Basketball · Paraguay Primera · 09/09, 01:00
Prediction: Deportivo San Jose vs Amambay
Team pages: Deportivo San Jose · Amambay
Prediction summary
Estimated points
161.9Total
Deportivo San Jose86.6
Amambay75.3
1X2
Deportivo San Jose
Amambay
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo San Jose
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Amambay
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo San Jose
6–0
Amambay
(6 last)
- Amambay69-71Deportivo San Jose
- Amambay85-95Deportivo San Jose
- Deportivo San Jose81-74Amambay
- Amambay50-93Deportivo San Jose
- Deportivo San Jose98-74Amambay
- Amambay67-99Deportivo San Jose
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo San Jose 1654 · Amambay 1500
| Deportivo San Jose | Amambay | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 80% | 20% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
161.9 points · Bet365 line 162.5 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points161.9Deportivo San Jose 86.6 · Amambay 75.3
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo San Jose (rating 1654 vs 1500).
- Deportivo San Jose is a clear favourite (79% market).
- H2H favours Deportivo San Jose: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Deportivo San Jose | Amambay | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 93.9 / 76.5 | 81.8 / 70.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 98 / 74 | 79.8 / 64.4 |
| Est. result | 87 | 75 |
Est. total161.9
Line O/U162.5
Diff.0.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo San Jose 6–0–0 Amambay
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/26 Paraguay Primera | Amambay | 69-71 | Deportivo San Jose |
| 29/05/26 Paraguay Primera | Amambay | 85-95 | Deportivo San Jose |
| 02/05/26 Paraguay Primera | Deportivo San Jose | 81-74 | Amambay |
| 19/09/25 Paraguay Primera | Amambay | 50-93 | Deportivo San Jose |
| 28/08/25 Paraguay Primera | Deportivo San Jose | 98-74 | Amambay |
| 18/05/25 Paraguay Primera | Amambay | 67-99 | Deportivo San Jose |
Standings · Paraguay Primera · Clausura
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo San Jose | 8 | 8 | 0 | 773 | 613 | 16 |
| 2 | Colonias Gold | 8 | 7 | 1 | 678 | 529 | 15 |
| 3 | Olimpia Kings | 8 | 6 | 2 | 717 | 615 | 14 |
| 4 | Amambay | 7 | 3 | 4 | 540 | 470 | 10 |
| 5 | Felix Perez Cardozo | 7 | 3 | 4 | 545 | 604 | 10 |
| 6 | Deportivo Campoalto | 8 | 2 | 6 | 609 | 711 | 10 |
| 7 | San Alfonzo | 8 | 2 | 6 | 595 | 685 | 10 |
| 8 | Capiata Bulls | 8 | 0 | 8 | 529 | 759 | 8 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo San Jose | Amambay |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Campoalto | 113-75 W | 82-57 W |
| Capiata Bulls | 93-76 W | 88-39 W |
| San Alfonzo | 96-53 W | 81-67 W |
| Olimpia Kings | 95-91 W | 76-79 L |
| Colonias Gold | 105-95 W | 72-80 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo San Jose (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo San Jose
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Deportivo Campoalto Paraguay Primera |
113-75 | W |
| 02/09 | Capiata Bulls Paraguay Primera |
93-76 | W |
| 25/08 | San Alfonzo Paraguay Primera |
96-53 | W |
| 22/08 | Olimpia Kings Paraguay Primera |
95-91 | W |
| 18/08 | Felix Perez Cardozo Paraguay Primera |
93-75 | W |
| 14/08 | Colonias Gold Paraguay Primera |
105-95 | W |
| 11/08 | Amambay Paraguay Primera |
71-69 | W |
| 07/08 | Deportivo Campoalto Paraguay Primera |
107-79 | W |
| 10/07 | Olimpia Kings Paraguay Primera |
85-79 | W |
| 07/07 | Olimpia Kings Paraguay Primera |
81-73 | W |
Amambay
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Olimpia Kings Paraguay Primera |
76-79 | L |
| 24/08 | Colonias Gold Paraguay Primera |
72-80 | L |
| 21/08 | San Alfonzo Paraguay Primera |
81-67 | W |
| 16/08 | Deportivo Campoalto Paraguay Primera |
82-57 | W |
| 14/08 | Capiata Bulls Paraguay Primera |
88-39 | W |
| 11/08 | Deportivo San Jose Paraguay Primera |
69-71 | L |
| 08/08 | Olimpia Kings Paraguay Primera |
72-77 | L |
| 20/06 | Deportivo Campoalto Paraguay Primera |
78-69 | W |
| 18/06 | Deportivo Campoalto Paraguay Primera |
90-89 | W |
| 12/06 | San Alfonzo Paraguay Primera |
110-79 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo San Jose vs Amambay?
Our model gives 79% to Deportivo San Jose.
How many points are expected in Deportivo San Jose vs Amambay?
The model estimates 161.9 total points (Deportivo San Jose 86.6 · Amambay 75.3).