Basketball · Chile LNB · 18/08, 02:30

Prediction: Puerto Montt Basquetbol vs CD Castro

Team pages: Puerto Montt Basquetbol · CD Castro

Prediction summary
Estimated points
157.6Total
Puerto Montt Basquetbol84
CD Castro73.6
1X2
77% 23%
Puerto Montt Basquetbol CD Castro
Recent form · 10 last
Puerto Montt Basquetbol 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LLLLLWWLWW
CD Castro 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
LWLWWLLLLL
Head-to-head
Puerto Montt Basquetbol 0–2 CD Castro (2 last)
  • CD Castro69-64Puerto Montt Basquetbol
  • Puerto Montt Basquetbol101-105CD Castro
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Puerto Montt Basquetbol 1482 · CD Castro 1445
Puerto Montt BasquetbolCD Castro
Our model68%32%
Market79%21%
Estimated total (ours) 157.6 points · Bet365 line 159.5 · -1.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points157.6Puerto Montt Basquetbol 84 · CD Castro 73.6

Match keys

  • Puerto Montt Basquetbol is a clear favourite (77% market).
  • H2H favours CD Castro: 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

Puerto Montt BasquetbolCD Castro
Points F|A (Last 10)76.2 / 77.573.6 / 84.8
Points F|A (Last 5)81.4 / 72.471.4 / 93.2
Est. result8474
Est. total157.6
Line O/U159.5
Diff.1.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Puerto Montt Basquetbol 002 CD Castro

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/07/26
Chile LNB
CD Castro69-64Puerto Montt Basquetbol
13/04/26
Chile LNB
Puerto Montt Basquetbol101-105CD Castro

Standings · Chile LNB · Clausura, Conference South

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Deportivo Valdivia 10100 91170920
2 Espanol Osorno 1174 94392818
3 ABA Ancud 1266 98299818
4 Las Animas 1147 95091815
5 Puerto Varas 1147 84592815
6 CD Castro 1138 79093814
7 Puerto Montt Basquetbol 1046 77777914

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPuerto Montt BasquetbolCD Castro
ABA Ancud 88-66 W 71-82 L
Espanol Osorno 82-79 W 84-86 L
Deportivo Valdivia 74-80 L 79-92 L
Puerto Varas 80-59 W 67-102 L
Las Animas 83-78 W 56-104 L
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Puerto Montt Basquetbol (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Puerto Montt Basquetbol

LLLLLWWLWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
16/08 ABA Ancud
Chile LNB
88-66 W
11/08 Espanol Osorno
Chile LNB
82-79 W
09/08 Deportivo Valdivia
Chile LNB
74-80 L
03/08 Puerto Varas
Chile LNB
80-59 W
01/08 Las Animas
Chile LNB
83-78 W
27/07 CD Castro
Chile LNB
64-69 L
25/07 ABA Ancud
Chile LNB
71-86 L
20/07 Espanol Osorno
Chile LNB
70-85 L
23/04 Deportivo Valdivia
Chile LNB
72-82 L
18/04 Las Animas
Chile LNB
78-91 L

CD Castro

LWLWWLLLLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
14/08 ABA Ancud
Chile LNB
71-82 L
07/08 Las Animas
Chile LNB
56-104 L
06/08 Puerto Varas
Chile LNB
67-102 L
03/08 Espanol Osorno
Chile LNB
84-86 L
02/08 Deportivo Valdivia
Chile LNB
79-92 L
27/07 Puerto Montt Basquetbol
Chile LNB
69-64 W
23/07 ABA Ancud
Chile LNB
76-73 W
20/07 Puerto Varas
Chile LNB
69-77 L
19/07 Las Animas
Chile LNB
87-76 W
13/07 Espanol Osorno
Chile LNB
78-92 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Puerto Montt Basquetbol vs CD Castro?

Our model gives 77% to Puerto Montt Basquetbol.

How many points are expected in Puerto Montt Basquetbol vs CD Castro?

The model estimates 157.6 total points (Puerto Montt Basquetbol 84 · CD Castro 73.6).