Basketball · Poland 1st Division · 21/09, 19:00

Prediction: Polonia Warszawa vs Lancut

Prediction summary

Estimated points

169.6Total

Polonia Warszawa86.1

Lancut83.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

57% 43%

Polonia Warszawa Lancut

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Polonia Warszawa 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWWLLL

Lancut 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWLLWL

Head-to-head

Polonia Warszawa 3–2 Lancut (5 last)

Lancut100-99Polonia Warszawa
Polonia Warszawa108-96Lancut
Polonia Warszawa85-94Lancut
Lancut64-75Polonia Warszawa
Polonia Warszawa78-72Lancut

Model analysis

Estimated points169.6Polonia Warszawa 86.1 · Lancut 83.6

Match keys

H2H favours Polonia Warszawa: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Polonia Warszawa	Lancut
Points F\|A (Last 10)	77.2 / 79.1	85.5 / 89
Points F\|A (Last 5)	78 / 77.4	87.8 / 90.6
Est. result	86	84

Est. total169.6

Line O/U166.5

Diff.3.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 166.51.86

Under 166.51.81

Diff.: 1.1 · Est. total: 165.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:53

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.98 → 1.98	Pinn 1.98
2	1.70 → 1.70	Pinn 1.70

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	2
19:09 +45’	1.98	1.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Polonia Warszawa 3–0–2 Lancut

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Poland 1st Division	Lancut	100-99	Polonia Warszawa
08/11/25 Poland 1st Division	Polonia Warszawa	108-96	Lancut
31/01/25 Poland 1st Division	Polonia Warszawa	85-94	Lancut
23/10/24 Poland 1st Division	Lancut	64-75	Polonia Warszawa
07/09/24 Club Friendlies	Polonia Warszawa	78-72	Lancut

Standings · Poland 1st Division

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Notec Inowroclaw	1	1	0	80	66	2
2	WKK Wroclaw	1	0	1	66	80	1
3	Politechnika Opolska	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Biofarm Basket Poznan	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Decka Pelplin	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	GKS Tychy	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Polonia 1912 Leszno	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Polonia Bytom	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Miasto Szkla Krosno	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	LKS Lodz	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Polonia Warszawa	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Lancut	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Resovia Rzeszow	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Kotwica Kolobrzeg	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	SKS Starogard Gdanski	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Spojnia Stargard	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Polonia Warszawa	Lancut
Kotwica Kolobrzeg	72-74 L	84-104 L
Spojnia Stargard	71-89 L	80-78 W
WKK Wroclaw	77-68 W	96-94 W
LKS Lodz	90-66 W	77-90 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Polonia Warszawa (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Polonia Warszawa

LLLWLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
15/04	Kotwica Kolobrzeg Poland 1st Division	72-74	L
11/04	Spojnia Stargard Poland 1st Division	71-89	L
02/04	Zubry Poland 1st Division	80-90	L
29/03	WKK Wroclaw Poland 1st Division	77-68	W
25/03	LKS Lodz Poland 1st Division	90-66	W
22/03	Notec Inowroclaw Poland 1st Division	67-79	L
15/03	Decka Pelplin Poland 1st Division	93-80	W
07/03	Polonia 1912 Leszno Poland 1st Division	68-76	L
28/02	Lancut Poland 1st Division	99-100	L
21/02	GKS Tychy Poland 1st Division	55-69	L

Lancut

WWWLLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/04	SKS Starogard Gdanski Poland 1st Division	82-91	L
25/04	SKS Starogard Gdanski Poland 1st Division	82-81	W
19/04	SKS Starogard Gdanski Poland 1st Division	90-91	L
18/04	SKS Starogard Gdanski Poland 1st Division	81-94	L
15/04	Politechnika Opolska Poland 1st Division	104-96	W
12/04	LKS Lodz Poland 1st Division	77-90	L
08/04	Kotwica Kolobrzeg Poland 1st Division	84-104	L
29/03	Spojnia Stargard Poland 1st Division	80-78	W
25/03	Astoria Bydgoszcz Poland 1st Division	79-71	W
13/03	WKK Wroclaw Poland 1st Division	96-94	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Polonia Warszawa vs Lancut?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Polonia Warszawa 57% · Lancut 43%).

How many points are expected in Polonia Warszawa vs Lancut?

The model estimates 169.6 total points (Polonia Warszawa 86.1 · Lancut 83.6).