Basketball · Poland 1st Division · 20/09, 18:00

Prediction: Resovia Rzeszow vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg

Prediction summary

Estimated points

165.7Total

Resovia Rzeszow82.2

Kotwica Kolobrzeg83.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

46% 54%

Resovia Rzeszow Kotwica Kolobrzeg

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Resovia Rzeszow 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWWLWW

Kotwica Kolobrzeg 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWWLLL

Head-to-head

Resovia Rzeszow 1–3 Kotwica Kolobrzeg (4 last)

Kotwica Kolobrzeg103-80Resovia Rzeszow
Resovia Rzeszow85-75Kotwica Kolobrzeg
Kotwica Kolobrzeg100-57Resovia Rzeszow
Resovia Rzeszow59-69Kotwica Kolobrzeg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Resovia Rzeszow 1507 · Kotwica Kolobrzeg 1491

	Resovia Rzeszow	Kotwica Kolobrzeg
Our model	65%	35%
Market	41%	59%

Estimated total (ours) 165.7 points · Bet365 line 162.5 · +3.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points165.7Resovia Rzeszow 82.2 · Kotwica Kolobrzeg 83.6

Match keys

H2H favours Kotwica Kolobrzeg: 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Resovia Rzeszow	Kotwica Kolobrzeg
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80 / 79.8	80.8 / 90.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	84 / 77	79.2 / 91.8
Est. result	82	84

Est. total165.7

Line O/U162.5

Diff.3.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.25

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.83

2 (-3.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 162.51.83

Under 162.51.83

Diff.: 3.2 · Est. total: 165.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.45 ★
2	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.1% Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	2
13:14 +36’	2.25	1.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
18:43 +12’	2.07	1.64
21:51 +2’	2.15▲	1.59▼
00:32 +15’	2.45▲	1.45▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Resovia Rzeszow 1–0–3 Kotwica Kolobrzeg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/03/26 Poland 1st Division	Kotwica Kolobrzeg	103-80	Resovia Rzeszow
16/11/25 Poland 1st Division	Resovia Rzeszow	85-75	Kotwica Kolobrzeg
11/03/25 Poland 1st Division	Kotwica Kolobrzeg	100-57	Resovia Rzeszow
24/11/24 Poland 1st Division	Resovia Rzeszow	59-69	Kotwica Kolobrzeg

Standings · Poland 1st Division

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Notec Inowroclaw	1	1	0	80	66	2
2	WKK Wroclaw	1	0	1	66	80	1
3	Politechnika Opolska	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Biofarm Basket Poznan	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Decka Pelplin	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	GKS Tychy	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Polonia 1912 Leszno	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Polonia Bytom	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Miasto Szkla Krosno	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	LKS Lodz	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Polonia Warszawa	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Lancut	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Resovia Rzeszow	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Kotwica Kolobrzeg	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	SKS Starogard Gdanski	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Spojnia Stargard	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Resovia Rzeszow	Kotwica Kolobrzeg
Astoria Bydgoszcz	88-75 W	68-99 L
LKS Lodz	82-89 L	66-91 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Resovia Rzeszow (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Resovia Rzeszow

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
15/04	Decka Pelplin Poland 1st Division	101-78	W
12/04	Biofarm Basket Poznan Poland 1st Division	77-75	W
08/04	Zubry Poland 1st Division	76-84	L
29/03	Astoria Bydgoszcz Poland 1st Division	88-75	W
25/03	Miners Katowice Poland 1st Division	78-73	W
22/03	Politechnika Opolska Poland 1st Division	74-76	L
15/03	LKS Lodz Poland 1st Division	82-89	L
11/03	WKK Wroclaw Poland 1st Division	72-68	W
06/03	Kotwica Kolobrzeg Poland 1st Division	80-103	L
28/02	Spojnia Stargard Poland 1st Division	72-77	L

Kotwica Kolobrzeg

LLLWLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/04	Astoria Bydgoszcz Poland 1st Division	68-99	L
25/04	Astoria Bydgoszcz Poland 1st Division	84-94	L
20/04	Astoria Bydgoszcz Poland 1st Division	79-106	L
19/04	Astoria Bydgoszcz Poland 1st Division	91-88	W
15/04	Polonia Warszawa Poland 1st Division	74-72	W
11/04	Polonia 1912 Leszno Poland 1st Division	88-90	L
08/04	Lancut Poland 1st Division	104-84	W
02/04	LKS Lodz Poland 1st Division	66-91	L
29/03	GKS Tychy Poland 1st Division	83-89	L
25/03	Notec Inowroclaw Poland 1st Division	71-95	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Resovia Rzeszow vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Resovia Rzeszow 46% · Kotwica Kolobrzeg 54%).

How many points are expected in Resovia Rzeszow vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg?

The model estimates 165.7 total points (Resovia Rzeszow 82.2 · Kotwica Kolobrzeg 83.6).