Basketball · France Nationale 1 · 06/11, 20:00

Prediction: Les Sables Vendee vs Union Tarbes Lourdes

Team pages: Les Sables Vendee · Union Tarbes Lourdes

Prediction summary

Estimated points

158Total

Les Sables Vendee79

Union Tarbes Lourdes79

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

50% 50%

Les Sables Vendee Union Tarbes Lourdes

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Les Sables Vendee 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLWLWL

Union Tarbes Lourdes 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWWWWL

Head-to-head

Les Sables Vendee 2–4 Union Tarbes Lourdes (6 last)

Les Sables Vendee89-92Union Tarbes Lourdes
Union Tarbes Lourdes79-62Les Sables Vendee
Union Tarbes Lourdes81-72Les Sables Vendee
Les Sables Vendee81-77Union Tarbes Lourdes
Union Tarbes Lourdes81-75Les Sables Vendee
Les Sables Vendee49-40Union Tarbes Lourdes

Model analysis

Estimated points158Les Sables Vendee 79 · Union Tarbes Lourdes 79

Match keys

H2H favours Union Tarbes Lourdes: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Les Sables Vendee	Union Tarbes Lourdes
Points F\|A (Last 10)	77.1 / 80.1	80 / 77.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	83.6 / 81.8	87.6 / 79.8
Est. result	79	79

Est. total158

Line O/U160.5

Diff.2.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 160.51.85

Under 160.51.81

Diff.: 3 · Est. total: 157.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:57

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.29 → 1.29	Pinn 1.29
2	2.98 → 2.98	Pinn 2.98

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 10.8%

Time*	1	2
20:43 +13’	1.29	2.98

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Les Sables Vendee 2–0–4 Union Tarbes Lourdes

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
12/09/26 Coupe De France	Les Sables Vendee	89-92	Union Tarbes Lourdes
12/12/25 France Nationale 1	Union Tarbes Lourdes	79-62	Les Sables Vendee
07/10/25 Coupe De France	Union Tarbes Lourdes	81-72	Les Sables Vendee
26/09/25 France Nationale 1	Les Sables Vendee	81-77	Union Tarbes Lourdes
20/12/24 France Nationale 1	Union Tarbes Lourdes	81-75	Les Sables Vendee
04/10/24 France Nationale 1	Les Sables Vendee	49-40	Union Tarbes Lourdes

Standings · France Nationale 1 · Nationale 1 26/27, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vendee Challans Basket	8	6	2	683	598	14
2	Union Rennes Basket 35	8	6	2	703	638	14
3	Union Tours Basket Metropole	9	4	5	699	707	13
4	Toulouse	7	5	2	571	530	12
5	Union Tarbes Lourdes	7	5	2	593	553	12
6	CEP Lorient	8	4	4	602	599	12
7	Angers BC	8	4	4	574	581	12
8	Vitre Aurore	8	4	4	608	622	12
9	C’Chartres Basket M	8	4	4	639	665	12
10	Pays de Fougères Basket	8	4	4	570	624	12
11	Les Sables Vendee	8	3	5	626	630	11
12	JSA Bordeaux	9	2	7	660	694	11
13	US Laval	8	1	7	570	657	9
14	Pole France	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Les Sables Vendee	Union Tarbes Lourdes
JSA Bordeaux	86-76 W	89-85 W
Union Rennes Basket 35	89-95 L	86-87 L
Vendee Challans Basket	66-80 L	93-82 W
Pays de Fougères Basket	61-66 L	96-79 W
C’Chartres Basket M	81-75 W	80-74 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Union Tarbes Lourdes (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Les Sables Vendee

LLWLLLWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	Angers BC France Nationale 1	88-91	L
23/10	JSA Bordeaux France Nationale 1	86-76	W
20/10	CEP Lorient France Nationale 1	65-85	L
16/10	Union Tours Basket Metropole France Nationale 1	90-62	W
09/10	Union Rennes Basket 35 France Nationale 1	89-95	L
29/09	Vendee Challans Basket France Nationale 1	66-80	L
25/09	Pays de Fougères Basket France Nationale 1	61-66	L
18/09	C’Chartres Basket M France Nationale 1	81-75	W
08/05	Berck/Rang du Fliers France Nationale 1	77-81	L
05/05	Le Havre France Nationale 1	68-90	L

Union Tarbes Lourdes

LWLWLWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	Union Rennes Basket 35 France Nationale 1	86-87	L
20/10	Vendee Challans Basket France Nationale 1	93-82	W
16/10	US Laval France Nationale 1	83-77	W
09/10	C’Chartres Basket M France Nationale 1	80-74	W
02/10	Pays de Fougères Basket France Nationale 1	96-79	W
25/09	Vitre Aurore France Nationale 1	66-69	L
18/09	JSA Bordeaux France Nationale 1	89-85	W
24/05	Levallois Basketball France Nationale 1	70-77	L
22/05	Levallois Basketball France Nationale 1	73-65	W
15/05	Levallois Basketball France Nationale 1	64-83	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Les Sables Vendee vs Union Tarbes Lourdes?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Les Sables Vendee 50% · Union Tarbes Lourdes 50%).

How many points are expected in Les Sables Vendee vs Union Tarbes Lourdes?

The model estimates 158 total points (Les Sables Vendee 79 · Union Tarbes Lourdes 79).