Basketball · France Nationale 1 · 16/10, 20:30

Prediction: Toulouse vs CEP Lorient

Team pages: Toulouse · CEP Lorient

Prediction summary

Estimated points

160.9Total

Toulouse80.8

CEP Lorient80.1

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

52% 48%

Toulouse CEP Lorient

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Toulouse 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLLWLL

CEP Lorient 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWLWWL

Head-to-head

Toulouse 3–3 CEP Lorient (6 last)

Toulouse92-90CEP Lorient
CEP Lorient89-86Toulouse
CEP Lorient63-66Toulouse
Toulouse85-76CEP Lorient
CEP Lorient84-56Toulouse
Toulouse72-85CEP Lorient

Model analysis

Estimated points160.9Toulouse 80.8 · CEP Lorient 80.1

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Toulouse	CEP Lorient
Points F\|A (Last 10)	83 / 85.1	76.9 / 73.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	81.6 / 86.8	74 / 72
Est. result	81	80

Est. total160.9

Line O/U159

Diff.1.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1591.84

Under 1591.83

Diff.: 0.05 · Est. total: 159.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:58

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.86 → 1.86	Pinn 1.86
2	1.81 → 1.81	Pinn 1.81

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	2
20:48 +9’	1.86	1.81

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Toulouse 3–0–3 CEP Lorient

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/02/26 France Nationale 1	Toulouse	92-90	CEP Lorient
07/11/25 France Nationale 1	CEP Lorient	89-86	Toulouse
20/12/24 France Nationale 1	CEP Lorient	63-66	Toulouse
04/10/24 France Nationale 1	Toulouse	85-76	CEP Lorient
02/02/24 France Nationale 1	CEP Lorient	84-56	Toulouse
10/11/23 France Nationale 1	Toulouse	72-85	CEP Lorient

Standings · France Nationale 1 · Nationale 1 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vendee Challans Basket	4	4	0	348	287	8
2	CEP Lorient	5	3	2	370	360	8
3	Pays de Fougères Basket	5	3	2	340	364	8
4	Union Tarbes Lourdes	4	3	1	331	307	7
5	Angers BC	4	3	1	282	274	7
6	JSA Bordeaux	5	2	3	373	370	7
7	Union Tours Basket Metropole	5	2	3	389	392	7
8	Union Rennes Basket 35	4	2	2	350	341	6
9	Vitre Aurore	3	2	1	208	208	5
10	C’Chartres Basket M	4	1	3	325	337	5
11	Les Sables Vendee	4	1	3	297	316	5
12	Toulouse	3	1	2	253	261	4
13	US Laval	4	0	4	281	330	4
14	Pole France	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Toulouse	CEP Lorient
Union Tours Basket Metropole	77-86 L	80-84 L
Fos-sur-Mer	90-70 W	72-65 W
Le Havre	80-82 L	102-74 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CEP Lorient (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Toulouse

WLLWLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/10	Angers BC France Nationale 1	89-90	L
02/10	Union Tours Basket Metropole France Nationale 1	77-86	L
25/09	Union Rennes Basket 35 France Nationale 1	87-85	W
08/05	Orchies France Nationale 1	71-85	L
05/05	Boulogne Sur Mer France Nationale 1	84-88	L
01/05	Loon Plage France Nationale 1	91-96	L
26/04	Fos-sur-Mer France Nationale 1	90-70	W
21/04	Le Havre France Nationale 1	80-82	L
17/04	Berck/Rang du Fliers France Nationale 1	79-88	L
08/04	Mulhouse France Nationale 1	82-81	W

CEP Lorient

WWWLLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/10	Pays de Fougères Basket France Nationale 1	61-70	L
02/10	JSA Bordeaux France Nationale 1	77-70	W
29/09	Vitre Aurore France Nationale 1	70-63	W
25/09	Union Tours Basket Metropole France Nationale 1	80-84	L
18/09	US Laval France Nationale 1	82-73	W
05/06	Levallois Basketball France Nationale 1	73-91	L
29/05	Levallois Basketball France Nationale 1	67-75	L
22/05	Le Havre France Nationale 1	102-74	W
15/05	Le Havre France Nationale 1	85-66	W
08/05	Fos-sur-Mer France Nationale 1	72-65	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Toulouse vs CEP Lorient?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Toulouse 52% · CEP Lorient 48%).

How many points are expected in Toulouse vs CEP Lorient?

The model estimates 160.9 total points (Toulouse 80.8 · CEP Lorient 80.1).