Basketball · France Nationale 1 · 13/11, 20:30

Prediction: CEP Lorient vs Union Tarbes Lourdes

Team pages: CEP Lorient · Union Tarbes Lourdes

Prediction summary

Estimated points

156.1Total

CEP Lorient78.8

Union Tarbes Lourdes77.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

54% 46%

CEP Lorient Union Tarbes Lourdes

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

CEP Lorient 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Union Tarbes Lourdes 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLWWWWLL

Head-to-head

CEP Lorient 1–5 Union Tarbes Lourdes (6 last)

CEP Lorient67-88Union Tarbes Lourdes
Union Tarbes Lourdes81-67CEP Lorient
CEP Lorient60-71Union Tarbes Lourdes
Union Tarbes Lourdes85-63CEP Lorient
CEP Lorient49-35Union Tarbes Lourdes
Union Tarbes Lourdes88-77CEP Lorient

Model analysis

Estimated points156.1CEP Lorient 78.8 · Union Tarbes Lourdes 77.4

Match keys

H2H favours Union Tarbes Lourdes: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	CEP Lorient	Union Tarbes Lourdes
Points F\|A (Last 10)	73.6 / 78.5	81.8 / 77.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	70.8 / 80.8	84.8 / 80.8
Est. result	79	77

Est. total156.1

Line O/U156

Diff.0.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1561.83

Under 1561.83

Diff.: 0.1 · Est. total: 155.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:47

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.39 → 1.45▲	Pinn 1.45
2	2.61 → 2.45▼	Pinn 2.45

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 10%

Time*	1	2
20:55 +1’	1.39	2.61
23:44 +2’	1.45▲	2.45▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CEP Lorient 1–0–5 Union Tarbes Lourdes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/01/26 France Nationale 1	CEP Lorient	67-88	Union Tarbes Lourdes
24/10/25 France Nationale 1	Union Tarbes Lourdes	81-67	CEP Lorient
31/01/25 France Nationale 1	CEP Lorient	60-71	Union Tarbes Lourdes
01/11/24 France Nationale 1	Union Tarbes Lourdes	85-63	CEP Lorient
16/12/23 France Nationale 1	CEP Lorient	49-35	Union Tarbes Lourdes
07/10/23 France Nationale 1	Union Tarbes Lourdes	88-77	CEP Lorient

Standings · France Nationale 1 · Nationale 1 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vendee Challans Basket	9	7	2	778	659	16
2	Union Rennes Basket 35	9	7	2	783	716	16
3	Union Tours Basket Metropole	10	4	6	777	787	14
4	Vitre Aurore	9	5	4	684	695	14
5	Union Tarbes Lourdes	8	5	3	675	637	13
6	Toulouse	8	5	3	648	621	13
7	Les Sables Vendee	9	4	5	710	712	13
8	JSA Bordeaux	10	3	7	743	769	13
9	C’Chartres Basket M	9	4	5	712	741	13
10	CEP Lorient	9	4	5	663	694	13
11	Pays de Fougères Basket	9	4	5	645	707	13
12	Angers BC	8	4	4	574	581	12
13	US Laval	9	2	7	661	734	11
14	Pole France	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CEP Lorient	Union Tarbes Lourdes
Vendee Challans Basket	61-95 L	93-82 W
C’Chartres Basket M	90-91 L	80-74 W
Les Sables Vendee	85-65 W	82-84 L
Pays de Fougères Basket	61-70 L	96-79 W
JSA Bordeaux	77-70 W	89-85 W
Vitre Aurore	70-63 W	66-69 L
US Laval	82-73 W	83-77 W
Levallois Basketball	73-91 L	70-77 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 4 L	5 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CEP Lorient

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/11	Vendee Challans Basket France Nationale 1	61-95	L
23/10	C’Chartres Basket M France Nationale 1	90-91	L
20/10	Les Sables Vendee France Nationale 1	85-65	W
16/10	Toulouse France Nationale 1	57-83	L
09/10	Pays de Fougères Basket France Nationale 1	61-70	L
02/10	JSA Bordeaux France Nationale 1	77-70	W
29/09	Vitre Aurore France Nationale 1	70-63	W
25/09	Union Tours Basket Metropole France Nationale 1	80-84	L
18/09	US Laval France Nationale 1	82-73	W
05/06	Levallois Basketball France Nationale 1	73-91	L

Union Tarbes Lourdes

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/11	Les Sables Vendee France Nationale 1	82-84	L
30/10	Union Rennes Basket 35 France Nationale 1	86-87	L
20/10	Vendee Challans Basket France Nationale 1	93-82	W
16/10	US Laval France Nationale 1	83-77	W
09/10	C’Chartres Basket M France Nationale 1	80-74	W
02/10	Pays de Fougères Basket France Nationale 1	96-79	W
25/09	Vitre Aurore France Nationale 1	66-69	L
18/09	JSA Bordeaux France Nationale 1	89-85	W
24/05	Levallois Basketball France Nationale 1	70-77	L
22/05	Levallois Basketball France Nationale 1	73-65	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CEP Lorient vs Union Tarbes Lourdes?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (CEP Lorient 54% · Union Tarbes Lourdes 46%).

How many points are expected in CEP Lorient vs Union Tarbes Lourdes?

The model estimates 156.1 total points (CEP Lorient 78.8 · Union Tarbes Lourdes 77.4).