sakers	13	6	7	1138	1144
6	Korea Gas Corporation	14	6	8	1155	1160
6	Suwon Sonicboom	14	6	8	1188	1218
8	Goyang Sky Gunners	15	6	9	1339	1346
9	KCC Egis	13	5	8	1139	1177
10	Mobis Phoebus	13	3	10	1081	1150

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Changwon Sakers	Suwon Sonicboom
Seoul Knights	101-72 W	79-90 L
Goyang Sky Gunners	86-85 W	103-96 W
Wonju Promy	98-104 L	83-94 L
Mobis Phoebus	88-83 W	80-96 L
Korea Gas Corporation	75-85 L	92-81 W
Seoul Thunders	86-93 L	78-85 L
Anyang Red Boosters	65-88 L	92-90 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Changwon Sakers

LLLWLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/11	Seoul Knights Korea KBL	101-72	W
08/11	KCC Egis Korea KBL	74-84	L
07/11	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	86-85	W
01/11	Wonju Promy Korea KBL	98-104	L
26/10	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	109-107	W
24/10	Seoul Knights Korea KBL	85-86	L
22/10	Mobis Phoebus Korea KBL	88-83	W
17/10	Korea Gas Corporation Korea KBL	75-85	L
15/10	Seoul Thunders Korea KBL	86-93	L
11/10	Anyang Red Boosters Korea KBL	65-88	L

Suwon Sonicboom

LLLLLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/11	Wonju Promy Korea KBL	83-94	L
09/11	Seoul Thunders Korea KBL	78-85	L
07/11	Korea Gas Corporation Korea KBL	92-81	W
01/11	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	103-96	W
31/10	Anyang Red Boosters Korea KBL	92-90	W
25/10	Seoul Knights Korea KBL	79-90	L
23/10	Wonju Promy Korea KBL	95-102	L
18/10	Mobis Phoebus Korea KBL	80-96	L
17/10	Anyang Red Boosters Korea KBL	69-89	L
14/10	Korea Gas Corporation Korea KBL	69-82	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Changwon Sakers vs Suwon Sonicboom?

Our model gives 59% to Changwon Sakers.

How many points are expected in Changwon Sakers vs Suwon Sonicboom?

The model estimates 167.4 total points (Changwon Sakers 85.3 · Suwon Sonicboom 82.1).