Basketball · Paraguay Primera · 14/08, 01:00

Prediction: Deportivo San Jose vs Colonias Gold

Team pages: Deportivo San Jose · Colonias Gold

Prediction summary

Estimated points

155.4Total

Deportivo San Jose77.5

Colonias Gold77.9

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

49% 51%

Deportivo San Jose Colonias Gold

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo San Jose 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Colonias Gold 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Deportivo San Jose 2–4 Colonias Gold (6 last)

Colonias Gold93-106Deportivo San Jose
Deportivo San Jose87-76Colonias Gold
Deportivo San Jose69-84Colonias Gold
Colonias Gold77-63Deportivo San Jose
Deportivo San Jose62-66Colonias Gold
Colonias Gold89-87Deportivo San Jose

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo San Jose 1611 · Colonias Gold 1534

	Deportivo San Jose	Colonias Gold
Our model	72%	28%
Market	44%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 155.4 points · Bet365 line 155.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points155.4Deportivo San Jose 77.5 · Colonias Gold 77.9

Match keys

H2H favours Colonias Gold: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Deportivo San Jose	Colonias Gold
Points F\|A (Last 10)	87.1 / 79.4	74.5 / 72.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	83.6 / 73.6	70 / 74.2
Est. result	78	78

Est. total155.4

Line O/U155.5

Diff.0.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.12

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.80

2 (-1.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 155.51.83

Under 155.51.83

Diff.: 1.05 · Est. total: 156.55

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 02:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 2.12▲	Bet365 2.12
2	2.50 → 1.65▼	Pinn 1.92 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 8% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	2
17:40 +5’	1.50	2.50
21:42 +4’	1.83▲	1.83▼
02:08 +37’	2.12▲	1.65▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
01:43 +3’	1.74	1.93
03:45	1.69▼	2.00▲
04:43 +2’	1.57▼	2.18▲
20:39 +7’	1.70▲	1.98▼
00:43 +2’	1.76▲	1.92▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo San Jose 2–0–4 Colonias Gold

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/06/26 Paraguay Primera	Colonias Gold	93-106	Deportivo San Jose
15/05/26 Paraguay Primera	Deportivo San Jose	87-76	Colonias Gold
21/10/25 Paraguay Primera	Deportivo San Jose	69-84	Colonias Gold
03/10/25 Paraguay Primera	Colonias Gold	77-63	Deportivo San Jose
04/09/25 Paraguay Primera	Deportivo San Jose	62-66	Colonias Gold
27/06/25 Paraguay Primera	Colonias Gold	89-87	Deportivo San Jose

Standings · Paraguay Primera · LNB 2025, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Colonias Gold	2	2	0	148	115	4
2	Deportivo San Jose	2	2	0	178	148	4
3	Felix Perez Cardozo	2	1	1	143	162	3
4	San Alfonzo	2	1	1	145	141	3
5	Deportivo Campoalto	2	1	1	180	180	3
6	Olimpia Kings	2	1	1	137	143	3
7	Amambay	2	0	2	141	148	2
8	Capiata Bulls	2	0	2	126	161	2
9	Ciudad Nueva	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo San Jose	Colonias Gold
Deportivo Campoalto	107-79 W	82-58 W
Olimpia Kings	85-79 W	71-60 W
Felix Perez Cardozo	89-80 W	77-55 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Colonias Gold (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo San Jose

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/08	Amambay Paraguay Primera	71-69	W
07/08	Deportivo Campoalto Paraguay Primera	107-79	W
10/07	Olimpia Kings Paraguay Primera	85-79	W
07/07	Olimpia Kings Paraguay Primera	81-73	W
03/07	Olimpia Kings Paraguay Primera	74-68	W
25/06	Felix Perez Cardozo Paraguay Primera	89-80	W
23/06	Felix Perez Cardozo Paraguay Primera	92-95	L
19/06	Felix Perez Cardozo Paraguay Primera	116-72	W
16/06	Felix Perez Cardozo Paraguay Primera	63-90	L
12/06	Felix Perez Cardozo Paraguay Primera	93-89	W

Colonias Gold

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/08	Olimpia Kings Paraguay Primera	71-60	W
07/08	Felix Perez Cardozo Paraguay Primera	77-55	W
19/06	Olimpia Kings Paraguay Primera	62-91	L
16/06	Olimpia Kings Paraguay Primera	60-75	L
12/06	Olimpia Kings Paraguay Primera	80-90	L
05/06	Deportivo San Jose Paraguay Primera	93-106	L
29/05	Deportivo Campoalto Paraguay Primera	82-58	W
26/05	San Alfonzo Paraguay Primera	81-52	W
22/05	Olimpia Kings Paraguay Primera	64-79	L
19/05	Ciudad Nueva Paraguay Primera	75-55	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo San Jose vs Colonias Gold?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Deportivo San Jose 49% · Colonias Gold 51%).

How many points are expected in Deportivo San Jose vs Colonias Gold?

The model estimates 155.4 total points (Deportivo San Jose 77.5 · Colonias Gold 77.9).