Basketball · Paraguay Primera · 11/08, 00:30
Prediction: Amambay vs Deportivo San Jose
Team pages: Amambay · Deportivo San Jose
Prediction summary
Estimated points
167.5Total
Amambay80.3
Deportivo San Jose87.2
1X2
Amambay
Deportivo San Jose
Recent form · 10 last
Amambay
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Deportivo San Jose
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Amambay
0–6
Deportivo San Jose
(6 last)
- Amambay85-95Deportivo San Jose
- Deportivo San Jose81-74Amambay
- Amambay50-93Deportivo San Jose
- Deportivo San Jose98-74Amambay
- Amambay67-99Deportivo San Jose
- Deportivo San Jose109-80Amambay
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amambay 1510 · Deportivo San Jose 1627
| Amambay | Deportivo San Jose | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
Estimated total (ours)
167.5 points · Bet365 line 163.5 · +4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points167.5Amambay 80.3 · Deportivo San Jose 87.2
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo San Jose (rating 1510 vs 1627).
- Deportivo San Jose is a clear favourite (69% market).
- H2H favours Deportivo San Jose: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Amambay | Deportivo San Jose | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 86.3 / 75.3 | 90.6 / 81.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 87.6 / 75.6 | 87.2 / 75.8 |
| Est. result | 80 | 87 |
Est. total167.5
Line O/U163.5
Diff.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Amambay 0–0–6 Deportivo San Jose
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/26 Paraguay Primera | Amambay | 85-95 | Deportivo San Jose |
| 02/05/26 Paraguay Primera | Deportivo San Jose | 81-74 | Amambay |
| 19/09/25 Paraguay Primera | Amambay | 50-93 | Deportivo San Jose |
| 28/08/25 Paraguay Primera | Deportivo San Jose | 98-74 | Amambay |
| 18/05/25 Paraguay Primera | Amambay | 67-99 | Deportivo San Jose |
| 29/04/25 Paraguay Primera | Deportivo San Jose | 109-80 | Amambay |
Standings · Paraguay Primera · LNB 2025, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo San Jose | 1 | 1 | 0 | 107 | 79 | 2 |
| 2 | Colonias Gold | 1 | 1 | 0 | 77 | 55 | 2 |
| 3 | San Alfonzo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 60 | 53 | 2 |
| 4 | Olimpia Kings | 1 | 1 | 0 | 77 | 72 | 2 |
| 5 | Amambay | 1 | 0 | 1 | 72 | 77 | 1 |
| 6 | Capiata Bulls | 1 | 0 | 1 | 53 | 60 | 1 |
| 7 | Felix Perez Cardozo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 55 | 77 | 1 |
| 8 | Deportivo Campoalto | 1 | 0 | 1 | 79 | 107 | 1 |
| 9 | Ciudad Nueva | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Amambay | Deportivo San Jose |
|---|---|---|
| Olimpia Kings | 72-77 L | 85-79 W |
| Deportivo Campoalto | 78-69 W | 107-79 W |
| Felix Perez Cardozo | 81-92 L | 89-80 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo San Jose (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amambay
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Olimpia Kings Paraguay Primera |
72-77 | L |
| 20/06 | Deportivo Campoalto Paraguay Primera |
78-69 | W |
| 18/06 | Deportivo Campoalto Paraguay Primera |
90-89 | W |
| 12/06 | San Alfonzo Paraguay Primera |
110-79 | W |
| 08/06 | Ciudad Nueva Paraguay Primera |
88-64 | W |
| 05/06 | Deportivo Campoalto Paraguay Primera |
88-74 | W |
| 29/05 | Deportivo San Jose Paraguay Primera |
85-95 | L |
| 26/05 | Felix Perez Cardozo Paraguay Primera |
81-92 | L |
| 23/05 | Ciudad Nueva Paraguay Primera |
102-51 | W |
| 19/05 | Deportivo Campoalto Paraguay Primera |
69-63 | W |
Deportivo San Jose
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Deportivo Campoalto Paraguay Primera |
107-79 | W |
| 10/07 | Olimpia Kings Paraguay Primera |
85-79 | W |
| 07/07 | Olimpia Kings Paraguay Primera |
81-73 | W |
| 03/07 | Olimpia Kings Paraguay Primera |
74-68 | W |
| 25/06 | Felix Perez Cardozo Paraguay Primera |
89-80 | W |
| 23/06 | Felix Perez Cardozo Paraguay Primera |
92-95 | L |
| 19/06 | Felix Perez Cardozo Paraguay Primera |
116-72 | W |
| 16/06 | Felix Perez Cardozo Paraguay Primera |
63-90 | L |
| 12/06 | Felix Perez Cardozo Paraguay Primera |
93-89 | W |
| 05/06 | Colonias Gold Paraguay Primera |
106-93 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amambay vs Deportivo San Jose?
Our model gives 69% to Deportivo San Jose.
How many points are expected in Amambay vs Deportivo San Jose?
The model estimates 167.5 total points (Amambay 80.3 · Deportivo San Jose 87.2).